Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 16
pro vyhledávání: '"Helen Titley"'
Recommendations for improved tropical cyclone formation and position probabilistic Forecast products
Autor:
Jason P. Dunion, Chris Davis, Helen Titley, Helen Greatrex, Munehiko Yamaguchi, John Methven, Raghavendra Ashrit, Zhuo Wang, Hui Yu, Anne-Claire Fontan, Alan Brammer, Matthew Kucas, Matthew Ford, Philippe Papin, Fernando Prates, Carla Mooney, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, Paromita Chakraborty, Andrew Burton, Mark DeMaria, Ryan Torn, Jonathan L. Vigh
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 12, Iss 4, Pp 241-258 (2023)
Prediction of the potentially devastating impact of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) relies substantially on numerical prediction systems. Due to the limited predictability of TCs and the need to express forecast confidence and possible scenarios,
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/6db7bb53613a40869deddb5e5113a85e
Autor:
Adam Conroy, Helen Titley, Rabi Rivett, Xiangbo Feng, John Methven, Kevin Hodges, Alan Brammer, Andrew Burton, Paromita Chakraborty, Guomin Chen, Levi Cowan, Jason Dunion, Abhijit Sarkar
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 64-80 (2023)
In this paper, we summarize findings from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10) subgroup on operational track forecasting techniques and capability.The rate of improvement in the accuracy of official forecast tracks (OFTs) a
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0837e4d3827c4617b5ac372c034887af
Autor:
Mary Kilavi, Dave MacLeod, Maurine Ambani, Joanne Robbins, Rutger Dankers, Richard Graham, Helen Titley, Abubakr A. M. Salih, Martin C. Todd
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 9, Iss 12, p 472 (2018)
The Long-Rains wet season of March–May (MAM) over Kenya in 2018 was one of the wettest on record. This paper examines the nature, causes, impacts, and predictability of the rainfall events, and considers the implications for flood risk management.
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1b9e47fe66464466a6a8c383625c49fd
Publikováno v:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 146:531-545
At the Met Office, dynamic ensemble forecasts from the Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System (MOGREPS-G), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Ensemble (ECMWF ENS) and National Centers for Environmental Predictio
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::cc25251f69cdc0ed41c4564d5c84182e
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3712
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3712
Autor:
Brian Golding, Jenny Sun, Michael Riemer, Nusrat Yussouf, Helen Titley, Joanne Robbins, Beth Ebert, Tom Pagano, Huw Lewis, Claire Dashwood, Graeme Boyce, Mika Peace
Publikováno v:
Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning ISBN: 9783030989880
Achieving consistency in the prediction of the atmosphere and related environmental hazards requires careful design of forecasting systems. In this chapter, we identify the benefits of seamless approaches to hazard prediction and the challenges of ac
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::84393aaafa5a968f87bc47b7439afd1e
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98989-7_6
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98989-7_6
Autor:
Yi Xiao, Munesh Sharma, C. J. Short, Morris A. Bender, Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Thomas Coleman, Fernando Prates, Phillippe Caroff, John P. Cangialosi, Brian C. Howell, M. Mohapatra, Helen Titley, Julian T. Heming, J. R. Fraser, Yohko Igarashi, Amit A. Singh, Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Rabi Rivett, James D. Doyle, Jim Murtha, Anumeha Dube, Ghislain Faure, Vijay Tallapragada, Rebecca Bowyer
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 8, Iss 4, Pp 181-218 (2019)
The Ninth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-9) took place in Hawaii, USA in December 2018. This review paper was presented at the Workshop under the Tropical Cyclone Track topic. The forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) track has seen
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::2eac0700413d9af48290365874172dd7
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300011
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300011
Publikováno v:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 8, Iss 3, Pp 166-180 (2019)
In order to understand the current and potential use of ensemble forecasts in operational tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting, a questionnaire on the use of dynamic ensembles was conducted at operational TC forecast centers across the world, in associa
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::236f434874c4f316801df3b7460c2d44
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603219300724
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603219300724
Autor:
Helen Titley, Joanne Robbins, Ervin Zsoter, Elisabeth Stephens, Hannah Cloke, Christel Prudhomme, Shaun Harrigan, Florian Pappenberger
Publikováno v:
Journal of Hydrometeorology.
Knowledge of the key drivers of the severity of river flooding from tropical cyclones (TCs) is vital for emergency preparedness and disaster risk reduction activities. This global study examines landfalling TCs in the decade from 2010 to 2019, to ide
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::956a0f5792fb643d644e9951b826ed3f
https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-20-0250.1
https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-20-0250.1
Autor:
Helen Titley, Christel Prudhomme, Shaun Harrigan, Florian Pappenberger, Elizabeth Stephens, Joanne Robbins, Ervin Zsoter, Hannah Cloke
Global ensemble forecast models have been shown to have good skill in forecasting the track probabilities of tropical cyclones worldwide, but less well-studied is their ability to predict the hazards resulting from tropical cyclones, which in the cas
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::956cbfb7e715ecc8addc601d272ae631
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-8888
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-8888
Autor:
Helen Titley, Joanne Robbins
Publikováno v:
Meteorological Applications. 25:548-560
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::21e4addb3dc157c9b5c2d7ac8fdad186
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1720
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1720