A Decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, Application, and Future Directions

Autor: Emily J. Becker, Ben P. Kirtman, Michelle L’Heureux, Ángel G. Muñoz, Kathy Pegion

Publikováno v: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103:E973-E995

Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking ahead to its second decade. The NMME comprises both real-time, initialize

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::ded2026365fe7c92807f22164915d48b
https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0327.1

Subseasonal Prediction with and without a Well-Represented Stratosphere in CESM1

Autor: Dan C. Collins, Hye-Mi Kim, Stephen Yeager, Jadwiga H. Richter, Julie M. Caron, Lantao Sun, Who M. Kim, A. S. Glanville, Ahmed B. Tawfik, Kathy Pegion, E. Lajoie

Publikováno v: Weather and Forecasting. 35:2589-2602

There is a growing demand for understanding sources of predictability on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) time scales. Predictability at subseasonal time scales is believed to come from processes varying slower than the atmosphere such as soil moisture,

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::862a6cddf748061d5c411f5662ad327d
https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-20-0029.1

The impact of the extratropics on ENSO diversity and predictability

Autor: Sarah M. Larson, Kathy Pegion, Jason C. Furtado, Christopher Selman, Emily Becker

Publikováno v: Climate Dynamics. 54:4469-4484

Several mechanisms originating in the Northern (NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH) are argued to have the ability to stochastically force ENSO events. In this study, the impact of these extratropical mechanisms on ENSO diversity and predictability are

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::be3d6fa97a06d1a4a6905bc4023fc810
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05232-3

Machine learning to extend and understand the sources and limits of water cycle predictability on subseasonal-to-decadal timescales in the Earth system

Autor: Kevin Raeder, Kathy Pegion, Sasha Glanville, Gerald A. Meehl, Isla R. Simpson, Jadwiga H. Richter, W. Chapman, Aneesh C. Subramanian, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Aixue Hu, Zane Martin, David, Judith Berner, Katherine Dagon, Sue Ellen Haupt, Maria J. Molina, Kirsten Mayer, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Steve G. Yeager, Julie Caron

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::8a6d94d9e6712bc50ab5f593fecd27c6
https://doi.org/10.2172/1769744

Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

Autor: Caio A. S. Coelho, Ching Ho Justin Ng, Amy H. Butler, Nicholas P. Klingaman, Judith Perlwitz, Frederic Vitart, Johanna Baehr, Klaus Pankatz, Jennifer Mecking, Felipe M. de Andrade, Arun Kumar, Michel Rixen, Simon C. Peatman, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Albert Ossó, Johnna M. Infanti, Kathy Pegion, Nele Neddermann, Tatiana Ilynia, Katharina Isensee, Georgios Fragkoulidis, Asmerom F Beraki, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Partha S. Bhattacharjee, G. Cristina Recalde-Coronel, Nicolas Vigaud, Douglas E. Miller, Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, June-Yi Lee, Matthias Tuma, Wolfgang A. Müller, Constantin Ardilouze, Yuhei Takaya, Christoph Renkl, Paul A. Dirmeyer, William J. Merryfield, Kirsten Mayer, Cory Baggett, Roberto Bilbao, Christopher J. White, Sam Grainger, Takahito Kataoka, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Roseanna C. McKay, Magdalena Balmaseda, Lauriane Batté, Y. Qiang Sun, Steven J. Woolnough, Aaron Spring, Benjamin W. Green, Momme C. Hell, Stephen Yeager, Annika Reintges, Mariano Sebastián Alvarez, Emily Becker, Hannah Attard, Doug Smith, Carly R. Tozer, Leandro B. Díaz, Michael J. DeFlorio, Laura Ferranti, Cristiana Stan, Andrew W. Robertson, Ben P. Kirtman

Publikováno v: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
instacron:CONICET
UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)

Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time scales a valuable tool for decision-makers. As such, there is a growing inte

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::46a2d6173302a95dd6eb1e2a04fad50b