Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 181
pro vyhledávání: '"Michael T. Owyang"'
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Forecasting. 39:279-297
Publikováno v:
Oxford Open Economics. 2
Smooth-transition autoregressive (STAR) models, competitors of Markov-switching models, are limited by an assumed time-invariant threshold level. We augment the STAR model with a time-varying threshold that can be interpreted as a ‘tipping level’
Publikováno v:
Journal of Applied Econometrics. 37:415-432
Publikováno v:
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 54:921-952
We study the comovement of international business cycles in a time series clustering model with regime-switching. We extend the framework of Hamilton and Owyang (2012) to include time-varying transition probabilities to determine what drives similari
Publikováno v:
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. 40:1246-1258
While conditional forecasting has become prevalent both in the academic literature and in practice (e.g., bank stress testing, scenario forecasting), its applications typically focus on continuous ...
Publikováno v:
Economic Modelling. 84:309-321
During the Great Recession, the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate nearly to zero and began using unconventional monetary policy. A fed funds rate near zero is no longer a proper representation of policy. Thus, empirical models of monetar
Autor:
Julie Bennett, Michael T. Owyang
Publikováno v:
Review. 104