Spatial heterogeneity affects predictions from early-curve fitting of pandemic outbreaks: a case study using population data from Denmark.

Autor: Heltberg ML; Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 17, Copenhagen E 2100, Denmark.; Laboratoire de Physique, Ecole Normale Superieure, Rue Lhomond 15, Paris 07505, France.; Infektionsberedskab, Statens Serum Institute, Artillerivej, Copenhagen S 2300, Denmark., Michelsen C; Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 17, Copenhagen E 2100, Denmark., Martiny ES; Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 17, Copenhagen E 2100, Denmark., Christensen LE; DTU Compute, Section for Dynamical Systems, Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Technical University of Denmark, Anker Engelunds Vej 101A, Kongens Lyngby 2800, Denmark., Jensen MH; Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 17, Copenhagen E 2100, Denmark., Halasa T; Animal Welfare and Disease Control, University of Copenhagen, Gronnegårdsvej 8, Frederiksberg C 1870, Denmark., Petersen TC; Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 17, Copenhagen E 2100, Denmark.

Publikováno v: Royal Society open science [R Soc Open Sci] 2022 Sep 14; Vol. 9 (9), pp. 220018. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Sep 14 (Print Publication: 2022).