Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 305
pro vyhledávání: '"James S. Risbey"'
Autor:
Damien B. Irving, James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Richard Matear, Carly Tozer, Didier P. Monselesan, Nandini Ramesh, P. Jyoteeshkumar Reddy, Mandy Freund
Publikováno v:
Meteorological Applications, Vol 31, Iss 3, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract A large stretch of the east coast of Australia experienced unprecedented rainfall and flooding over a two‐week period in early 2022. It is difficult to reliably estimate the likelihood of such a rare event from the relatively short observa
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/cd958ca7a90f4b558f2004756c7d6733
Autor:
Dougal T. Squire, Jyoteeshkumar Reddy, Nandini Ramesh, Damien Irving, Mike J. Pook, Didier P. Monselesan, James S. Risbey, Carly R. Tozer
Publikováno v:
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, Vol 73, Iss 1, Pp 77-81 (2023)
In eastern Australia we expect to experience wet conditions during La Niña and dry during El Niño events. We explore how well these expectations match historical outcomes by assessing, for spring, how much rain fell during past La Niña and El Niñ
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/6a19861026954bca9ae45530830a1b5e
Autor:
Christopher C. Chapman, Didier P. Monselesan, James S. Risbey, Ming Feng, Bernadette M. Sloyan
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2022)
Here, the authors use an advanced data-mining method to show how “extreme modes” of large-scale climate variability, such as El Niño, can lead to devastating marine heatwaves.
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/49c1e29473934d0c810c09ef10804fb0
Autor:
Doug Richardson, Amanda S. Black, Damien Irving, Richard J. Matear, Didier P. Monselesan, James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Carly R. Tozer
Publikováno v:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2022)
Abstract Wildfire can cause significant adverse impacts to society and the environment. Weather and climate play an important role in modulating wildfire activity. We explore the joint occurrence of global fire weather and meteorological drought usin
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0abede8826814574bee82ae5abc5c4b4
Autor:
Dougal T. Squire, Doug Richardson, James S. Risbey, Amanda S. Black, Vassili Kitsios, Richard J. Matear, Didier Monselesan, Thomas S. Moore, Carly R. Tozer
Publikováno v:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
Abstract Between June 2019 and March 2020, thousands of wildfires spread devastation across Australia at the tragic cost of many lives, vast areas of burnt forest, and estimated economic losses upward of AU$100 billion. Exceptionally hot and dry weat
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/884faa63510e48b79497154fa3d838bb
Autor:
James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Amanda S. Black, Timothy DelSole, Chiara Lepore, Richard J. Matear, Didier P. Monselesan, Thomas S. Moore, Doug Richardson, Andrew Schepen, Michael K. Tippett, Carly R. Tozer
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2021)
Many different methods have been developed to forecast climate phenomena like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which makes a fair comparison of their capabilities crucial. In this perspective, the authors discuss how choices in the evaluation
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/9d7dd92951164f0cb18c3354bbbe7c83
Autor:
James S Risbey, Damien B Irving, Dougal T Squire, Richard J Matear, Didier P Monselesan, Michael J Pook, Nandini Ramesh, Doug Richardson, Carly R Tozer
Publikováno v:
Environmental Research: Climate, Vol 2, Iss 3, p 035003 (2023)
The record-shattering hot day in the Pacific Northwest in June 2021 is used to motivate a study of record-shattering temperature extremes in a very large hindcast ensemble. The hottest days in the Pacific Northwest in the large ensemble have similar
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/7ef248c293994ca5bc0abbe8253f65e9
Autor:
Doug Richardson, Amanda S. Black, Didier P. Monselesan, James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Carly R. Tozer, Josep G. Canadell
Publikováno v:
Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol 34, Iss , Pp 100397- (2021)
There is evidence suggesting that fire activity in southeast Australia has increased in the past two decades. There is also anecdotal evidence that pyrocumulonimbus events have become more common, although the observed record is short. We explore the
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8b45d65d4cf6420c82fd08eaf8346f32
Autor:
James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Marina Baldissera Pacchetti, Amanda S. Black, Christopher C. Chapman, Suraje Dessai, Damien B. Irving, Richard J. Matear, Didier P. Monselesan, Thomas S. Moore, Doug Richardson, Bernadette M. Sloyan, Carly R. Tozer
Publikováno v:
Climate, Vol 10, Iss 6, p 83 (2022)
With increased interest in climate forecasts and projections, it is important to understand more about their sources and levels of skill. A starting point here is to describe the nature of the skill associated with forecasts and projections. Climate
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/64f0c81c3421464b9b861d617ea1d6b6
Autor:
James S. Risbey, Michael R. Grose, Didier P. Monselesan, Terence J. O'Kane, Stephan Lewandowsky
Publikováno v:
Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol 18, Iss , Pp 55-64 (2017)
The Earth has warmed over the past century. The warming rate (amount of warming over a given period) varies in time and space. Observations show a recent increase in global mean warming rate, which is initially maintained in model projections, but wh
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/c1dcf76e5245441fa29634686c160ea4