Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 29
pro vyhledávání: '"James R. Holliday"'
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Geophysics, Vol 2012 (2012)
We consider implications of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) test results with regard to earthquake forecasting. Prospective forecasts were solicited for M≥4.95 earthquakes in California during the period 2006–2010. During this pe
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/c6a54c3076c149ce9656f4fa3d0d6aa4
Autor:
Chien-Chih Chen, John B. Rundle, Hsien-Chi Li, James R. Holliday, Kazuyoshi Z. Nanjo, Donald L. Turcotte, Kristy F. Tiampo
Publikováno v:
Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Vol 17, Iss 3, p 503 (2006)
Forecast verification procedures for statistical events with binary outcomes typically rely on the use of contingency tables and Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) diagrams. Originally developed for the statistical evaluation of tornado forecast
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1ff4fbb24bf94f5a9a772df7a941024f
Publikováno v:
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2006, 13 (5), pp.585-593
Scopus-Elsevier
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2006, 13 (5), pp.585-593
Scopus-Elsevier
It is well known that earthquakes do not occur ran- domly in space and time. Foreshocks, aftershocks, precur- sory activation, and quiescence are just some of the patterns recognized by seismologists. Using the Pattern Informatics technique along wit
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::0148c762b9df159ecd14dd262b6422b6
https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/13/585/2006/
https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/13/585/2006/
Publikováno v:
Computing in Science & Engineering. 14:43-48
Earthquakes don't have precursors that can be reliably used for earthquake prediction. However, distributions of earthquakes (seismicity) can be used to forecast an earthquake hazard. These distributions in space, time, and magnitude can be studied i
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::96f970d17c87c0356026dc6a2b89455e
https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2012.87
https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2012.87
Publikováno v:
Tectonophysics. :167-174
We identify two distinct scaling regimes in the frequency–magnitude distribution of global earthquakes. Specifically, we measure the scaling exponent b = 1.0 for “small” earthquakes with 5.5 m b = 1.5 for “large” earthquakes with 7.6 m m t
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::223db20a7c77a3569deba5f8352b367c
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2012.01.034
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2012.01.034
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Journal International. 188:336-342
SUMMARY Reliability diagrams are a standard forecast evaluation tool for comparing forecasted probabilities of binary events with their observed frequencies. To make this comparison for rare events, forecasts of similar probability are grouped togeth
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::7f1aa63cd99587a4991774e566b71969
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2011.05274.x
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2011.05274.x
Autor:
Chien Chih Chen, James R. Holliday, Ya Ting Lee, John B. Rundle, Kristy F. Tiampo, Donald L. Turcotte, M. K. Sachs
Publikováno v:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 108:16533-16538
The Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) test of earthquake forecasts in California was the first competitive evaluation of forecasts of future earthquake occurrence. Participants submitted expected probabilities of occurrence of M ≥4.95 ea
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::c6bc9a212785e98059e980539f13b5de
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1113481108
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1113481108
Autor:
James R. Holliday, Louise H. Kellogg, Donald L. Turcotte, M. R. Yoder, William Klein, M. K. Sachs, Kristy F. Tiampo, John B. Rundle, Andrea Donnellan
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Journal International. 187:225-236
SUMMARY We discuss the long-standing question of whether the probability for large earthquake occurrence (magnitudes m > 6.0) is highest during time periods of smaller event activation, or highest during time periods of smaller event quiescence. The
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::198dc329d5242e423ca847e26cd2f4f4
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2011.05134.x
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2011.05134.x
Publikováno v:
Theoretical and Applied Fracture Mechanics. 53:180-184
In this paper, a composite model for earthquake rupture initiation and propagation is proposed. The model includes aspects of damage mechanics, fiber-bundle models, and slider-block models. An array of elements is introduced in analogy to the fibers
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::a08633493fcda2966387f18b1f9c59f6
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tafmec.2010.06.002
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tafmec.2010.06.002
Publikováno v:
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 387:933-943
In this paper we propose a branching aftershock sequence (BASS) model for seismicity. We suggest that the BASS model is a preferred alternative to the widely studied epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model. In the BASS model an initial, or see
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::95bec4e80d5fea1eb95393722a597053
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2007.09.045
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2007.09.045