Subseasonal Forecasts of Opportunity Identified by an Explainable Neural Network

Autor: Kirsten Mayer, Elizabeth A. Barnes

Midlatitude prediction on subseasonal timescales is difficult due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere and often requires the identification of favorable atmospheric conditions that may lead to enhanced skill ("forecasts of opportunity"). Here, we

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::87f18922378c6f770c230df943d1d2d7
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9015

Machine learning to extend and understand the sources and limits of water cycle predictability on subseasonal-to-decadal timescales in the Earth system

Autor: Kevin Raeder, Kathy Pegion, Sasha Glanville, Gerald A. Meehl, Isla R. Simpson, Jadwiga H. Richter, W. Chapman, Aneesh C. Subramanian, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Aixue Hu, Zane Martin, David, Judith Berner, Katherine Dagon, Sue Ellen Haupt, Maria J. Molina, Kirsten Mayer, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Steve G. Yeager, Julie Caron

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::8a6d94d9e6712bc50ab5f593fecd27c6
https://doi.org/10.2172/1769744

Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

Autor: Caio A. S. Coelho, Ching Ho Justin Ng, Amy H. Butler, Nicholas P. Klingaman, Judith Perlwitz, Frederic Vitart, Johanna Baehr, Klaus Pankatz, Jennifer Mecking, Felipe M. de Andrade, Arun Kumar, Michel Rixen, Simon C. Peatman, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Albert Ossó, Johnna M. Infanti, Kathy Pegion, Nele Neddermann, Tatiana Ilynia, Katharina Isensee, Georgios Fragkoulidis, Asmerom F Beraki, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Partha S. Bhattacharjee, G. Cristina Recalde-Coronel, Nicolas Vigaud, Douglas E. Miller, Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, June-Yi Lee, Matthias Tuma, Wolfgang A. Müller, Constantin Ardilouze, Yuhei Takaya, Christoph Renkl, Paul A. Dirmeyer, William J. Merryfield, Kirsten Mayer, Cory Baggett, Roberto Bilbao, Christopher J. White, Sam Grainger, Takahito Kataoka, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Roseanna C. McKay, Magdalena Balmaseda, Lauriane Batté, Y. Qiang Sun, Steven J. Woolnough, Aaron Spring, Benjamin W. Green, Momme C. Hell, Stephen Yeager, Annika Reintges, Mariano Sebastián Alvarez, Emily Becker, Hannah Attard, Doug Smith, Carly R. Tozer, Leandro B. Díaz, Michael J. DeFlorio, Laura Ferranti, Cristiana Stan, Andrew W. Robertson, Ben P. Kirtman

Publikováno v: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
instacron:CONICET
UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)

Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time scales a valuable tool for decision-makers. As such, there is a growing inte

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::46a2d6173302a95dd6eb1e2a04fad50b

Response to Anonymous Referee #2

Autor: Kirsten Mayer

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::a8562bcc80a5c0d631a5bf796685281c
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2019-13-ac2

Subseasonal Midlatitude Prediction Skill Following QBO-MJO Activity

Autor: Kirsten Mayer, Elizabeth A. Barnes

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is known to force extratropical weather days-to-weeks following an MJO event through excitation of stationary Rossby waves, tropical-extratropical teleconnections. Prior research has demonstrated that this tropical

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::64ceec8220a7e82b3fabd38159284d0e
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2019-13