Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty.

Autor: Shea K; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Borchering RK; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Probert WJM; Nuffield Department of Medicine, Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom., Howerton E; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Bogich TL; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Li SL; State Key Laboratory of Grassland Agro-ecosystems, Center for Grassland Microbiome, and College of Pastoral, Agriculture Science and Technology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 73000, People's Republic of China., van Panhuis WG; Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15260., Viboud C; Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892., Aguás R; Nuffield Department of Medicine, Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom., Belov AA; Office of Biostatistics and Pharmacovigilance, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD 20993., Bhargava SH; Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611., Cavany SM; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Chang JC; Epidemiology and Biostatistics Section, Rehabilitation Medicine, Clinical Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892.; Mederrata Research Inc, Columbus, OH 43212., Chen C; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Chen J; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Chen S; Department of Public Health Sciences, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC 28223.; School of Data Science, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC 28223., Chen Y; Mechatronics, Embedded Systems and Automation Laboratory, School of Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA 95343., Childs LM; Department of Mathematics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061., Chow CC; Mathematical Biology Section, Laboratory of Biological Modeling, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892., Crooker I; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Del Valle SY; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., España G; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Fairchild G; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Gerkin RC; School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287., Germann TC; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Gu Q; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Guan X; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Guo L; School of Mathematics, Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin 130012, People's Republic of China., Hart GR; Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109., Hladish TJ; Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611.; Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610., Hupert N; Department of Population Health Sciences, Division of Epidemiology, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY 10065., Janies D; Computational Intelligence to Predict Health and Environmental Risks, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC 28223., Kerr CC; Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109., Klein DJ; Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109., Klein EY; Department of Emergency Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21209.; One Health Trust, Washington, DC 20015., Lin G; Department of Emergency Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21209.; One Health Trust, Washington, DC 20015., Manore C; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Meyers LA; Department of Integrative Biology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Mittler JE; Department of Microbiology, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Mu K; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Núñez RC; Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109., Oidtman RJ; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Pasco R; Operations Research and Industrial Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Pastore Y Piontti A; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Paul R; Department of Public Health Sciences, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC 28223., Pearson CAB; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom.; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom.; South African Department of Science and Innovation - National Research Foundation Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600 South Africa., Perdomo DR; Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611., Perkins TA; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Pierce K; Texas Advanced Computing Center, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Pillai AN; Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611., Rael RC; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Rosenfeld K; Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Health Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA 98109., Ross CW; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Spencer JA; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Stoltzfus AB; National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD 20899., Toh KB; School of Natural Resources and Environment, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611., Vattikuti S; Mathematical Biology Section, Laboratory of Biological Modeling, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892., Vespignani A; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Wang L; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095., White LJ; Nuffield Department of Medicine, Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom., Xu P; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Yang Y; One Health Trust, Washington, DC 20015., Yogurtcu ON; Office of Biostatistics and Pharmacovigilance, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD 20993., Zhang W; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Zhao Y; The 28th Research Institute of China Technology Group Corporation, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210023, People's Republic of China., Zou D; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Ferrari MJ; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Pannell D; School of Agriculture and Environment, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA 6009, Australia., Tildesley MJ; Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, School of Life Sciences and Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, United Kingdom., Seifarth J; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Johnson E; Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.; Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802., Biggerstaff M; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, GA 30329., Johansson MA; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, GA 30329., Slayton RB; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, GA 30329., Levander JD; Department of Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, PA 15260., Stazer J; Department of Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, PA 15260., Kerr J; Department of Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, PA 15260., Runge MC; U.S. Geological Survey, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Laurel, MD 20708.

Publikováno v: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2023 May 02; Vol. 120 (18), pp. e2207537120. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Apr 25.

Burden is in the eye of the beholder: Sensitivity of yellow fever disease burden estimates to modeling assumptions.

Autor: Perkins TA; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Huber JH; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Tran QM; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Oidtman RJ; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Walters MK; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Siraj AS; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Moore SM; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.

Publikováno v: Science advances [Sci Adv] 2021 Oct 15; Vol. 7 (42), pp. eabg5033. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Oct 13.

Lying in wait: the resurgence of dengue virus after the Zika epidemic in Brazil.

Autor: Brito AF; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA., Machado LC; Department of Entomology, Aggeu Magalhaẽs Institute, Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil., Oidtman RJ; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA., Siconelli MJL; Internal Medicine Department, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil., Tran QM; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA., Fauver JR; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA., Carvalho RDO; Department of Entomology, Aggeu Magalhaẽs Institute, Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil., Dezordi FZ; Department of Entomology, Aggeu Magalhaẽs Institute, Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil., Pereira MR; Department of Virology and Experimental Therapy, Aggeu Magalhaes Institute, Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil., de Castro-Jorge LA; Internal Medicine Department, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil., Minto ECM; Municipal Health Secretary from Ribeirão Preto, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil., Passos LMR; Municipal Health Secretary from Ribeirão Preto, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil., Kalinich CC; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA., Petrone ME; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA., Allen E; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA., España GC; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA., Huang AT; Department of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA., Cummings DAT; Department of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA., Baele G; KU Leuven Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory of Evolutionary and Computational Virology, Leuven, Belgium., Franca RFO; Department of Virology and Experimental Therapy, Aggeu Magalhaes Institute, Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil., da Fonseca BAL; Internal Medicine Department, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil., Perkins TA; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA., Wallau GL; Department of Entomology, Aggeu Magalhaẽs Institute, Fiocruz, Recife, PE, Brazil. gabriel.wallau@cpqam.fiocruz.br., Grubaugh ND; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. nathan.grubaugh@yale.edu.; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. nathan.grubaugh@yale.edu.

Publikováno v: Nature communications [Nat Commun] 2021 May 11; Vol. 12 (1), pp. 2619. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 May 11.

Leveraging multiple data types to estimate the size of the Zika epidemic in the Americas.

Autor: Moore SM; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America., Oidtman RJ; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America., Soda KJ; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America., Siraj AS; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America., Reiner RC Jr; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington, United States of America., Barker CM; Department of Pathology, Microbiology, and Immunology, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, Davis, California, United States of America., Perkins TA; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America.

Publikováno v: PLoS neglected tropical diseases [PLoS Negl Trop Dis] 2020 Sep 28; Vol. 14 (9), pp. e0008640. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Sep 28 (Print Publication: 2020).

Travel Surveillance and Genomics Uncover a Hidden Zika Outbreak during the Waning Epidemic.

Autor: Grubaugh ND; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA. Electronic address: nathan.grubaugh@yale.edu., Saraf S; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA., Gangavarapu K; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA., Watts A; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada., Tan AL; Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL 33965, USA; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA., Oidtman RJ; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Ladner JT; Center for Genome Sciences, US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, Fort Detrick, MD 21702, USA; Pathogen and Microbiome Institute, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA., Oliveira G; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA., Matteson NL; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA., Kraemer MUG; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK; Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA., Vogels CBF; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA., Hentoff A; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA., Bhatia D; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada., Stanek D; Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA., Scott B; Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA., Landis V; Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA., Stryker I; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA., Cone MR; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA., Kopp EW 4th; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA., Cannons AC; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA., Heberlein-Larson L; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA., White S; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Miami, FL 33125, USA., Gillis LD; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Miami, FL 33125, USA., Ricciardi MJ; Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA., Kwal J; Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA., Lichtenberger PK; Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA., Magnani DM; Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA; MassBiologics, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Boston, MA 02126, USA., Watkins DI; Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA., Palacios G; Center for Genome Sciences, US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, Fort Detrick, MD 21702, USA., Hamer DH; Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02118, USA; Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA 02118, USA., Gardner LM; School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; Department of Civil Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA., Perkins TA; Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA., Baele G; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium., Khan K; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada., Morrison A; Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA., Isern S; Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL 33965, USA., Michael SF; Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL 33965, USA. Electronic address: smichael@fgcu.edu., Andersen KG; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA; Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA. Electronic address: andersen@scripps.edu.

Publikováno v: Cell [Cell] 2019 Aug 22; Vol. 178 (5), pp. 1057-1071.e11.