Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

Autor: Cramer, Estee Y, Ray, Evan L, Lopez, Velma K, Bracher, Johannes, Brennen, Andrea, Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J, Gerding, Aaron, Gneiting, Tilmann, House, Katie H, Huang, Yuxin, Jayawardena, Dasuni, Kanji, Abdul H, Khandelwal, Ayush, Le, Khoa, Mühlemann, Anja, Niemi, Jarad, Shah, Apurv, Stark, Ariane, Wang, Yijin, Wattanachit, Nutcha, Zorn, Martha W, Gu, Youyang, Jain, Sansiddh, Bannur, Nayana, Deva, Ayush, Kulkarni, Mihir, Merugu, Srujana, Raval, Alpan, Shingi, Siddhant, Tiwari, Avtansh, White, Jerome, Abernethy, Neil F, Woody, Spencer, Dahan, Maytal, Fox, Spencer, Gaither, Kelly, Lachmann, Michael, Meyers, Lauren Ancel, Scott, James G, Tec, Mauricio, Srivastava, Ajitesh, George, Glover E, Cegan, Jeffrey C, Dettwiller, Ian D, England, William P, Farthing, Matthew W, Hunter, Robert H, Lafferty, Brandon, Linkov, Igor, Mayo, Michael L, Parno, Matthew D, Rowland, Michael A, Trump, Benjamin D, Zhang-James, Yanli, Chen, Samuel, Faraone, Stephen V, Hess, Jonathan, Morley, Christopher P, Salekin, Asif, Wang, Dongliang, Corsetti, Sabrina M, Baer, Thomas M, Eisenberg, Marisa C, Falb, Karl, Huang, Yitao, Martin, Emily T, McCauley, Ella, Myers, Robert L, Schwarz, Tom, Sheldon, Daniel, Gibson, Graham Casey, Yu, Rose, Gao, Liyao, Ma, Yian, Wu, Dongxia, Yan, Xifeng, Jin, Xiaoyong, Wang, Yu-Xiang, Chen, YangQuan, Guo, Lihong, Zhao, Yanting, Gu, Quanquan, Chen, Jinghui, Wang, Lingxiao, Xu, Pan, Zhang, Weitong, Zou, Difan, Biegel, Hannah, Lega, Joceline, McConnell, Steve, Nagraj, VP, Guertin, Stephanie L, Hulme-Lowe, Christopher, Turner, Stephen D, Shi, Yunfeng, Ban, Xuegang, Walraven, Robert, Hong, Qi-Jun, Kong, Stanley, van de Walle, Axel

Publikováno v: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol 119, iss 15

Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers.

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=od_______325::331f4bf9e003fcfd485d95be5a5ad402
https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8z24j3h6

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