Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 35
pro vyhledávání: '"Jon Gottschalck"'
Autor:
Carl J. Schreck, III, Frédéric Vitart, Suzana J. Camargo, Joanne Camp, James Darlow, Russell Elsberry, Jon Gottschalck, Paul Gregory, Kurt Hansen, Justyn Jackson, Matthew A. Janiga, Philip J. Klotzbach, Chia-Ying Lee, Lindsey Long, Masuo Nakano, Kazuto Takemura, Yuhei Takaya, Michael J. Ventrice, Zhuo Wang
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 12, Iss 2, Pp 136-150 (2023)
This review describes advances in understanding and forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) subseasonal variability during the past four years. A large effort by the scientific community has been in understanding the sources of predictability at subseasona
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/fe3c1401a6ee43b09a64a79c1ca34604
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 11, Iss 10, p 1114 (2020)
Flash drought is a type of drought that develops quickly (usually within 2–4 weeks) in contrast to conventional, slowly evolving drought. Due to its sudden onset, flash drought is more difficult to predict and can cause major agricultural losses if
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/9f0350a6e2064a36bb784fe33e21f45e
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 10, Iss 9, p 498 (2019)
Understanding the characteristics of flash drought events and further predicting the onset of such events on subseasonal timescales is of critical importance for impact assessment, disaster mitigation, and loss prevention. In this study, we employ a
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/86ca2196feb942249fd3aada6f423300
Publikováno v:
Advances in Meteorology, Vol 2015 (2015)
Evaluating the climatology and interannual variability of storm tracks in climate models represents an excellent way to evaluate their ability to simulate synoptic-scale phenomena. We generate storm tracks from the National Center for Environmental P
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/f281806410ee46fc99fcef90d9961aa1
Autor:
Timothy Paul Eichler, Jon Gottschalck
Publikováno v:
Advances in Meteorology, Vol 2013 (2013)
Extratropical cyclones exert a large socioeconomic impact. It is therefore important to assess their interannual variability. We generate cyclone tracks from the National Center for Environmental Prediction’s Reanalysis I and the European Centre fo
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/2f045eb39dc74fe488ba3cba01ebd239
Autor:
Timothy Paul Eichler, Jon Gottschalck
Publikováno v:
Advances in Meteorology, Vol 2013 (2013)
Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropical cyclones have received less study than their Northern Hemisphere (NH) counterparts. Generating SH cyclone tracks from global reanalysis datasets is problematic due to data reliability, especially prior to 1979.
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/4c231fea367541f9aca6af484d2820ac
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 38:637-654
Forecast skill from dynamical forecast models decreases quickly with projection time due to various errors. Therefore, postprocessing methods, from simple bias correction methods to more complicated multiple linear regression–based model output sta
Publikováno v:
Weather & Forecasting; May2023, Vol. 38 Issue 5, p637-654, 18p
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 36:109-125
A dynamical–statistical model is developed for forecasting week-2 severe weather (hail, tornadoes, and damaging winds) over the United States. The supercell composite parameter (SCP) is used as a predictor, which is derived from the 16-day dynamica
Autor:
Michael S. Halpert, Tom E. Di Liberto, Zeng-Zhen Hu, Ken Takahashi, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Jon Gottschalck, Emily Becker, Wanqiu Wang, Michael K. Tippett, Anthony G. Barnston, Yan Xue, Gerald D. Bell, Michelle L’Heureux
Publikováno v:
Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú
Repositorio Institucional-SENAMHI
SENAMHI-Institucional
instacron:SENAMHI
Weather and Forecasting
Repositorio Institucional-SENAMHI
SENAMHI-Institucional
instacron:SENAMHI
Weather and Forecasting
Three strategies for creating probabilistic forecast outlooks for El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are compared. One is subjective and is currently used by the NOAA/Climate Prediction Center (CPC) to produce official ENSO outlooks. A second is