Výsledky vyhledávání - "Marcos A Capistran"

Akademický článek

Forecasting hospital demand in metropolitan areas during the current COVID-19 pandemic and estimates of lockdown-induced 2nd waves.

Autor: Marcos A Capistran, Antonio Capella, J Andrés Christen

Publikováno v: PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 1, p e0245669 (2021)

We present a forecasting model aim to predict hospital occupancy in metropolitan areas during the current COVID-19 pandemic. Our SEIRD type model features asymptomatic and symptomatic infections with detailed hospital dynamics. We model explicitly br

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/c3ff2dcb96b24092bad24ffec19b1b38

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Inference for stochastic kinetic models from multiple data sources for joint estimation of infection dynamics from aggregate reports and virological data

Autor: García, Yury E., Chkrebtii, Oksana A., and, Marcos A. Capistrán, Noyola, Daniel E.

Influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are the leading etiological agents of seasonal acute respiratory infections (ARI) around the world. Medical doctors typically base the diagnosis of ARI on patients' symptoms alone and do not always cond

Externí odkaz: http://arxiv.org/abs/1903.10905

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Akademický článek

First principles modeling of nonlinear incidence rates in seasonal epidemics.

Autor: José M Ponciano, Marcos A Capistrán

Publikováno v: PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 7, Iss 2, p e1001079 (2011)

In this paper we used a general stochastic processes framework to derive from first principles the incidence rate function that characterizes epidemic models. We investigate a particular case, the Liu-Hethcote-van den Driessche's (LHD) incidence rate

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/a88d4cd16b044644bf2a03def45393eb

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