Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations

Autor: Yi Chen, Davide Cammarano, Thomas Gaiser, Jukka Höhn, Kurt Christian Kersebaum, Mikhail A. Semenov, Miroslav Trnka, Altaaf Mechiche-Alami, Benjamin Dumont, Roberto Ferrise, Fulu Tao, Timothy R. Carter, Alfredo Rodríguez, Stefan Fronzek, C. Nendel, Julien Minet, Holger Hoffmann, F. Ewert, John R. Porter, Jaromir Krzyszczak, Pierre Stratonovitch, Marco Bindi, Zacharias Steinmetz, Samuel Buis, A.J.W. de Wit, Iwan Supit, Reimund P. Rötter, Ignacio J. Lorite, František Jurečka, Marcos Lana, Manuel Montesino, Piotr Baranowski, Taru Palosuo, Margarita Ruiz-Ramos, Nina Pirttioja, P. Hlavinka, Françoise Ruget

Publikováno v: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Elsevier Masson, 2019, 264, pp.351-362. ⟨10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018⟩
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2019, 264, pp.351-362. ⟨10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018⟩
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 264, 351-362
Rodríguez, A, Ruiz-Ramos, M, Palosuo, T, Carter, T R, Fronzek, S, Lorite, I J, Ferrise, R, Pirttioja, N, Bindi, M, Baranowski, P, Buis, S, Cammarano, D, Chen, Y, Dumont, B, Ewert, F, Gaiser, T, Hlavinka, P, Hoffmann, H, Höhn, J G, Jurecka, F, Kersebaum, K C, Krzyszczak, J, Lana, M, Mechiche-Alami, A, Minet, J, Montesino, M, Nendel, C, Porter, J R, Ruget, F, Semenov, M A, Steinmetz, Z, Stratonovitch, P, Supit, I, Tao, F, Trnka, M, de Wit, A & Rötter, R P 2019, ' Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations ', Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, vol. 264, pp. 351-362 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 264 (2019)

International audience; Abstract Climate change is expected to severely affect cropping systems and food production in many parts of the world unless local adaptation can ameliorate these impacts. Ensembles of crop simulation models can be useful too

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::83087f03afb2c8d35cba8c41420dbee0
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018

Multi-sectoral evaluation of climate change risks and adaptation urgency using a response surface approach

Autor: Stefan Fronzek, Anu Akujärvi, Anna Lipsanen, Timothy R. Carter, Nina Pirttioja, Noora Veijalainen

This paper presents a new approach to climate change impact and adaptation analysis within a risk framework. We test the feasibility of applying impact models for representing three aspects of potential relevance for policy: (i) sensitivity – exami

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::f8d608e38eb4820fb50d734422b453a8
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-12592

Determining sectoral and regional sensitivity to climate and socio-economic change in Europe using impact response surfaces

Autor: Akemi Tanaka, Ian P. Holman, Harald Bugmann, Akihiko Ito, Martina Flörke, Florian Wimmer, Sarahi Nunez, Eric Audsley, Minoru Yoshikawa, Stefan Fronzek, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Nina Pirttioja, Yasushi Honda, Valentine Lafond, Rob Alkemade, Rebecca S. Snell, Rik Leemans, Daniel L. Sandars, Victoria Janes-Bassett, Timothy R. Carter, Marc Mokrech

Publikováno v: Regional Environmental Change, 19(3), 679-693
Regional Environmental Change 19 (2019) 3
Regional Environmental Change, 19 (3)
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE

Responses to future changes in climatic and socio-economic conditions can be expected to vary between sectors and regions, reflecting differential sensitivity to these highly uncertain factors. A sensitivity analysis was conducted using a suite of im

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::6253124b84cf4130fe9a56ab4e8ae6d7
https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/determining-sectoral-and-regional-sensitivity-to-climate-and-soci

Adaptation response surfaces for managing wheat under perturbed climate and CO2 in a Mediterranean environment

Autor: Mikhail A. Semenov, Benjamin Dumont, T. Palosuo, Stefan Fronzek, Davide Cammarano, Reimund P. Rötter, Pierre Stratonovitch, Jukka Höhn, Miroslav Trnka, Frank Ewert, Ignacio J. Lorite, Jaromir Krzyszczak, Zacharias Steinmetz, Alfredo Rodríguez, Julien Minet, A.J.W. de Wit, Timothy R. Carter, Fulu Tao, Holger Hoffmann, Petr Hlavinka, Thomas Gaiser, Iwan Supit, C. Nendel, Marco Bindi, Kurt Christian Kersebaum, Françoise Ruget, John R. Porter, Samuel Buis, Altaaf Mechiche-Alami, Roberto Ferrise, Yu Chen, Margarita Ruiz-Ramos, Marcos Lana, Piotr Baranowski, Nina Pirttioja, María Luisa Cuenca Montesino, František Jurečka

Publikováno v: Agricultural Systems
Agricultural Systems, Elsevier Masson, 2017, ⟨10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009⟩
Agricultural Systems, Elsevier Masson, 2017, 159, ⟨10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009⟩
Agricultural Systems 159 (2018)
Agricultural Systems, 2017, 159, ⟨10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009⟩
Agricultural Systems, 159, 260-274

This work was financially supported by the Spanish National Institute for Agricultural and Food Research and Technology (INIA, MACSUR01-UPM), the Italian Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry and the Finnish Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (D.M.

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::b141fc5b28468e7a76dd7869eff49770
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01607319

Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces

Autor: Alex C. Ruane, Kurt Christian Kersebaum, Roberto Ferrise, Frank Ewert, Lianhai Wu, Mikhail A. Semenov, Benjamin Dumont, Marco Acutis, Bruno Basso, Senthold Asseng, Timothy R. Carter, Enli Wang, Miroslav Trnka, Pierre Stratonovitch, Ingrid Jacquemin, Davide Cammarano, Alfredo Rodríguez, Stefan Fronzek, Per Bodin, Paola A. Deligios, Mattia Sanna, Marco Bindi, Nina Pirttioja, Manuel Montesino, Chris Kollas, Thomas Gaiser, Samuel Buis, Ignacio J. Lorite, Cezary Sławiński, Fulu Tao, Christoph Müller, Reimund P. Rötter, Marco Moriondo, Louis François, Katharina Waha, Piotr Baranowski, Taru Palosuo, Claas Nendel, Petr Hlavinka, Isik Öztürk, Françoise Ruget, Alessia Perego, Margarita Ruiz-Ramos, Zhigan Zhao, Marie-France Destain, Jaromir Krzyszczak, Julien Minet, Holger Hoffmann, M. I. Mínguez, Iwan Supit

Publikováno v: Climate Research, ISSN 0936-577X, 2015, Vol. 65
Archivo Digital UPM
instname
Climate Research
Climate Research, Inter Research, 2015, 65, pp.87-105. ⟨10.3354/cr01322⟩
Climate research 65 (2015): 87–105. doi:10.3354/cr01322
info:cnr-pdr/source/autori:Pirttioja, N.; Carter, T. R.; Fronzek, S.; Bindi, M.; Hoffmann, H.; Palosuo, T.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Tao, F.; Trnka, M.; Acutis, M.; Asseng, S.; Baranowski, P.; Basso, B.; Bodin, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Deligios, P.; Destain, M.-F.; Dumont, B.; Ewert, F.; Ferrise, R.; Francois, L.; Gaiser, T.; Hlavinka, P.; Jacquemin, I.; Kersebaum, K. C.; Kollas, C.; Krzyszczak, J.; Lorite, I. J.; Minet, J.; Minguez, M. I.; Montesino, M.; Moriondo, M.; Mueller, C.; Nendel, C.; Ozturk, I.; Perego, A.; Rodriguez, A.; Ruane, A. C.; Ruget, F.; Sanna, M.; Semenov, M. A.; Slawinski, C.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Waha, K.; Wang, E.; Wu, L.; Zhao, Z.; Roetter, R. P./titolo:Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces/doi:10.3354%2Fcr01322/rivista:Climate research/anno:2015/pagina_da:87/pagina_a:105/intervallo_pagine:87–105/volume:65
Climate Research 65 (2015)
Pirttioja, N, Carter, T, Fronzek, S, Bindi, M, Hoffmann, H, Palosuo, T, Ruiz-Ramos, M, Tao, F, Trnka, M, Acutis, M, Asseng, S, Baranowski, P, Basso, B, Bodin, P, Buis, S, Cammarano, D, Deligios, P, Destain, M-F, Dumont, B, Ewert, F, Ferrise, R, Francois, L, Gaiser, T, Hlavinka, P, Jacquemin, I, Kersebaum, KC, Kollas, C, Krzyszczak, J, Lorite, I J, Minet, J K, Minguez, M I, Montesino San Martin, M, Moriondo, M, Müller, C, Nendel, C, Öztürk, I, Perego, A, Rodríguez, A, Ruane, A C, Ruget, F, Sanna, M, Semenov, MA, Slawinski, C, Stratonovitch, P, Supit, I, Waha, K, Wang, E, Wu, L, Zhao, Z & Rötter, RP 2015, ' Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect : a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces ', Climate Research, vol. 65, pp. 87-105 . https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01322
Climate Research, 65, 87-105

This study explored the utility of the impact response surface (IRS) approach for investigating model ensemble crop yield responses under a large range of changes in climate. IRSs of spring and winter wheat Triticum aestivum yields were constructed f

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::9cae1c4e3291d2025c546ba2d71676c7
https://oa.upm.es/41427/