Questioning the use of global estimates of reproduction numbers, with implications for policy

Autor: Kollepara, Pratyush K., Miller, Joel C.

The basic reproduction number, $R_0$ is an important and widely used concept in the study of infectious diseases. We briefly review the recent trend of calculating the average of various $R_0$ estimates in systematic reviews aimed at estimating the b

Externí odkaz: http://arxiv.org/abs/2112.05437

Unmasking the mask studies: why the effectiveness of surgical masks in preventing respiratory infections has been underestimated

Autor: Kollepara, Pratyush K., Siegenfeld, Alexander F., Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, Bar-Yam, Yaneer

Publikováno v: Journal of Travel Medicine 28 (7), taab144 (2021)

Face masks have been widely used as a protective measure against COVID-19. However, pre-pandemic empirical studies have produced mixed statistical results on the effectiveness of masks against respiratory viruses. The implications of the studies' rec

Externí odkaz: http://arxiv.org/abs/2102.04882

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Modeling complex systems: A case study of compartmental models in epidemiology, New England Complex Systems Institute (October 6, 2021).

Autor: Kollepara, Pratyush K., Siegenfeld, Alexander F., Bar-Yam, Yaneer

Publikováno v: Journal of Policy & Complex Systems; Spring2023, Vol. 8 Issue 1, p85-86, 2p

Heterogeneity in network structure switches the dominant transmission mode of infectious diseases.

Autor: Kollepara PK; Department of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, La Trobe University, Plenty Rd and Kingsbury Dr, Melbourne, 3086 VIC, Australia., Chisholm RH; Department of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, La Trobe University, Plenty Rd and Kingsbury Dr, Melbourne, 3086 VIC, Australia.; Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Grattan St, Melbourne, 3010 VIC, Australia., Miller JC; Department of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, La Trobe University, Plenty Rd and Kingsbury Dr, Melbourne, 3086 VIC, Australia.

Publikováno v: PNAS nexus [PNAS Nexus] 2023 Jul 11; Vol. 2 (8), pp. pgad227. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Jul 11 (Print Publication: 2023).