Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 38
pro vyhledávání: '"Philip M. Fernbach"'
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 6, Pp 688-696 (2011)
The tempting fate effect is that the probability of a fateful outcome is deemed higher following an action that “tempts” the outcome than in the absence of such an action. In this paper we evaluate the hypothesis that the effect is due to an illu
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/363633e6ed5641b58aa96286ba605175
Autor:
Philip M. Fernbach, Jonathan E. Bogard
Publikováno v:
Topics in Cognitive Science.
Publikováno v:
Management Science. 67:7322-7343
Diversification—investing in imperfectly correlated assets—reduces volatility without sacrificing expected returns. Although the expected return of a diversified portfolio is the weighted average return of its constituent parts, the variance of t
Publikováno v:
Science advances. 8(29)
Public attitudes that are in opposition to scientific consensus can be disastrous and include rejection of vaccines and opposition to climate change mitigation policies. Five studies examine the interrelationships between opposition to expert consens
Autor:
Philip M. Fernbach, Daniel J. Walters
Publikováno v:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Significance This paper makes several contributions to research in memory, overconfidence, and investment behavior. First, we find that investors’ memories for past performance are positively biased. They tend to recall returns as better than achie
Autor:
Jaboury Ghazoul, Claude Garcia, Johan Oszwald, Hélène Dessard, Brian E. Robinson, Lucienne Wilmé, Garry D. Peterson, Marieke Sassen, Ivan P. Novotny, Fritz Kleinschroth, Laurence Boutinot, Plinio Sist, Philip M. Fernbach, Laurène Feintrenie, Jean-François Bastin, René Verburg, Sini Savilaakso, Miguel B. Araújo, Natasha Stoudmann, Fabien Quétier, Steven A. Sloman, Stephan A. Pietsch, Cédric Vermeulen, Francisco Zorondo Rodríguez, Terry Sunderland, Scott Francisco, Sarah J. Wilson, Patrick O. Waeber, Babak Naimi, Anne Dray
While the scientific community has focused on documenting environmental degradation and developing scenarios that help identify the operational margins for system Earth, less attention has been given to the mental models of decision-makers that under
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::530bf972f1538e7380c1ee0c1f3ff5d9
https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202108.0326.v1
https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202108.0326.v1
Autor:
Leaf Van Boven, Philip M. Fernbach
Publikováno v:
Current opinion in psychology. 43
Although political polarization in the United States is real, intense, and increasing, partisans consistently overestimate its magnitude. This ‘false polarization’ is insidious because it reinforces actual polarization and inhibits compromise. We
Autor:
Philip M. Fernbach, Nicholas Light
Publikováno v:
Psychological Inquiry. 31:26-28
Human beings have a remarkable penchant for believing things that are not true. This has always been the case. Ancients believed in nature deities, bloodletting was thought to cure disease for many...
Publikováno v:
Trends in Cognitive Sciences. 23:891-902
An individual's knowledge is collective in at least two senses: it often comes from other people's testimony, and its deployment in reasoning and action requires accuracy underwritten by other people's knowledge. What must one know to participate in
Publikováno v:
Nature Human Behaviour. 3:251-256
There is widespread agreement among scientists that genetically modified foods are safe to consume1,2 and have the potential to provide substantial benefits to humankind3. However, many people still harbour concerns about them or oppose their use4,5.