Overconfidence in climate overshoot.

Autor: Schleussner CF; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. schleussner@iiasa.ac.at.; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany. schleussner@iiasa.ac.at.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany. schleussner@iiasa.ac.at., Ganti G; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany., Lejeune Q; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany., Zhu B; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climate et de l'Environnement, LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France., Pfleiderer P; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany.; Research Unit for Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany., Prütz R; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin, Germany.; Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, UK., Ciais P; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climate et de l'Environnement, LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France., Frölicher TL; Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland., Fuss S; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin, Germany.; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany., Gasser T; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria., Gidden MJ; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany., Kropf CM; Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss, Zürich, Switzerland., Lacroix F; Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland., Lamboll R; Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK., Martyr R; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany., Maussion F; Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.; School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK., McCaughey JW; Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss, Zürich, Switzerland., Meinshausen M; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.; Climate Resource, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia., Mengel M; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany., Nicholls Z; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.; Climate Resource, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia., Quilcaille Y; Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland., Sanderson B; Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway., Seneviratne SI; Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland., Sillmann J; Research Unit for Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.; Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway., Smith CJ; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.; School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK., Steinert NJ; Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway., Theokritoff E; Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany.; Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, UK., Warren R; Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK., Price J; Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK., Rogelj J; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.; Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, UK.; Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK.

Publikováno v: Nature [Nature] 2024 Oct; Vol. 634 (8033), pp. 366-373. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Oct 09.

Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled.

Autor: Nicholls, Z., Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J., Smith, C. J., Forster, P. M., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Rogelj, J., Kikstra, J. S., Riahi, K., Byers, E.

Publikováno v: Geophysical Research Letters; 10/28/2022, Vol. 49 Issue 20, p1-11, 11p

Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks.

Autor: Gidden MJ; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. gidden@iiasa.ac.at.; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany. gidden@iiasa.ac.at., Gasser T; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria., Grassi G; Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Ispra, Italy., Forsell N; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria., Janssens I; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.; Department of Computer Science, imec, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium., Lamb WF; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.; Priestley International Centre of Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK., Minx J; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany.; Priestley International Centre of Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK., Nicholls Z; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.; Melbourne Climate Future's Doctoral Academy, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.; Climate Resource, Northcote, Victoria, Australia., Steinhauser J; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany., Riahi K; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

Publikováno v: Nature [Nature] 2023 Dec; Vol. 624 (7990), pp. 102-108. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Nov 22.

Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2 degrees C? Increased ambition and implementation are essential

Autor: Ou, Y, Iyer, G, Clarke, L, Edmonds, J, Fawcett, AA, Hultman, N, McFarland, JR, Binsted, M, Cui, R, Fyson, C, Geiges, A, Gonzales-Zuniga, S, Gidden, MJ, Hoehne, N, Jeffery, L, Kuramochi, T, Lewis, J, Meinshausen, M, Nicholls, Z, Patel, P, Ragnauth, S, Rogelj, J, Waldhoff, S, Yu, S, McJeon, H

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=od______1032::a8d4a75bdbdccf5d0178f28174acc824
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/92986

Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections

Autor: Nicholls, Z., Meinshausen, Malte, Lewis, J., Corradi, M. Rojas, Dorheim, K., Gasser, Thomas, Gieseke, R., Hope, A.P., Leach, N.J., McBride, L.A., Quilcaille, Y., Rogelj, Joeri, Salawitch, Ross J., Samset, B.H., Sandstad, Marit, Shiklomanov, A., Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt, Smith, Christopher J., Smith, Steven J., Su, X., Tsutsui, J., Vega-Westhoff, B., Woodard, D.L.

Externí odkaz: https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2984088