Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 89
pro vyhledávání: '"Munehiko Yamaguchi"'
Recommendations for improved tropical cyclone formation and position probabilistic Forecast products
Autor:
Jason P. Dunion, Chris Davis, Helen Titley, Helen Greatrex, Munehiko Yamaguchi, John Methven, Raghavendra Ashrit, Zhuo Wang, Hui Yu, Anne-Claire Fontan, Alan Brammer, Matthew Kucas, Matthew Ford, Philippe Papin, Fernando Prates, Carla Mooney, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, Paromita Chakraborty, Andrew Burton, Mark DeMaria, Ryan Torn, Jonathan L. Vigh
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 12, Iss 4, Pp 241-258 (2023)
Prediction of the potentially devastating impact of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) relies substantially on numerical prediction systems. Due to the limited predictability of TCs and the need to express forecast confidence and possible scenarios,
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/6db7bb53613a40869deddb5e5113a85e
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 10, Iss 3, Pp 151-169 (2021)
Although tropical cyclone (TC) track forecast errors (TFEs) of operational warning centres have substantially decreased in recent decades, there are still many cases with large TFEs. The International Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) data are used to st
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/af42321634a34bfab8d5e62695263e4c
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2020)
How the translation speed of tropical cyclones has changed in recent decades and will change in the future has been the subject of debate. Model results show that on average, they have not slowed down in the past, but despite a slowing of tropical cy
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/166a54850d214b4cad36cf742a82afe1
Autor:
Suzana J. Camargo, Joanne Camp, Russell L. Elsberry, Paul A. Gregory, Philip J. Klotzbach, Carl J. Schreck, III, Adam H. Sobel, Michael J. Ventrice, Frédéric Vitart, Zhuo Wang, Matthew C. Wheeler, Munehiko Yamaguchi, Ruifen Zhan
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 8, Iss 3, Pp 150-165 (2019)
Here we discuss recent progress in understanding tropical cyclone (TC) subseasonal variability and its prediction. There has been a concerted effort to understand the sources of predictability at subseasonal time-scales, and this effort has continued
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/da6c363431d24e1f81c00ec1913a5780
Autor:
Linus Magnusson, James D. Doyle, William A. Komaromi, Ryan D. Torn, Chi Kit Tang, Johnny.C.L. Chan, Munehiko Yamaguchi, Fuqing Zhang
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 8, Iss 3, Pp 109-122 (2019)
Although tropical cyclone track forecast errors have substantially decreased in recent decades, there are still cases each season with large uncertainties in the forecasts and/or very large track errors. As such cases are challenging for forecasters,
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/fb20e0926e1243a29f8b3bfb375e29ed
Publikováno v:
Meteorological Applications, Vol 27, Iss 1, Pp n/a-n/a (2020)
Abstract The track forecast of a tropical cyclone (TC) located near the neutral point of a split subtropical high pressure system under the influence of a nearby trough is difficult and can lead to a large forecast spread among different global numer
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/270f1c37eca745d799a8739507913605
Autor:
Masato Nishimura, Munehiko Yamaguchi
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 4, Iss 2, Pp 71-78 (2015)
ABSTRACT: A selective ensemble mean technique for tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts, which excludes from the ensemble those models that have large position errors at short lead times, was applied to a set of TC track forecasts produced by 11 oper
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/45f7f61269934ab1bb48be2bbbca0ecf
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 3, Iss 3, Pp 193-201 (2014)
ABSTRACT: The WMO/TCP and WWRP launched the North Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Forecast Project (NWP-TCEFP) in 2009 to explore the utility of ensemble forecasts, including multi-model ensemble forecasts of TCs, and to promote such produc
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5bc8f76e49ef4d0cb426d566f9be1539
Publikováno v:
JOURNAL OF JAPAN SOCIETY OF HYDROLOGY AND WATER RESOURCES. 36:52-62
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::4f4cb8f6fb398efa70e70009d2873ade
https://doi.org/10.3178/jjshwr.36.1747
https://doi.org/10.3178/jjshwr.36.1747
Autor:
Dunion, Jason P., Davis, Chris, Titley, Helen, Greatrex, Helen, Munehiko Yamaguchi, Methven, John, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Zhuo Wang, Hui Yu, Fontan, Anne-Claire, Brammer, Alan, Kucas, Matthew, Ford, Matthew, Papin, Philippe, Prates, Fernando, Mooney, Carla, Kruczkiewicz, Andrew, Chakraborty, Paromita, Burton, Andrew, DeMaria, Mark
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research & Review; Dec2023, Vol. 12 Issue 4, p241-258, 18p