Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration: individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies

Autor: Pennells, Lisa, Kaptoge, Stephen, Wood, Angela, Sweeting, Mike, Zhao, Xiaohui, White, Ian, Burgess, Stephen, Willeit, Peter, Bolton, Thomas, Moons, Karel G M, van der Schouw, Yvonne T, Selmer, Randi, Khaw, Kay-Tee, Gudnason, Vilmundur, Assmann, Gerd, Amouyel, Philippe, Salomaa, Veikko, Kivimaki, Mika, Nordestgaard, Børge G, Blaha, Michael J, Kuller, Lewis H, Brenner, Hermann, Gillum, Richard F, Meisinger, Christa, Ford, Ian, Knuiman, Matthew W, Rosengren, Annika, Lawlor, Debbie A, Völzke, Henry, Cooper, Cyrus, Marín Ibañez, Alejandro, Casiglia, Edoardo, Kauhanen, Jussi, Cooper, Jackie A, Rodriguez, Beatriz, Sundström, Johan, Barrett-Connor, Elizabeth, Dankner, Rachel, Nietert, Paul J, Davidson, Karina W, Wallace, Robert B, Blazer, Dan G, Björkelund, Cecilia, Donfrancesco, Chiara, Krumholz, Harlan M, Nissinen, Aulikki, Davis, Barry R, Coady, Sean, Whincup, Peter H, Jørgensen, Torben, Ducimetiere, Pierre, Trevisan, Maurizio, Engström, Gunnar, Crespo, Carlos J, Meade, Tom W, Visser, Marjolein, Kromhout, Daan, Kiechl, Stefan, Daimon, Makoto, Price, Jackie F, Gómez de la Cámara, Agustin, Wouter Jukema, J, Lamarche, Benoît, Onat, Altan, Simons, Leon A, Kavousi, Maryam, Ben-Shlomo, Yoav, Gallacher, John, Dekker, Jacqueline M, Arima, Hisatomi, Shara, Nawar, Tipping, Robert W, Roussel, Ronan, Brunner, Eric J, Koenig, Wolfgang, Sakurai, Masaru, Pavlovic, Jelena, Gansevoort, Ron T, Nagel, Dorothea, Goldbourt, Uri, Barr, Elizabeth L M, Palmieri, Luigi, Njølstad, Inger, Sato, Shinichi, Monique Verschuren, W M, Varghese, Cherian V, Graham, Ian, Onuma, Oyere, Greenland, Philip, Woodward, Mark, Ezzati, Majid, Psaty, Bruce M, Sattar, Naveed, Jackson, Rod, Ridker, Paul M, Cook, Nancy R, D'Agostino, Ralph B, Thompson, Simon G, Danesh, John, Di Angelantonio, Emanuele, Simpson, Lara M, Pressel, Sara L, Couper, David J, Nambi, Vijay, Matsushita, Kunihiro, Folsom, Aaron R, Shaw, Jonathan E, Magliano, Dianna J, Zimmet, Paul Z, Wannamethee, S Goya, Willeit, Johann, Santer, Peter, Egger, Georg, Casas, Juan Pablo, Amuzu, Antointtte, Tikhonoff, Valérie, Sutherland, Susan E, Cushman, Mary, Søgaard, Anne Johanne, Håheim, Lise Lund, Ariansen, Inger, Tybjærg-Hansen, Anne, Jensen, Gorm B, Schnohr, Peter, Giampaoli, Simona, Vanuzzo, Diego, Panico, Salvatore, Balkau, Beverley, Bonnet, Fabrice, Marre, Michel, de la Cámara, Agustin Gómez, Rubio Herrera, Miguel Angel, Friedlander, Yechiel, McCallum, John, McLachlan, Stela, Guralnik, Jack, Phillips, Caroline L, Wareham, Nick, Schöttker, Ben, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Holleczek, Bernd, Tolonen, Hanna, Vartiainen, Erkki, Jousilahti, Pekka, Harald, Kennet, D’Agostino, Ralph B, Massaro, Joseph M, Pencina, Michael, Vasan, Ramachandran, Kayama, Takamasa, Kato, Takeo, Oizumi, Toshihide, Jespersen, Jørgen, Møller, Lars, Bladbjerg, Else Marie, Chetrit, A, Wilhelmsen, Lars, Lissner, Lauren, Dennison, Elaine, Kiyohara, Yutaka, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Doi, Yasufumi, Nijpels, Giel, Stehouwer, Coen D A, Kazumasa, Yamagishi, Iso, Hiroyasu, Kurl, Sudhir, Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Salonen, Jukka T, Deeg, Dorly J H, Nilsson, Peter M, Hedblad, Bo, Melander, Olle, De Boer, Ian H, DeFilippis, Andrew Paul, Verschuren, W M Monique, Watt, Graham, Tverdal, Aage, Kirkland, Susan, Shimbo, Daichi, Shaffer, Jonathan, Bakker, Stephan J L, van der Harst, Pim, Hillege, Hans L, Dallongeville, Jean, Schulte, Helmut, Trompet, Stella, Smit, Roelof A J, Stott, David J, Després, Jean-Pierre, Cantin, Bernard, Dagenais, Gilles R, Laughlin, Gail, Wingard, Deborah, Aspelund, Thor, Eiriksdottir, Gudny, Gudmundsson, Elias Freyr, Ikram, Arfan, van Rooij, Frank J A, Franco, Oscar H, Rueda-Ochoa, Oscar L, Muka, Taulant, Glisic, Marija, Tunstall-Pedoe, Hugh, Howard, Barbara V, Zhang, Ying, Jolly, Stacey, Davey-Smith, George, Can, Günay, Yüksel, Hüsniye, Nakagawa, Hideaki, Morikawa, Yuko, Miura, Katsuyuki, Ingelsson, Martin, Giedraitis, Vilmantas, Gaziano, J Michael, Shipley, Martin, Arndt, Volker, Cook, Nancy, Ibañez, Alejandro Marín, Geleijnse, Johanna M

Publikováno v: European Heart Journal, 40(7), 621-+. Oxford University Press
Pennells, L, Kaptoge, S, Wood, A, Sweeting, M, Zhao, X, White, I, Burgess, S, Willeit, P, Bolton, T, Moons, K G M, van der Schouw, Y T, Selmer, R, Khaw, K-T, Gudnason, V, Assmann, G, Amouyel, P, Salomaa, V, Kivimaki, M, Nordestgaard, B G, Blaha, M J, Kuller, L H, Brenner, H, Gillum, R F, Meisinger, C, Ford, I, Knuiman, M W, Rosengren, A, Lawlor, D A, Volzke, H, Cooper, C, Ibanez, A M, Casiglia, E, Kauhanen, J, Cooper, J A, Rodriguez, B, Sundstrom, J, Barrett-Connor, E, Dankner, R, Nietert, P J, Davidson, K W, Wallace, R B, Blazer, D G, Bjorkelund, C, Donfrancesco, C, Krumholz, H M, Nissinen, A, Davis, B R, Coady, S, Whincup, P H, Jørgensen, T, Ducimetiere, P, Trevisan, M, Engstrom, G, Crespo, C J, Meade, T, Visser, M, Kromhout, D, Kiechl, S, Daimon, M, Price, J F, de la Camara, A G, Jukema, J W, Lamarche, B, Onat, A, Simons, L A, Kavousi, M, Ben-Shlomo, Y, Gallacher, J, Dekker, J M, Arima, H, Shara, N, Tipping, R, Roussel, R, Brunner, E J, Koenig, W, Sakurai, M, Pavlovic, J, Gansevoort, R T, Nagel, D, Goldbourt, U, Barr, E L M, Palmieri, L, Njølstad, I, Sato, S, Verschuren, W M M, Varghese, C V, Graham, I, Onuma, O, Greenland, P, Woodward, M, Ezzati, M, Psaty, B M, Sattar, N, Jackson, R, Ridker, P M, Cook, N, D'Agostino, R B S, Thompson, S G, Danesh, J, Di Angelantonio, E, Tipping, R W, Simpson, L M, Pressel, S L, Couper, D J, Nambi, V, Matsushita, K, Folsom, A R, Shaw, J E, Magliano, D J, Zimmet, P Z, Knuiman, M W, Whincup, P H, Wannamethee, S G, Willeit, J, Santer, P, Egger, G, Casas, J P, Amuzu, A, Ben-Shlomo, Y, Gallacher, J, Tikhonoff, V, Casiglia, E, Sutherland, S E, Nietert, P J, Cushman, M, Psaty, B M, Sogaard, A J, Haheim, L L, Ariansen, I, Tybjærg-Hansen, A, Jensen, G B, Schnohr, P, Giampaoli, S, Vanuzzo, D, Panico, S, Palmieri, L, Balkau, B, Bonnet, F, Marre, M, de la Camara, A G, Herrera, M A R, Friedlander, Y, McCallum, J, McLachlan, S, Guralnik, J, Phillips, C L, Guralnik, J, Khaw, K-T, Wareham, N, Schottker, B, Saum, K-U, Holleczek, B, Nissinen, A, Tolonen, H, Giampaoli, S, Donfrancesco, C, Jousilahti, P, Harald, K, D'Agostino, R B S, Massaro, J M, Pencina, M, Vasan, R, Massaro, J M, Pencina, M, Vasan, R, Kayama, T, Kato, T, Oizumi, T, Jespersen, J, Møller, L, Bladbjerg, E M, Chetrit, A, Rosengren, A, Wilhelmsen, L, Bjorkelund, C, Lissner, L, Nagel, D, Dennison, E, Kiyohara, Y, Ninomiya, T, Doi, Y, Rodriguez, B, Nijpels, G, Stehouwer, C D A, Sato, S, Kazumasa, Y, Iso, H, Goldbourt, U, Salomaa, V, Vartiainen, E, Kurl, S, Tuomainen, T-P, Salonen, J T, Visser, M, Deeg, D J H, Meade, T, Nilsson, P M, Hedblad, B, Melander, O, De Boer, I H, DeFilippis, A P, Verschuren, W M M, Sattar, N, Watt, G, Meisinger, C, Koenig, W, Verschuren, M, Rosengren, A, Kuller, L H, Tverdal, A, Gillum, R F, Cooper, J A, Kirkland, S, Shimbo, D, Shaffer, J, Sato, S, Kazumasa, Y, Iso, H, Ducimetiere, P, Bakker, S J L, van der Harst, P, Hillege, H L, Crespo, C J, Amouyel, P, Dallongeville, J, Assmann, G, Schulte, H, Trompet, S, Smit, R A J, Stott, D J, van der Schouw, Y T, Despres, J-P, Cantin, B, Dagenais, G R, Laughlin, G, Wingard, D, Khaw, K-T, Trevisan, M, Aspelund, T, Eiriksdottir, G, Gudmundsson, E F, Ikram, A, van Rooij, F J A, Franco, O H, Rueda-Ochoa, O L, Muka, T, Glisic, M, Tunstall-Pedoe, H, Volzke, H, Howard, B V, Zhang, Y, Jolly, S, Gallacher, J, Davey-Smith, G, Can, G, Yuksel, H, Nakagawa, H, Morikawa, Y, Miura, K, Njølstad, I, Ingelsson, M, Giedraitis, V, Ridker, P M, Gaziano, J M, Kivimaki, M, Shipley, M, Brunner, E J, Arndt, V, Brenner, H, Cook, N, Ridker, P M, Ford, I, Sattar, N, Ibanez, A M & Geleijnse, J M 2019, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration : individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal, vol. 40, no. 7, pp. 621-631 . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
European Heart Journal
Pennells, L, Kaptoge, S, Wood, A, Sweeting, M, Zhao, X, White, I, Burgess, S, Willeit, P, Bolton, T, Moons, K G M, Nordestgaard, B G, Jørgensen, T, Di Angelantonio, E, Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, Jespersen, J & Bladbjerg, E-M 2019, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration : individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal, vol. 40, no. 7, pp. 621-631 . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
European Heart Journal 40 (2019) 7
Pennells, L, Kaptoge, S, Wood, A, Sweeting, M, Zhao, X, White, I, Burgess, S, Willeit, P, Bolton, T, Moons, K G M, Van Der Schouw, Y T, Selmer, R, Khaw, K T, Gudnason, V, Assmann, G, Amouyel, P, Salomaa, V, Kivimaki, M, Nordestgaard, B G, Blaha, M J, Kuller, L H, Brenner, H, Gillum, R F, Meisinger, C, Ford, I, Knuiman, M W, Rosengren, A, Lawlor, D A, Völzke, H, Cooper, C, Marín Ibañez, A, Casiglia, E, Kauhanen, J, Cooper, J A, Rodriguez, B, Sundström, J, Barrett-Connor, E, Dankner, R, Nietert, P J, Davidson, K W, Wallace, R B, Blazer, D G, Björkelund, C, Donfrancesco, C, Krumholz, H M, Nissinen, A, Davis, B R, Coady, S, Whincup, P H, Jørgensen, T, Ducimetiere, P, Trevisan, M, Engström, G, Crespo, C J, Meade, T W, Visser, M, Kromhout, D, Kiechl, S, Daimon, M, Price, J F, Gómez De La Cámara, A, Wouter Jukema, J, Lamarche, B, Onat, A, Simons, L A, Kavousi, M, Ben-Shlomo, Y, Gallacher, J, Dekker, J M, Arima, H, Shara, N, Tipping, R W, Roussel, R, Brunner, E J, Koenig, W, Sakurai, M, Pavlovic, J, Gansevoort, R T, Nagel, D, Goldbourt, U, Barr, E L M, Palmieri, L, Njølstad, I, Sato, S, Monique Verschuren, W M, Varghese, C V, Graham, I, Onuma, O, Greenland, P, Woodward, M, Ezzati, M, Psaty, B M, Sattar, N, Jackson, R, Ridker, P M, Cook, N R, D'Agostino, R B, Thompson, S G, Danesh, J, Di Angelantonio, E, Simpson, L M, Pressel, S L, Couper, D J, Nambi, V, Matsushita, K, Folsom, A R, Shaw, J E, Magliano, D J, Zimmet, P Z, Wannamethee, S G, Willeit, J, Santer, P, Egger, G, Casas, J P, Amuzu, A, Tikhonoff, V, Sutherland, S E, Cushman, M, Søgaard, A J, Håheim, L L, Ariansen, I, Tybjærg-Hansen, A, Jensen, G B, Schnohr, P, Giampaoli, S, Vanuzzo, D, Panico, S, Balkau, B, Bonnet, F, Marre, M, De La Cámara, A G, Rubio Herrera, M A, Friedlander, Y, McCallum, J, McLachlan, S, Guralnik, J, Phillips, C L, Wareham, N, Schöttker, B, Saum, K U, Holleczek, B, Tolonen, H, Vartiainen, E, Jousilahti, P, Harald, K, Massaro, J M, Pencina, M, Vasan, R, Kayama, T, Kato, T, Oizumi, T, Jespersen, J, Møller, L, Bladbjerg, E M, Chetrit, A, Wilhelmsen, L, Lissner, L, Dennison, E, Kiyohara, Y, Ninomiya, T, Doi, Y, Nijpels, G, Stehouwer, C D A, Kazumasa, Y, Iso, H, Kurl, S, Tuomainen, T P, Salonen, J T, Deeg, D J H, Nilsson, P M, Bo, H, Melander, O, De Boer, I H, DeFilippis, A P, Verschuren, W M M, Watt, G, Verschuren, W M M, Tverdal, A, Kirkland, S, Shimbo, D, Shaffer, J, Bakker, S J L, Van Der Harst, P, Hillege, H L, Dallongeville, J, Schulte, H, Trompet, S, Smit, R A J, Stott, D J, Després, J P, Cantin, B, Dagenais, G R, Laughlin, G, Wingard, D, Aspelund, T, Eiriksdottir, G, Gudmundsson, E F, Ikram, A, Van Rooij, F J A, Franco, O H, Rueda-Ochoa, O L, Muka, T, Glisic, M, Tunstall-Pedoe, H, Howard, B V, Ying, Z, Jolly, S, Davey-Smith, G, Can, G, Yüksel, H, Nakagawa, H, Morikawa, Y, Miura, K, Ingelsson, M, Giedraitis, V, Gaziano, J M, Shipley, M, Arndt, V, Ibañez, A M & Geleijnse, J M 2019, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration : Individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal, vol. 40, no. 7, pp. 621-631 . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
European Heart Journal, 40(7), 621-631
European Heart Journal, 40(7), 621-631. Oxford University Press
European Heart Journal, 40(7), 621-+. OXFORD UNIV PRESS
2018, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration : individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
Pennells, L, Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, Kaptoge, S, Wood, A, Sweeting, M, Zhao, X, White, I, Burgess, S, Willeit, P, Bolton, T, Moons, K G M, van der Schouw, Y T, Selmer, R, Khaw, K-T, Gudnason, V, Assmann, G, Amouyel, P, Salomaa, V, Kivimaki, M, Nordestgaard, B G, Blaha, M J, Kuller, L H, Brenner, H, Gillum, R F, Meisinger, C, Ford, I, Knuiman, M W, Rosengren, A, Lawlor, D A, Völzke, H, Cooper, C, Marín Ibañez, A, Casiglia, E, Kauhanen, J, Cooper, J A, Rodriguez, B, Sundström, J, Barrett-Connor, E, Dankner, R, Nietert, P J, Davidson, K W, Wallace, R B, Blazer, D G, Björkelund, C, Donfrancesco, C, Krumholz, H M, Nissinen, A, Davis, B R, Ben-Shlomo, Y, Woodward, M, Thompson, S G & Di Angelantonio, E 2018, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration : individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
Pennells, L, Kaptoge, S, Wood, A, Sweeting, M, Zhao, X, White, I, Burgess, S, Willeit, P, Bolton, T, Moons, K G M, van der Schouw, Y T, Selmer, R, Khaw, K-T, Gudnason, V, Assmann, G, Amouyel, P, Salomaa, V, Kivimaki, M, Nordestgaard, B G, Blaha, M J, Kuller, L H, Brenner, H, Gillum, R F, Meisinger, C, Ford, I, Knuiman, M W, Rosengren, A, Lawlor, D A, Völzke, H, Cooper, C, Marín Ibañez, A, Casiglia, E, Kauhanen, J, Cooper, J A, Rodriguez, B, Sundström, J, Barrett-Connor, E, Dankner, R, Nietert, P J, Davidson, K W, Wallace, R B, Blazer, D G, Björkelund, C, Donfrancesco, C, Krumholz, H M, Nissinen, A, Davis, B R, Coady, S, Whincup, P H, Jørgensen, T, Ducimetiere, P, Trevisan, M, Engström, G, Crespo, C J, Meade, T W, Visser, M, Kromhout, D, Kiechl, S, Daimon, M, Price, J F, de la Cámara, A G, Jukema, J W, Lamarche, B, Onat, A, Simons, L A, Kavousi, M, Ben-Shlomo, Y, Gallacher, J, Dekker, J M, Arima, H, Shara, N, Tipping, R W, Roussel, R, Brunner, E J, Koenig, W, Sakurai, M, Pavlovic, J, Gansevoort, R T, Nagel, D, Goldbourt, U, Barr, E L M, Palmieri, L, Njølstad, I, Sato, S, Verschuren, W M M, Varghese, C V, Graham, I, Onuma, O, Greenland, P, Woodward, M, Ezzati, M, Psaty, B M, Sattar, N, Jackson, R, Ridker, P M, Cook, N R, D'Agostino, R B, Thompson, S G, Danesh, J, Di Angelantonio, E & Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration 2019, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration : individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal, vol. 40, no. 7, pp. 621–631 . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
Pennells, L, Kaptoge, S, Wood, A, Sweeting, M, Zhao, X, White, I, Burgess, S, Willeit, P, Bolton, T, Moons, K G M, van der Schouw, Y T, Selmer, R, Khaw, K-T, Gudnason, V, Assmann, G, Amouyel, P, Salomaa, V, Kivimaki, M, Nordestgaard, B R G, Blaha, M J, Kuller, L H, Brenner, H, Gillum, R F, Meisinger, C, Ford, I, Knuiman, M W, Rosengren, A, Lawlor, D A, Völzke, H, Cooper, C, Marín Ibañez, A, Casiglia, E, Kauhanen, J, Cooper, J A, Rodriguez, B, Sundström, J, Barrett-Connor, E, Dankner, R, Nietert, P J, Davidson, K W, Wallace, R B, Blazer, D G, Björkelund, C, Donfrancesco, C, Krumholz, H M, Nissinen, A, Davis, B R, Coady, S, Visser, M, Dekker, J M, Gansevoort, R T, Woodward, M, Thompson, S G, Danesh, J, Angelantonio, E & Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration 2019, ' Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration: individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies ', European Heart Journal, vol. 40, no. 7, pp. 621-631 . https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehy653
European Heart Journal, 40(7), 621. Oxford University Press

Publisher's version (útgefin grein)
Aims: There is debate about the optimum algorithm for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk estimation. We conducted head-to-head comparisons of four algorithms recommended by primary prevention guidelines, befor

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https://pure.eur.nl/en/publications/ea271835-6717-4fb1-b134-998a77bb94d2

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