Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 50
pro vyhledávání: '"Michelle L'Heureux"'
Autor:
Mingyue Chen, Arun Kumar, Michelle L’Heureux, Peitao Peng, Tao Zhang, Martin P. Hoerling, Henry F. Diaz
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract We investigate why the North American Multi‐Model Ensemble (NMME) upper‐level height forecast for December–February (DJF) 2023/24 differs from the expected El Niño response. These atypical height anomalies emerged despite the fact a s
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5ea12b3acd6b44049aed0cdd9b52255e
Autor:
Sukyoung Lee, Michelle L’Heureux, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Richard Seager, Paul A. O’Gorman, Nathaniel C. Johnson
Publikováno v:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2022)
Abstract Changes in the zonal gradients of sea surface temperature (SST) across the equatorial Pacific have major consequences for global climate. Therefore, accurate future projections of these tropical Pacific gradients are of paramount importance
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/4e5dfaf2aa19434aa470219e13c0bd18
Autor:
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Harry Hendon, Timothy Stockdale, Michelle L’Heureux, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Roop Singh, Maarten van Aalst
Publikováno v:
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 16, Iss 4, p 044003 (2021)
Extreme weather and climate events associated with El Niño and La Niña cause massive societal impacts. Therefore, observations and forecasts are used around the world to prepare for such events. However, global warming has caused warm El Niño even
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/ef2c8cc52c804ce28fa0bc666b733015
Autor:
Howard J. Diamond, Carl J. Schreck, Adam Allgood, Emily J. Becker, Eric S. Blake, Francis G. Bringas, Suzana J. Camargo, Lin Chen, Caio A. S. Coelho, Nicolas Fauchereau, Stanley B. Goldenberg, Gustavo Goni, Michael S. Halpert, Qiong He, Zeng-Zhen Hu, Philip J. Klotzbach, John A. Knaff, Arun Kumar, Chris W. Landsea, Michelle L’Heureux, I.-I. Lin, Andrew M. Lorrey, Jing-Jia Luo, Andrew D. Magee, Richard J. Pasch, Alexandre B. Pezza, Matthew Rosencrans, Blair C. Trewin, Ryan E. Truchelut, Bin Wang, Hui Wang, Kimberly M. Wood, John-Mark Woolley
Publikováno v:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103:S193-S256
Publikováno v:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103:E973-E995
Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking ahead to its second decade. The NMME comprises both real-time, initialize
Autor:
Howard J. Diamond, Carl J. Schreck, Emily J. Becker, Gerald D. Bell, Eric S. Blake, Stephanie Bond, Francis G. Bringas, Suzana J. Camargo, Lin Chen, Caio A. S. Coelho, Ricardo Domingues, Stanley B. Goldenberg, Gustavo Goni, Nicolas Fauchereau, Michael S. Halpert, Qiong He, Philip J. Klotzbach, John A. Knaff, Michelle L'Heureux, Chris W. Landsea, I.-I. Lin, Andrew M. Lorrey, Jing-Jia Luo, Kyle MacRitchie, Andrew D. Magee, Ben Noll, Richard J. Pasch, Alexandre B. Pezza, Matthew Rosencrans, Michael K. Tippet, Blair C. Trewin, Ryan E. Truchelut, Bin Wang, Hui Wang, Kimberly M. Wood, John-Mark Woolley, Steven H. Young
Publikováno v:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 102:S199-S262
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate. :1-59
The relationship between the Warm Water Volume (WWV) ENSO precursor and ENSO SST weakened substantially after ~2000, coinciding with a degradation in dynamical model ENSO prediction skill. It is important to understand the drivers of the equatorial t
Publikováno v:
Climate Dynamics. 56:3045-3063
In this study, we examined the temporal variations of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction skill during 1958–2016 in the context of the evolution in the tropical Pacific subsurface ocean observing system. To examine the temporal varia
Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Climate. 4
Models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) predict sea surface temperature (SST) trends in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean which are more positive than those observed over the period 1982–2020. These trend errors are
Autor:
Stephen Baxter, Gerald D Bell, Eric S Blake, Francis G Bringas, Suzana J Camargo, Lin Chen, Caio A. S Coelho, Ricardo Domingues, Stanley B Goldenberg, Gustavo Goni, Nicolas Fauchereau, Michael S Halpert, Qiong He, Philip J Klotzbach, John A Knaff, Michelle L'Heureux, Chris W Landsea, I.-I Lin, Andrew M Lorrey, Jing-Jia Luo, Andrew D Magee, Richard J Pasch, Petra R Pearce, Alexandre B Pezza, Matthew Rosencrans, Blair C Trewin, Ryan E Truchelut, Bin Wang, H Wang, Kimberly M Wood, John-Mark Woolley
Publikováno v:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 101:S185-S238