Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 18
pro vyhledávání: '"Karl Henrik Dreborg"'
Publikováno v:
Foresight, 2016, Vol. 18, Issue 1, pp. 59-75.
Externí odkaz:
http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/10.1108/FS-02-2015-0011
Publikováno v:
Foresight. 18:59-75
Purpose– Scenarios have become a vital methodological approach in business as well as in public policy. When scenarios are used to guide analysis and decision-making, the aim is typically robustness and in this context we argue that two main proble
Publikováno v:
Futures. 60:59-71
Transition from the current oil-based world economy to an economy based on renewable resources can become a strong driving force for land use change. This paper describes the development of integrated explorative and normative scenarios for the analy
Publikováno v:
Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 84:93-100
Co-evolutionary scenarios are used for creative prototyping with the purpose of assessing potential implications of future autonomous robot systems on civil protection. The methodology is based on ...
Publikováno v:
Futures. 49:9-21
An experimental case study approach using backcasting methodology with the involvement of stakeholders was applied to develop visions of two ideally climate-adapted Swedish municipalities 20–30 years ahead in time. The five visions created were exa
Publikováno v:
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. 18:1239-1255
This paper presents a tailor-made scenario approach for climate change adaptation planning, which emphasises involvement of stakeholders in the development of socioeconomic scenarios and relates to the planning situation and interest of the planning
Autor:
Mattias Höjer, Karl Henrik Dreborg, Åsa Svenfelt, Ulrika Gunnarsson-Östling, Rebecka Engström
Publikováno v:
Futures. 43:498-512
This paper presents and evaluates a method for encouraging long-term thinking and for considering a variety of scenarios in environmental policy processes. The Swedish environmental policy is based ...
Autor:
Åsa Svenfelt, Rebecka Engström, Mattias Höjer, Karl Henrik Dreborg, Ulrika Gunnarsson-Östling
Publikováno v:
Futures. 43:1-15
The aim of the present paper is to present and evaluate a method for encouraging long-term thinking and considerations of a variety of scenarios in environmental policy processes. The Swedish envir ...
Autor:
Karl Henrik Dreborg, Sven Ove Hansson, Marion Godman, Henrik Carlsen, Per Wikman-Svahn, Linda Johansson
Publikováno v:
Technology in Society. 32:209-218
The co-evolution of society and potentially disruptive technologies makes decision guidance on such technologies difficult. Four basic principles are proposed for such decision guidance. None of th ...
Publikováno v:
European Security. 18:33-54
The competition for energy resources, as well as the closely related climate change problems, imply a number of global security consequences. A methodology to include energy aspects in long-term defence planning, based on broad civilian scenario appr