The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect

Autor: John E. Boylan, Arianna Alfieri, Giulio Zotteri, Erica Pastore

Publikováno v: European Journal of Operational Research. 283:94-107

The bullwhip effect is a very important issue for supply chains, impacting on costs and effectiveness. Academic researchers have studied this phenomenon and modelled it analytically, showing that it affects many real world industries. The analytical

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::99a1f4e421bce793e403e6cc732eedd0
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2019.10.031

Forecasting : theory and practice

Autor: Fotios Petropoulos, Daniele Apiletti, Vassilios Assimakopoulos, Mohamed Zied Babai, Devon K. Barrow, Souhaib Ben Taieb, Christoph Bergmeir, Ricardo J. Bessa, Jakub Bijak, John E. Boylan, Jethro Browell, Claudio Carnevale, Jennifer L. Castle, Pasquale Cirillo, Michael P. Clements, Clara Cordeiro, Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira, Shari De Baets, Alexander Dokumentov, Joanne Ellison, Piotr Fiszeder, Philip Hans Franses, David T. Frazier, Michael Gilliland, M. Sinan Gönül, Paul Goodwin, Luigi Grossi, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Mariangela Guidolin, Massimo Guidolin, Ulrich Gunter, Xiaojia Guo, Renato Guseo, Nigel Harvey, David F. Hendry, Ross Hollyman, Tim Januschowski, Jooyoung Jeon, Victor Richmond R. Jose, Yanfei Kang, Anne B. Koehler, Stephan Kolassa, Nikolaos Kourentzes, Sonia Leva, Feng Li, Konstantia Litsiou, Spyros Makridakis, Gael M. Martin, Andrew B. Martinez, Sheik Meeran, Theodore Modis, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, Dilek Önkal, Alessia Paccagnini, Anastasios Panagiotelis, Ioannis Panapakidis, Jose M. Pavía, Manuela Pedio, Diego J. Pedregal, Pierre Pinson, Patrícia Ramos, David E. Rapach, J. James Reade, Bahman Rostami-Tabar, Michał Rubaszek, Georgios Sermpinis, Han Lin Shang, Evangelos Spiliotis, Aris A. Syntetos, Priyanga Dilini Talagala, Thiyanga S. Talagala, Len Tashman, Dimitrios Thomakos, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Ezio Todini, Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas, Xiaoqian Wang, Robert L. Winkler, Alisa Yusupova, Florian Ziel

Publikováno v: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
Petropoulos, F, Apiletti, D, Assimakopoulos, V, Babai, M Z, Barrow, D K, Ben Taieb, S, Bergmeir, C, Bessa, R J, Bijak, J, Boylan, J E, Browell, J, Carnevale, C, Castle, J L, Cirillo, P, Clements, M P, Cordeiro, C, Cyrino Oliveira, F L, De Baets, S, Dokumentov, A, Ellison, J, Fiszeder, P, Franses, P H, Frazier, D T, Gilliland, M, Gönül, M S, Goodwin, P, Grossi, L, Grushka-Cockayne, Y, Guidolin, M, Guidolin, M, Gunter, U, Guo, X, Guseo, R, Harvey, N, Hendry, D F, Hollyman, R, Januschowski, T, Jeon, J, Jose, V R R, Kang, Y, Koehler, A B, Kolassa, S, Kourentzes, N, Leva, S, Li, F, Litsiou, K, Makridakis, S, Martin, G M, Martinez, A B, Meeran, S, Modis, T, Nikolopoulos, K, Önkal, D, Paccagnini, A, Panagiotelis, A, Panapakidis, I, Pavía, J M, Pedio, M, Pedregal, D J, Pinson, P, Ramos, P, Rapach, D E, Reade, J J, Rostami-Tabar, B, Rubaszek, M, Sermpinis, G, Shang, H L, Spiliotis, E, Syntetos, A A, Talagala, P D, Talagala, T S, Tashman, L, Thomakos, D, Thorarinsdottir, T, Todini, E, Trapero Arenas, J R, Wang, X, Winkler, R L, Yusupova, A & Ziel, F 2022, ' Forecasting: theory and practice ', International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 38, no. 3, pp. 705-871 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001

Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large n

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::2416aa12fedc731d276566fae7787cf3

Forecast Uncertainty as a Determinant for the Bullwhip Effect

Autor: Patrick Saoud, Nikolaos Kourentzes, John E. Boylan

Publikováno v: SSRN Electronic Journal.

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::f6cbab963d7b3ae103923a9f8958e8a0
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4188817

Estimating the cumulative distribution function of lead-time demand using bootstrapping with and without replacement

Autor: John E. Boylan, M. Zied Babai

Publikováno v: International Journal of Production Economics. 252:108586

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::0efb744e33f5f90814137cddd250475b
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2022.108586

Approximations for the Lead Time Variance: a Forecasting and Inventory Evaluation

Autor: Nikolaos Kourentzes, Patrick Saoud, John E. Boylan

Publikováno v: Omega. 110:102614

Safety stock is necessary for firms in order to manage the uncertainty of demand. A key component in its determination is the estimation of the variance of the forecast error over lead time. Given the multitude of demand processes that lack analytica

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::a8a7268ae7f3d5fdb29891a7992a7582
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102614