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pro vyhledávání: '"Rüter, Lotta"'
Autor:
Hegre, Håvard, Vesco, Paola, Colaresi, Michael, Vestby, Jonas, Timlick, Alexa, Kazmi, Noorain Syed, Becker, Friederike, Binetti, Marco, Bodentien, Tobias, Bohne, Tobias, Brandt, Patrick T., Chadefaux, Thomas, Drauz, Simon, Dworschak, Christoph, D'Orazio, Vito, Fritz, Cornelius, Frank, Hannah, Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede, Häffner, Sonja, Hofer, Martin, Klebe, Finn L., Macis, Luca, Malaga, Alexandra, Mehrl, Marius, Metternich, Nils W., Mittermaier, Daniel, Muchlinski, David, Mueller, Hannes, Oswald, Christian, Pisano, Paola, Randahl, David, Rauh, Christopher, Rüter, Lotta, Schincariol, Thomas, Seimon, Benjamin, Siletti, Elena, Tagliapietra, Marco, Thornhill, Chandler, Vegelius, Johan, Walterskirchen, Julian
This draft article outlines a prediction challenge where the target is to forecast the number of fatalities in armed conflicts, in the form of the UCDP `best' estimates, aggregated to the VIEWS units of analysis. It presents the format of the contrib
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.11045
In many forecasting settings, there is a specific interest in predicting the sign of an outcome variable correctly in addition to its magnitude. For instance, when forecasting armed conflicts, positive and negative log-changes in monthly fatalities r
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2304.12108