Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 23
pro vyhledávání: '"Philippe Delquié"'
Autor:
Alessandra Cillo, Philippe Delquié
Publikováno v:
European Journal of Operational Research. 239:764-775
We study a mean-risk model derived from a behavioral theory of Disappointment with multiple reference points. One distinguishing feature of the risk measure is that it is based on mutual deviations of outcomes, not deviations from a specific target.
Publikováno v:
Management Science. 59(3):613-640
We present a method that dynamically designs elicitation questions for estimating risk and time preference parameters. Typically these parameters are elicited by presenting decision makers with a series of static choices between alternatives, gambles
Autor:
Philippe Delquié
Publikováno v:
Decision Analysis. 9:96-102
This paper introduces the concept of risk-reducing experiments as a basis for designing risk measures. A risk-reducing experiment provides the option to mitigate the impact of less favorable outcomes in a gamble, and the gamble's risk is measured as
Autor:
J. Eric Bickel, Vicki M. Bier, Philippe Delquié, L. Robin Keller, Ahti Salo, Jason R. W. Merrick, John C. Butler, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, David V. Budescu, George Wu, Ali E. Abbas
Publikováno v:
Decision Analysis. 8:251-255
This issue's “From the Editors” column is coauthored with all the associate editors, to emphasize their major role in the leadership of the journal. We first review this year's operations and thank our editorial board and referees. Our first arti
Autor:
L. Robin Keller, Ali Abbas, Manel Baucells, Vicki M. Bier, David Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo, George Wu
Publikováno v:
DECISION ANALYSIS. 7(4):327-330
This issue's "From the Editors" column is coauthored with all the associate editors, to emphasize their major role in the leadership of the journal. Our first article is by Samuel E. Bodily and Phillip E. Pfeifer, on “Darden's Luckiest Student: Les
Autor:
L. Robin Keller, Manel Baucells, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Gregory S. Parnell, Ahti Salo
Publikováno v:
Decision Analysis. 5:173-176
For this final issue of the year, our first two articles are on assessment of probabilities. First, Joel B. Predd, Daniel N. Osherson, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, and H. Vincent Poor present a method for “Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoheren
Autor:
Philippe Delquié
Publikováno v:
Decision Analysis. 5:129-139
Previous research has documented the lack of clear relationships between the value of information and characteristics of the decision problem. This paper shows that the intensity of the decision maker's preference toward the prior choice alternatives
Autor:
Philippe Delquié
Publikováno v:
Decision Analysis. 5:5-9
Users (or would-be users) of exponential expected utility often seek a concrete, intuitive meaning for the risk tolerance coefficient (RT) that they can grasp and explain to others easily. This paper shows an interpretation of RT as the maximum loss
Autor:
Philippe Delquié
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 21:91-109
Participants in four studies were faced with everyday-life decision scenarios involving risk, such as purchasing an airline ticket whose price may change. They were asked to state their maximum willingness to pay (WTP) for resolving the uncertainty w
Autor:
Philippe Delquié, Alessandra Cillo
Publikováno v:
Theory and Decision. 60:193-206
We develop a model of Disappointment in which disappointment and elation arise from comparing the outcome received, not with an expected value as in previous models, but rather with the other individual outcomes of the lottery. This approach may bett