Výsledky vyhledávání - "HUUG VAN DEN DOOL"

Elektronická kniha

Empirical Methods in Short-Term Climate Prediction

Autor: Huug van den Dool

This clear and accessible text describes the methods underlying short-term climate prediction at time scales of 2 weeks to a year. Although a difficult range to forecast accurately, there have been several important advances in the last ten years, mo

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Akademický článek

Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week-3-4 Precipitation and 2-m Air Temperature Forecasts.

Autor: YUN FAN, VLADIMIR KRASNOPOLSKY, HUUG VAN DEN DOOL, CHUNG-YU WU, JON GOTTSCHALCK

Publikováno v: Weather & Forecasting; May2023, Vol. 38 Issue 5, p637-654, 18p

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Combination of Multimodel Probabilistic Forecasts Using an Optimal Weighting System

Autor: Li-Chuan Gwen Chen, Huug van den Dool

Publikováno v: Weather and Forecasting. 32:1967-1987

In this study, an optimal weighting system is developed that combines multiple seasonal probabilistic forecasts in the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME). The system is applied to predict temperature and precipitation over the North American c

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::db851b39b89e4b24098e8126232fb7bb
https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-17-0074.1

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ENSO Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts in the North American Multimodel Ensemble: Composite Analysis and Validation

Autor: Qin Zhang, Huug van den Dool, Li-Chuan Chen, Emily Becker

Publikováno v: Journal of Climate. 30:1103-1125

In this study, precipitation and temperature forecasts during El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events are examined in six models in the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME), including the CFSv2, CanCM3, CanCM4, the Forecast-Oriented Low Oc

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::935c64f70ca9c90b99357e48282ba784
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0903.1

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The Probability Anomaly Correlation and Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts

Autor: Qin Zhang, Huug van den Dool, Emily Becker, Li-Chuan Chen

Publikováno v: Weather and Forecasting. 32:199-206

An ordinary regression of predicted versus observed probabilities is presented as a direct and simple procedure for minimizing the Brier score (BS) and improving the attributes diagram. The main example applies to seasonal prediction of extratropical

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::6c9e9d48cd7af95d96d3fdac913fd10c
https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-16-0115.1

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Feeling the Pulse of the Stratosphere: An Emerging Opportunity for Predicting Continental-Scale Cold-Air Outbreaks 1 Month in Advance

Autor: Huug van den Dool, Rongcai Ren, Xingren Wu, Yueyue Yu, Jin Huang, Ming Cai, Yi Deng, Suru Saha

Publikováno v: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 97:1475-1489

Extreme weather events such as cold-air outbreaks (CAOs) pose great threats to human life and the socioeconomic well-being of modern society. In the past, our capability to predict their occurrences has been constrained by the 2-week predictability l

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::bd583dca3f8b0dbfe2de38acf2014b26
https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-14-00287.1

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Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts in the North American Multimodel Ensemble: A Baseline Skill Assessment

Autor: Huug van den Dool, Emily Becker

Publikováno v: Journal of Climate. 29:3015-3026

The North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) forecasting system has been continuously producing seasonal forecasts since August 2011. The NMME, with its suite of diverse models, provides a valuable opportunity for characterizing forecast confidence

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::8bf484f6d84b70f2b30472b159735cce
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00862.1

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Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Variability and Prediction

Autor: L. Gwen Chen, Malaquias Peña, Huug van den Dool

Publikováno v: Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting ISBN: 9783642404573
Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::9f1a845efa1b6861a17bb7b8aab66333
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40457-3_12-1

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Toward an Improved Multimodel ENSO Prediction

Autor: Michael K. Tippett, Huug van den Dool, David A. Unger, Anthony G. Barnston

Publikováno v: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 54:1579-1595

Since 2002, the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, later in partnership with the Climate Prediction Center, has issued an ENSO prediction product informally called the ENSO prediction plume. Here, measures to improve the reliab

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::75253ad1b9f5a0f0773c3d4bfe5ee536
https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-14-0188.1

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Relationship between Warm Airmass Transport into the Upper Polar Atmosphere and Cold Air Outbreaks in Winter

Autor: Huug van den Dool, Ming Cai, Rongcai Ren, Yueyue Yu

Publikováno v: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 72:349-368

This study investigates dominant patterns of daily surface air temperature anomalies in winter (November–February) and their relationship with the meridional mass circulation variability using the daily Interim ECMWF Re-Analysis in 1979–2011. Mas

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::232db2ff607d9a3ed1a063d2f29b6329
https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-14-0111.1

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