Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 62
pro vyhledávání: '"Jacques Derome"'
Publikováno v:
Climate Dynamics. 57:865-877
Recently there has been an increase in interest in hemispheric-scale teleconnections. The circumglobal teleconnection pattern (CGT) is a special zonal phase of the jet whereby disturbances originating near the South Asian jet entrance, or within the
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate. :1-50
The prediction skill of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in boreal winter is assessed in the operational models of the WCRP/WWRP Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction project. Model performance in representing the contribution of different pro
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate. Dec2007, Vol. 20 Issue 24, p5992-6011. 20p. 1 Chart, 3 Graphs, 9 Maps.
Subseasonal Prediction of Wintertime North American Surface Air Temperature during Strong MJO Events
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 141:2897-2909
A multivariable linear regression model is constructed based on the status of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and persistence in order to forecast wintertime surface air temperature anomalies over North America out to 4 pentads (20 days). The c
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere-Ocean. 49:51-60
Using outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data as a proxy for tropical convection, the relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)-related tropical convection and North American winter surface air temperature (SAT) is investigated. A lagge
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 138:1843-1857
A statistical postprocessing approach is applied to seasonal forecasts of surface air temperatures (SAT) over North America in fall, when the original uncalibrated predictions have little skill. The data used are ensemble-mean seasonal forecasts from
Autor:
Qiaobin Teng, Juan Sebastian Fontecilla, Viatcheslav Kharin, Francis W. Zwiers, George J. Boer, Jacques Derome
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere-Ocean. 47:204-223
The performance of seasonal hindcasts produced with four global atmospheric models in the second phase of the Canadian Historical Forecasting Project is evaluated. Deterministic and probabilistic forecast skill assessments are carried out using commo
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate. 22:364-380
Based on the bivariate Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) index defined by Wheeler and Hendon and 25 yr (1979–2004) of pentad data, the association between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the MJO on the intraseasonal time scale during the N
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 136:4130-4149
The output of two global atmospheric models participating in the second phase of the Canadian Historical Forecasting Project (HFP2) is utilized to assess the forecast skill of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). The two models are the third genera
Publikováno v:
Climate Dynamics. 32:495-509
The potential role of tropical Pacific forcing in driving the seasonal variability of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) is explored using both observational data and a simple general circulation model (SGCM). A lead–lag regression technique is first appl