Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 192
pro vyhledávání: '"P Hollyman"'
We introduce a dynamic approach to probabilistic forecast reconciliation at scale. Our model differs from the existing literature in this area in several important ways. Firstly we explicitly allow the weights allocated to the base forecasts in formi
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2409.12856
Autor:
Makridakis, Spyros, Spiliotis, Evangelos, Hollyman, Ross, Petropoulos, Fotios, Swanson, Norman, Gaba, Anil
The M6 forecasting competition, the sixth in the Makridakis' competition sequence, is focused on financial forecasting. A key objective of the M6 competition was to contribute to the debate surrounding the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) by examini
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2310.13357
Autor:
David Viljoen, Emily King, Sophie Harris, Jonathan Hollyman, Kate Costello, Eimear Galvin, Melissa Stock, Ulrike Schmidt, James Downs, Murali Sekar, Ciaran Newell, Sam Clark-Stone, Amy Wicksteed, Caroline Foster, Francesca Battisti, Laura Williams, Roshan Jones, Sarah Beglin, Stephen Anderson, Thuthirna Jebarsan, Viviane Ghuys, Agnes Ayton
Publikováno v:
BJPsych Bulletin, Vol 48, Pp 212-220 (2024)
Aims/method This national pre-pandemic survey compared demand and capacity of adult community eating disorder services (ACEDS) with NHS England (NHSE) commissioning guidance. Results Thirteen services in England and Scotland responded (covering 10.7
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/7483ebcd1aa04a178bea5fa409899fe9
We examine the problem of making reconciled forecasts of large collections of related time series through a behavioural/Bayesian lens. Our approach explicitly acknowledges and exploits the 'connectedness' of the series in terms of time-series charact
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.15583
Autor:
Petropoulos, Fotios, Apiletti, Daniele, Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, Babai, Mohamed Zied, Barrow, Devon K., Taieb, Souhaib Ben, Bergmeir, Christoph, Bessa, Ricardo J., Bijak, Jakub, Boylan, John E., Browell, Jethro, Carnevale, Claudio, Castle, Jennifer L., Cirillo, Pasquale, Clements, Michael P., Cordeiro, Clara, Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino, De Baets, Shari, Dokumentov, Alexander, Ellison, Joanne, Fiszeder, Piotr, Franses, Philip Hans, Frazier, David T., Gilliland, Michael, Gönül, M. Sinan, Goodwin, Paul, Grossi, Luigi, Grushka-Cockayne, Yael, Guidolin, Mariangela, Guidolin, Massimo, Gunter, Ulrich, Guo, Xiaojia, Guseo, Renato, Harvey, Nigel, Hendry, David F., Hollyman, Ross, Januschowski, Tim, Jeon, Jooyoung, Jose, Victor Richmond R., Kang, Yanfei, Koehler, Anne B., Kolassa, Stephan, Kourentzes, Nikolaos, Leva, Sonia, Li, Feng, Litsiou, Konstantia, Makridakis, Spyros, Martin, Gael M., Martinez, Andrew B., Meeran, Sheik, Modis, Theodore, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, Önkal, Dilek, Paccagnini, Alessia, Panagiotelis, Anastasios, Panapakidis, Ioannis, Pavía, Jose M., Pedio, Manuela, Pedregal, Diego J., Pinson, Pierre, Ramos, Patrícia, Rapach, David E., Reade, J. James, Rostami-Tabar, Bahman, Rubaszek, Michał, Sermpinis, Georgios, Shang, Han Lin, Spiliotis, Evangelos, Syntetos, Aris A., Talagala, Priyanga Dilini, Talagala, Thiyanga S., Tashman, Len, Thomakos, Dimitrios, Thorarinsdottir, Thordis, Todini, Ezio, Arenas, Juan Ramón Trapero, Wang, Xiaoqian, Winkler, Robert L., Yusupova, Alisa, Ziel, Florian
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large n
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2012.03854
Akademický článek
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Autor:
Mark R. Edwards, Gordon Forbes, Neil Walker, Dion G. Morton, Monty G. Mythen, Dave Murray, Iain Anderson, Borislava Mihaylova, Ann Thomson, Matt Taylor, Marianne Hollyman, Rachel Phillips, Keith Young, Brennan C. Kahan, Rupert M. Pearse, Michael P. W. Grocott, for the FLO-ELA investigators
Publikováno v:
Trials, Vol 24, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2023)
Abstract Introduction Postoperative morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing major emergency gastrointestinal surgery are a major burden on healthcare systems. Optimal management of perioperative intravenous fluids may reduce mortality rates an
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/30bd9a68cad74c99bbea167083d7acfa
Akademický článek
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Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol 9 (2023)
Food web interactions govern how ecosystems respond to climate change and biodiversity loss. Modularity, where subgroups of species interact more often with each other than with species outside their subgroup, is a key structural feature which has be
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/342331f9f29e4013802a681474968702