Zobrazeno 1 - 3
of 3
pro vyhledávání: '"Jędrzej M. Nowosielski"'
Autor:
Karol Niedzielewski, Rafał P. Bartczuk, Natalia Bielczyk, Dominik Bogucki, Filip Dreger, Grzegorz Dudziuk, Łukasz Górski, Magdalena Gruziel-Słomka, Jędrzej Haman, Artur Kaczorek, Jan Kisielewski, Bartosz Krupa, Antoni Moszyński, Jędrzej M. Nowosielski, Maciej Radwan, Marcin Semeniuk, Urszula Tymoszuk, Jakub Zieliński, Franciszek Rakowski
Publikováno v:
Epidemics, Vol 49, Iss , Pp 100801- (2024)
We employ pDyn (derived from “pandemics dynamics”), an agent-based epidemiological model, to forecast the fourth wave of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic, primarily driven by the Delta variant, in Polish society. The model captures spatiotemporal dynamics
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/6bd3756242e54f638e175fd1d60cf5d3
Autor:
Karol Niedzielewski, Rafał P. Bartczuk, Natalia Bielczyk, Dominik Bogucki, Filip Dreger, Grzegorz Dudziuk, Łukasz Górski, Magdalena Gruziel-Słomka, Jędrzej Haman, Artur Kaczorek, Jan Kisielewski, Bartosz Krupa, Antoni Moszyński, Jędrzej M. Nowosielski, Maciej Radwan, Marcin Semeniuk, Urszula Tymoszuk, Jakub Zieliński, Franciszek Rakowski
In this work, we describe and forecast the fourth wave of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic, driven by the Delta variant, using pDyn — a detailed epidemiological agent-based model. It is designed to explain the spatiotemporal dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 sprea
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::91d63fc12e431ed3c4c888590260551b
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2966996/v1
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2966996/v1
Autor:
Johannes Bracher, Daniel Wolffram, Jannik Deuschel, Konstantin Görgen, Jakob L. Ketterer, Alexander Ullrich, Sam Abbott, Maria V. Barbarossa, Dimitris Bertsimas, Sangeeta Bhatia, Marcin Bodych, Nikos I. Bosse, Jan Pablo Burgard, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Jochen Fiedler, Jan Fuhrmann, Sebastian Funk, Anna Gambin, Krzysztof Gogolewski, Stefan Heyder, Thomas Hotz, Yuri Kheifetz, Holger Kirsten, Tyll Krueger, Ekaterina Krymova, Neele Leithäuser, Michael L. Li, Jan H. Meinke, Błażej Miasojedow, Isaac J. Michaud, Jan Mohring, Pierre Nouvellet, Jedrzej M. Nowosielski, Tomasz Ozanski, Maciej Radwan, Franciszek Rakowski, Markus Scholz, Saksham Soni, Ajitesh Srivastava, Tilmann Gneiting, Melanie Schienle
Publikováno v:
Communications Medicine, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 1-17 (2022)
Bracher et al. compare 15 forecasting models of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Germany and Poland between January and mid-April 2021. Many, though not all, models outperform a simple baseline model up to four weeks ahead, with ensemble methods showing
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/538dfac0ac9e4eb3b14e8b4242363283