Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 57
pro vyhledávání: '"Kenneth C. Lichtendahl"'
Publikováno v:
Operations Research. 70:2998-3014
Many organizations combine forecasts of probabilities of binary events to support critical business decisions, such as the approval of credit or the recommendation of a drug. To aggregate individual probabilities, we offer a new method based on Bayes
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::13cdaeab826685d9d1e33b5873610460
https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2021.2176
https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2021.2176
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Forecasting. 36:142-149
The evidence from the literature on forecast combination shows that combinations generally perform well. We discuss here how the accuracy and diversity of the methods being combined and the robustness of the combination rule can influence performance
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::9eaaac3b6e5f03274fdec97353126238
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.027
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.027
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::6af1fa92446220c056b4305218eff3e1
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4121705
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4121705
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::13a514a0a43f85ca5db2ef278c687922
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4133739
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4133739
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::af73bf8fb9376278d23137e18a34dc26
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4050083
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4050083
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::eb09793c68fa9bc944dd1b26d8b4e6d8
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4182743
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4182743
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::724ecdd598b8282dcfdcf5a2457a5908
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4121706
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4121706
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::21241e05cdd5a2493841d95220a1a004
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4172434
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4172434
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::062527d86a8597832a3818219c8d2d50
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4085007
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4085007
Publikováno v:
Decision Analysis. 16:239-260
We explore some recent, and not so recent, developments concerning the use of probability forecasts and their combination in decision making. Despite these advances, challenges still exist. We expand on some important challenges influencing the “go
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::e1346fa9c39df9c27d356a4b7617cbc7
https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2019.0391
https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2019.0391