Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 187
pro vyhledávání: '"Michael K. Tippett"'
Autor:
Michael K. Tippett, Emily J. Becker
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 16, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract We evaluate the skill and sources of skill in initialized seasonal climate forecasts of monthly global mean temperature from the North American Multi‐Model Ensemble (NMME) during the period 1991–2024. The forecasts demonstrate skill in a
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1a74128188874df0a23fd1fae07d9775
Autor:
Chia‐Ying Lee, Adam H. Sobel, Michael K. Tippett, Suzana J. Camargo, Marc Wüest, Michael Wehner, Hiroyuki Murakami
Publikováno v:
Earth's Future, Vol 11, Iss 11, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Abstract This manuscript discusses the challenges in detecting and attributing recently observed trends in the Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) and the epistemic uncertainty we face in assessing future risk. We use synthetic storms downscaled from five
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/ff745b83d5c94e3b98da5865032f6920
Autor:
James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Amanda S. Black, Timothy DelSole, Chiara Lepore, Richard J. Matear, Didier P. Monselesan, Thomas S. Moore, Doug Richardson, Andrew Schepen, Michael K. Tippett, Carly R. Tozer
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2021)
Many different methods have been developed to forecast climate phenomena like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which makes a fair comparison of their capabilities crucial. In this perspective, the authors discuss how choices in the evaluation
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/9d7dd92951164f0cb18c3354bbbe7c83
Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Climate, Vol 4 (2022)
Models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) predict sea surface temperature (SST) trends in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean which are more positive than those observed over the period 1982–2020. These trend errors are
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0828ca73ffde44229765a8235e8e9f7f
Publikováno v:
Earth's Future, Vol 9, Iss 12, Pp n/a-n/a (2021)
Abstract The response of severe convective storms to a warming climate is poorly understood outside of a few well studied regions. Here, projections from seven global climate models from the CMIP6 archive, for both historical and future scenarios, ar
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/f0d58b8ab49a4c4f9c7fcb80f4b1a5af
Autor:
Adam H. Sobel, Allison A. Wing, Suzana J. Camargo, Christina M. Patricola, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Chia‐Ying Lee, Michael K. Tippett
Publikováno v:
Earth's Future, Vol 9, Iss 12, Pp n/a-n/a (2021)
Abstract The frequency with which tropical cyclones (TCs) occur controls all other aspects of tropical cyclone risk since a storm that does not occur can do no harm. Yet this frequency is poorly understood. There is no accepted theory that explains t
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/d939c9d484eb406cb27c8e3696330856
Publikováno v:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 223-241 (2018)
Abstract A new statistical‐dynamical model is developed for estimating the long‐term hazard of rare, high impact tropical cyclones events globally. There are three components representing the complete storm lifetime: an environmental index‐base
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/c504790354424a3fa1d2c1bf7bcee9a0
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-5 (2016)
Tropical cyclones rarely achieve high intensities gradually. Here, the authors show that rapid intensification is relevant not only to short-term weather forecasting, but also to the relationship between tropical cyclones and climate.
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/4e48d96939d34da9a411e932757e3e0a
Autor:
Michael K. Tippett, Joel E. Cohen
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2016)
Tornadoes, which cause loss of life and damage to property worldwide, may occur in outbreaks of six or more in rapid succession. Here, the authors show that the annual mean number of tornadoes per US outbreak rose over the last 60 years, with the var
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/10fcf2a31a3d4d02a91cde6f88548fc5
Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Environmental Science, Vol 5 (2017)
Subseasonal forecast skill over the broadly defined North American (NAM), West African (WAM) and Asian (AM) summer monsoon regions is investigated using three Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) at sub-monthly lead times. Extended Logistic Regression (
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/cd6b17135cc6458d8f61e66a31d0c390