Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 21
pro vyhledávání: '"Nicholas J. Leach"'
Autor:
Nicholas J. Leach, Christopher D. Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Daniel Heathcote, Dann M. Mitchell, Vikki Thompson, Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 15, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2024)
Abstract The 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave was so extreme as to challenge conventional statistical and climate-model-based approaches to extreme weather attribution. However, state-of-the-art operational weather prediction systems are demonstrably
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1d69bb4b4f844d15b3d2075161228365
Autor:
Vikki Thompson, Dann Mitchell, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Matthew Collins, Nicholas J. Leach, Julia M. Slingo
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 14, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2023)
Abstract Heatwaves are becoming more frequent under climate change and can lead to thousands of excess deaths. Adaptation to extreme weather events often occurs in response to an event, with communities learning fast following unexpectedly impactful
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/7dd38736e3be469c916491fd4b378c94
Publikováno v:
Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol 36, Iss , Pp 100419- (2022)
Recent extreme weather across the globe highlights the need to understand the potential for more extreme events in the present-day, and how such events may change with global warming. We present a methodology for more efficiently sampling extremes in
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/e7e13b5e38e94564ac0cf56a7f9bf2dc
Autor:
Alison C. Smith, Paula A. Harrison, Nicholas J. Leach, H. Charles J. Godfray, Jim W. Hall, Sarah M. Jones, Sarah S. Gall, Michael Obersteiner
Publikováno v:
Sustainability Science. 18:521-538
Agricultural and environmental policies are being fundamentally reviewed and redesigned in the UK following its exit from the European Union. The UK government and the Devolved Administrations recognise that current land use is not sustainable and th
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::5e855a2fa5113f7f7e0a154ef7b4cfa8
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01242-8
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01242-8
Here we explore the use of “counterfactual” weather forecasts, using perturbed initial condition runs of a state-of-the-art high-resolution coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea-ice ensemble NWP system, for the attribution of extreme weather events to ant
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::b26d8395a28cc74d7b358a246f8cb889
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5949
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5949
Publikováno v:
Leach, N, Watson, P A G, Sparrow, S, Wallom, D & Sexton, D 2022, ' Generating samples of extreme winters to support climate adaptation ', Weather and Climate Extremes, vol. 36, 100419 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100419
Recent extreme weather across the globe highlights the need to understand the potential for more extreme events in the present-day, and how such events may change with global warming. We present a methodology for more efficiently sampling extremes in
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::9f41c3c422f45af63f2a22669f497ce7
https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:34e752db-d59b-4d49-81b6-45a28e4c10d5
https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:34e752db-d59b-4d49-81b6-45a28e4c10d5
Publikováno v:
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Between the 21st and 27th February 2019, climatologically exceptional warm temperature anomalies of 10-15 °C were experienced throughout Northern and Western Europe. In particular, the 25th - 27th February saw record-breaking temperatures measured a
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::497f80d7cfc256c9ef37f2e4deab991b
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2112087118
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2112087118
Autor:
Nicholas J. Leach, Stuart Jenkins, Zebedee Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, John Lynch, Michelle Cain, Tristram Walsh, Bill Wu, Junichi Tsutsui, Myles R. Allen
Here we present an update to the FaIR model for use in probabilistic future climate and scenario exploration, integrated assessment, policy analysis and education. In this update we have focussed on identifying a minimum level of structural complexit
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::c4daa55807a827e1696a790a21ea6c3e
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-390
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-390
Autor:
Nicholas J. Leach, Stuart Jenkins, Zebedee Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, John Lynch, Michelle Cain, Tristram Walsh, Bill Wu, Junichi Tsutsui, Myles R. Allen
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::3d98385a88131f244e10865f5033b31f
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-390-supplement
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-390-supplement
Autor:
John Lynch, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas J. Leach, Myles R. Allen, Bill Wu, Junichi Tsutsui, Michelle Cain, Zebedee Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith
Here we present a Generalised Impulse Response (GIR) model for use in probabilistic future climate and scenario exploration, integrated assessment, policy analysis and teaching. This model is based on a set of only six equations, which correspond to
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::f87c1bf2077a6f893cac36a9ac82cdbf
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-379
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-379