Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration

Autor: Kristin E. Porter, Malte Möser, Flora Wang, Bingyu Zhao, Wei Lee Woon, Yoshihiko Suhara, Adaner Usmani, Erik H. Wang, Kun Jin, Samantha Weissman, William Eggert, Hamidreza Omidvar, Andrew Or, Lisa M Hummel, Gregory Faletto, Ben Sender, Qiankun Niu, Viola Mocz, Antje Kirchner, Catherine Wu, Karen Ouyang, Ian Lundberg, Allison C. Morgan, Abdulla Alhajri, Arvind Narayanan, Khaled AlGhoneim, Louis Raes, Ilana M. Horwitz, Barbara E. Engelhardt, Ben Leizman, Crystal Qian, Drew Altschul, Guanhua He, Jeanne Brooks-Gunn, Ridhi Kashyap, Eaman Jahani, Ryan James Compton, Anna Filippova, Sara McLanahan, Tejomay Gadgil, Claudia V. Roberts, Muna Adem, Julia Wang, Jeremy Freese, Alexander T. Kindel, Daniel E Rigobon, Naijia Liu, Lisa P. Argyle, Mayank Mahajan, Jonathan D Tang, Moritz Hardt, Ethan Porter, Diana Mercado-Garcia, Andrew Halpern-Manners, Anahit Sargsyan, Duncan J. Watts, Alex Pentland, Sonia P Hashim, Dean Knox, Onur Varol, Ryan Amos, James M. Wu, Thomas Davidson, Emma Tsurkov, Bernie Hogan, Areg Karapetyan, William Nowak, Jingwen Yin, Livia Baer-Bositis, Landon Schnabel, Chenyun Zhu, Noah Mandell, Ahmed Musse, Yue Gao, Josh Gagné, Stephen McKay, Jennie E. Brand, Abdullah Almaatouq, Katy M. Pinto, Andrew E Mack, Austin van Loon, Bedoor K. AlShebli, Helge Marahrens, Xiafei Wang, Bryan Schonfeld, Sonia Hausen, Kengran Yang, Maria Wolters, Brandon M. Stewart, Naman Jain, Moritz Büchi, Nicole Bohme Carnegie, Redwane Amin, Caitlin Ahearn, Kirstie Whitaker, Bo-Ryehn Chung, Diana Stanescu, Thomas Schaffner, Patrick Kaminski, David Jurgens, Kivan Polimis, Kimberly Higuera, Zhilin Fan, Matthew J. Salganik, Debanjan Datta, Connor Gilroy, E H Kim, Katariina Mueller-Gastell, Karen Levy, Brian J. Goode, Zhi Wang, Tamkinat Rauf

Publikováno v: PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 117(15), 8398-8403. NATL ACAD SCIENCES
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Salganik, M J, Lundberg, I, Kindel, A T, Ahearn, C E, Al-ghoneim, K, Almaatouq, A, Altschul, D M, Brand, J E, Carnegie, N B, Compton, R J, Datta, D, Davidson, T, Filippova, A, Gilroy, C, Goode, B J, Jahani, E, Kashyap, R, Kirchner, A, Mckay, S, Morgan, A C, Pentland, A, Polimis, K, Raes, L, Rigobon, D E, Roberts, C V, Stanescu, D M, Suhara, Y, Usmani, A, Wang, E H, Adem, M, Alhajri, A, Alshebli, B, Amin, R, Amos, R B, Argyle, L P, Baer-bositis, L, Büchi, M, Chung, B, Eggert, W, Faletto, G, Fan, Z, Freese, J, Gadgil, T, Gagné, J, Gao, Y, Halpern-manners, A, Hashim, S P, Hausen, S, He, G, Higuera, K, Hogan, B, Horwitz, I M, Hummel, L M, Jain, N, Jin, K, Jurgens, D, Kaminski, P, Karapetyan, A, Kim, E H, Leizman, B, Liu, N, Möser, M, Mack, A E, Mahajan, M, Mandell, N, Marahrens, H, Mercado-garcia, D, Mocz, V, Mueller-gastell, K, Musse, A, Niu, Q, Nowak, W, Omidvar, H, Or, A, Ouyang, K, Pinto, K M, Porter, E, Porter, K E, Qian, C, Rauf, T, Sargsyan, A, Schaffner, T, Schnabel, L, Schonfeld, B, Sender, B, Tang, J D, Tsurkov, E, Van Loon, A, Varol, O, Wang, X, Wang, Z, Wang, J, Wang, F, Weissman, S, Whitaker, K, Wolters, M K, Woon, W L, Wu, J, Wu, C, Yang, K, Yin, J, Zhao, B, Zhu, C, Brooks-gunn, J, Engelhardt, B E, Hardt, M, Knox, D, Levy, K, Narayanan, A, Stewart, B M, Watts, D J & Mclanahan, S 2020, ' Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration ', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117, no. 15, pp. 8398-8403 . https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915006117

© This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercialNoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND). How predictable are life trajectories? We investigated this question with a scientific mass collaboration using the co

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https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915006117