Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 140
pro vyhledávání: '"Karl Halvor Teigen"'
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 13, Pp 309-321 (2018)
Predictions of magnitudes (costs, durations, environmental events) are often given as uncertainty intervals (ranges). When are such forecasts judged to be correct? We report results of four experiments showing that forecasted ranges of expected natur
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8161969c62c040a6b92f4d11eb9aee8e
Autor:
Karl Halvor Teigen
Publikováno v:
Social Psychological Bulletin, Vol 13, Iss 2, Pp 1-6 (2018)
In the target article, Doliński (2018, this issue) showed that empirical studies of “real” behaviour are an almost extinct species of research, judged from articles published in the most recent volume of JPSP (Journal of Personality and Social P
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/3489e426df3344b8b4e9317037dc28ae
Publikováno v:
BMC Public Health, Vol 18, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2018)
Abstract Background To strengthen the risk message on snus warning labels, the European Union in 2016 removed “can” from the warning “This tobacco product (can) damages your health and is addictive.” We tested how these and other textual warn
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/b13e4985bd3c4339895ad423f38bb9f9
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 10, Pp 416-428 (2015)
People often make predictions about the future based on trends they have observed in the past. Revised probabilistic forecasts can be perceived by the public as indicative of such a trend. In five studies, we describe experts who make probabilistic f
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/891bf5cd70d84e99961206e146646580
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 9, Pp 335-348 (2014)
We report two studies on the perceived responsibility of opponents competing for a goal that can be attained by only one of them. Responsibility judgments were collected in seven samples of lay people and experts before, during, and after the World C
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/2849f0b2549042d3bd500385021fcdb6
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 8, Pp 345-364 (2013)
In most previous studies of verbal probabilities, participants are asked to translate expressions such as possible and not certain into numeric probability values. This probabilistic translation approach can be contrasted with a novel which-outcome (
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/f0fa84b8ef6e408eadf50bcb0e7c1992
Autor:
Svein Magnussen, Karl Halvor Teigen
Publikováno v:
Lov og Rett. 62:37-48
Autor:
Karl Halvor Teigen, Alf Børre Kanten
Publikováno v:
Thinking & Reasoning. 29:137-175
People commonly use terms like ‘random’, ‘by chance’, or ‘accidentally’ when they describe occurrences that sidestep the normal course of events, with no apparent causal link to ongoing activities. Such intrusive events are typically perc
Autor:
Karl Halvor, Teigen
Publikováno v:
Current Psychology.
The paper reviews two strands of research on communication of uncertainty that usually have been investigated separately: (1) Probabilities attached to specific outcomes, and (2) Range judgments. Probabilities are sometimes expressed by verbal phrase
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 36
Recent research has shown that when people combine verbal probabilistic forecasts from two sources, they are not simply averaged but can reinforce each other; so when two advisors both said an event was “rather likely,” some listeners concluded t