Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 21
pro vyhledávání: '"Nick J. Dunstone"'
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 25, Iss 10, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract The upper reaches of the Yangtze River Basin (UYRB) are famous for their hydropower generation and water resources in China, relying greatly on precipitation. The UYRB summer precipitation has decreased since the early 2000s and has been exp
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/3a29b6facc94499dade3d69f7b12c325
Autor:
Sarah Ineson, Nick J. Dunstone, Adam A. Scaife, Martin B. Andrews, Julia F. Lockwood, Bo Pang
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 25, Iss 3, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Using a large ensemble of initialised retrospective forecasts (hindcasts) from a seasonal prediction system, we explore various statistics relating to sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). Observations show that SSWs occur at a similar frequ
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/51c1555c3f8b4583a8e6e0618ee7be21
Autor:
Gillian Kay, Nick J. Dunstone, Anna Maidens, Adam A. Scaife, Doug M. Smith, Hazel E. Thornton, Laura Dawkins, Stephen E. Belcher
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 24, Iss 6, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Abstract The United Kingdom is committed to substantially increasing offshore wind capacity in its drive to decarbonise electricity production and achieve net zero. If low wind episodes—or ‘wind drought’ events—occur during high energy demand
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/fc4ffc97fc514aff8a053967a7cd84d5
Autor:
Steven C. Hardiman, Nick J. Dunstone, Adam A. Scaife, Doug M. Smith, Ruth Comer, Yu Nie, Hong-Li Ren
Publikováno v:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2022)
Abstract The signal-to-noise paradox that climate models are better at predicting the real world than their own ensemble forecast members highlights a serious and currently unresolved model error, adversely affecting climate predictions and introduci
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/d791a4dea8b940e9b092980fd50f56e1
Autor:
Sarah Ineson, Nick J. Dunstone, Hong-Li Ren, Richard Renshaw, Malcolm J. Roberts, Adam A. Scaife, Kuniko Yamazaki
Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Climate, Vol 3 (2021)
Long climate simulations with the Met Office Hadley Centre General Circulation Model show weak El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude asymmetry between El Niño and La Niña phases compared with observations. This lack of asymmetry is explore
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/2c3050d5c10e4b8592881262551ada99
Publikováno v:
Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol 33, Iss , Pp 100342- (2021)
Extratropical cyclones and their associated extreme precipitation and winds can have a severe impact on society and the co-occurrence between the two extremes is important when assessing risk. In this study the extremal dependency measure, χ, is use
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/d247154f3ab24842bde910dc08c1678f
Autor:
Steven C. Hardiman, Martin B. Andrews, Timothy Andrews, Andrew C. Bushell, Nick J. Dunstone, Harold Dyson, Gareth S. Jones, Jeff R. Knight, Erica Neininger, Fiona M. O'Connor, Jeff K. Ridley, Mark A. Ringer, Adam A. Scaife, Catherine A. Senior, Richard A. Wood
Publikováno v:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol 11, Iss 11, Pp 3443-3453 (2019)
Abstract The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 protocol suggests prescribing preindustrial ozone concentrations in abrupt‐4xCO2 simulations. This leads to a mismatch between the thermal tropopause, which rises due to climate change, and the o
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/35340bd7448e4b99a8be4160f9ef5691
Autor:
Sarah Ineson, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Michael K. Davey, Damien Decremer, Nick J. Dunstone, Margaret Gordon, Hong-Li Ren, Adam A. Scaife, Antje Weisheimer
Publikováno v:
Scientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2018)
Abstract Early in 2014 several forecast systems were suggesting a strong 1997/98-like El Niño event for the following northern hemisphere winter 2014/15. However the eventual outcome was a modest warming. In contrast, winter 2015/16 saw one of the s
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5f74304c23fb48b18c1b7be0b124ccd3
Autor:
Vikki Thompson, Nick J. Dunstone, Adam A. Scaife, Doug M. Smith, Julia M. Slingo, Simon Brown, Stephen E. Belcher
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-6 (2017)
A succession of storms during the 2013–2014 winter led to record flooding in the UK. Here, the authors use high-resolution climate simulations to show that this event could have been anticipated and that there remains a high chance of exceeding obs
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/45cf3e104bf0484da7bd18271267e461
Autor:
Carlos Delgado-Torres, Markus G. Donat, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Louis-Philippe Caron, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Nick J. Dunstone, An-Chi Ho, Dario Nicoli, Klaus Pankatz, Andreas Paxian, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Margarida Samsó Cabré, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Albert Soret, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate
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Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
© Copyright 2022 American Meteorological Society (AMS). For permission to reuse any portion of this Work, please contact permissions@ametsoc.org. Any use of material in this Work that is determined to be “fair use” under Section 107 of the U.S.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::289f9d30ade9cb0b9ca25f111b216557