Zobrazeno 1 - 9
of 9
pro vyhledávání: '"Matthew J. Onderlinde"'
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 12, Iss 6, p 683 (2021)
Although some recent progress has been made in operational tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting, the prediction of rapid intensification (RI) remains a challenging problem. To document RI forecast progress, deterministic and probabilistic oper
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/219993642a574db392657aaac7647a54
Autor:
Mark DeMaria, James L. Franklin, Rachel Zelinsky, David A. Zelinsky, Matthew J. Onderlinde, John A. Knaff, Stephanie N. Stevenson, John Kaplan, Kate D. Musgrave, Galina Chirokova, Charles R. Sampson
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 37:2141-2159
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) uses a variety of guidance models for its operational tropical cyclone track, intensity, and wind structure forecasts, and as baselines for the evaluation of forecast skill. A set of the simpler models, collectivel
Autor:
David S. Nolan, Matthew J. Onderlinde
Publikováno v:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 14
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 12, Iss 683, p 683 (2021)
Atmosphere
Volume 12
Issue 6
Atmosphere
Volume 12
Issue 6
Although some recent progress has been made in operational tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting, the prediction of rapid intensification (RI) remains a challenging problem. To document RI forecast progress, deterministic and probabilistic oper
Autor:
David S. Nolan, Matthew J. Onderlinde
Publikováno v:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 9:908-931
Previous studies using idealized numerical simulations to understand the tropical cyclone (TC) response to time-varying wind shear have applied instantaneous changes in the TC environment. This was typically accomplished by pausing the simulation, co
Autor:
David S. Nolan, Matthew J. Onderlinde
Publikováno v:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 73:869-890
Tropical cyclone–relative environmental helicity (TCREH) is a measure of how the wind vector changes direction with height, and it has been shown to modulate the rate at which tropical cyclones (TCs) develop both in idealized simulations and in rea
Autor:
David S. Nolan, Matthew J. Onderlinde
Publikováno v:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 71:4308-4320
Much attention has been given to the impact of environmental wind shear in the 850–200-hPa layer on tropical cyclones (TCs). However, even with the same magnitude of shear, helicity in this layer can vary significantly. A new parameter is presented
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 29:1238-1255
The authors develop a statistical guidance product, the tropical cyclone tornado parameter (TCTP), for forecasting the probability of one or more tornadoes during a 6-h period that are associated with landfalling tropical cyclones affecting the coast
Publikováno v:
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2009.