A General Probabilistic Forecasting Framework for Offshore Wind Power Fluctuations

Autor: Henrik Madsen, Pierre Pinson, Pierre-Julien Trombe

Publikováno v: Energies, Vol 5, Iss 3, Pp 621-657 (2012)

Accurate wind power forecasts highly contribute to the integration of wind power into power systems. The focus of the present study is on large-scale offshore wind farms and the complexity of generating accurate probabilistic forecasts of wind power

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/2bed9684e3384f7d98993c5871606228

Leveraging stochastic differential equations for probabilistic forecasting of wind power using a dynamic power curve

Autor: Juan M. Morales, Henrik Madsen, Emil B. Iversen, Jan Kloppenborg Møller, Pierre-Julien Trombe

Publikováno v: Wind Energy. 20:33-44

Short-term (hours to days) probabilistic forecasts of wind power generation provide useful information about the associated uncertainty of these forecasts. Standard probabilistic forecasts are usually issued on a per-horizon-basis, meaning that they

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::1558ade581ca3bb78495d2faa3d668f7
https://doi.org/10.1002/we.1988

List of contributors

Autor: Stefano Alessandrini, Christophe Baehr, Ricardo Bessa, Philippe Blanc, Audun Botterud, Edgardo D. Castronuovo, Carlos F.M. Coimbra, Alain Dabas, Romain Dupin, Gregor Giebel, Robin Girard, Paula Gómez, Sven-Erik Gryning, Sue Ellen Haupt, Rich H. Inman, Pedro A. Jiménez, George Kariniotakis, Andreas Kazantzidis, Branko Kosović, Kevin Laquaine, Jared A. Lee, Pierre Massip, Manuel Matos, Nicoló Mazzi, Andrea Michiorri, Torben Mikkelsen, Ewan O'Connor, Laura Frías Paredes, Hugo T.C. Pedro, Pierre Pinson, Lourdes Ramirez-Santigosa, Gordon Reikard, Jan Remund, Lucie Rottner, Javier Sanz Rodrigo, Mikael Sjöholm, Simone Sperati, Nicole Stoffels, Irene Suomi, Pierre-Julien Trombe, Panagiotis Tzoumanikas, Loïc Vallance, Nikola Vasiljević, Claire L. Vincent, Lueder von Bremen, Stefan Wilbert, Zhi Zhou

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::38ad8068f6d6059cfc31ccf302fc48be
https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-08-100504-0.01002-7

Weather radars - the new eyes for offshore wind farms?

Autor: Pierre Pinson, Andrea N. Hahmann, B. Jensen, Niels Einar Jensen, Nicolaos Antonio Cutululis, Caroline Draxl, Lisbeth Pedersen, Thomas Bøvith, Gregor Giebel, Henrik Madsen, Claire Louise Vincent, Anders Sommer, Nina F. Le, Pierre-Julien Trombe

Publikováno v: Wind Energy. 17:1767-1787

Offshore wind fluctuations are such that dedicated prediction and control systems are needed for optimizing the management of wind farms in real-time. In this paper, we present a pioneer experiment – Radar@Sea – in which weather radars are used f

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::dd9274051cd72f34c118ac10b5fbe400
https://doi.org/10.1002/we.1659

Probabilistic forecasting of the solar irradiance with recursive ARMA and GARCH models

Autor: Mathieu David, Faly Ramahatana, Pierre-Julien Trombe, Philippe Lauret

Publikováno v: Solar Energy
Solar Energy, Elsevier, 2016, 133, pp.55-72. ⟨10.1016/j.solener.2016.03.064⟩
David, M, Ramahatana, F, Trombe, P-J & Lauret, P 2016, ' Probabilistic forecasting of the solar irradiance with recursive ARMA and GARCH models ', Solar Energy, vol. 133, no. August, pp. 55-72 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2016.03.064

International audience; Forecasting of the solar irradiance is a key feature in order to increase the penetration rate of solar energy into the energy grids. Indeed, the anticipation of the fluctuations of the solar renewables allows a better managem

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::3c33c7a85acb2809aa9a7b4fea0f2cff
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01310208/document