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Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration.

Autor: Salganik MJ; Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; mjs3@princeton.edu mclanaha@princeton.edu., Lundberg I; Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Kindel AT; Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Ahearn CE; Department of Sociology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Al-Ghoneim K; Hawaz, Riyadh 12363, Saudi Arabia., Almaatouq A; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.; Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Altschul DM; Mental Health Data Science Scotland, Department of Psychology, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, United Kingdom., Brand JE; Department of Sociology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.; Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Carnegie NB; Department of Mathematical Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717., Compton RJ; Human Computer Interaction Lab, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95064., Datta D; Discovery Analytics Center, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Arlington, VA 22203., Davidson T; Department of Sociology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853., Filippova A; GitHub, San Francisco, CA 94107., Gilroy C; Department of Sociology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105., Goode BJ; Social and Decision Analytics Laboratory, Fralin Life Sciences Institute, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Arlington, VA 22203., Jahani E; Institute for Data, Systems and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Kashyap R; Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 1JD, United Kingdom.; Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 1NF, United Kingdom.; School of Anthropology and Museum Ethnography, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6PE, United Kingdom., Kirchner A; Program for Research in Survey Methodology, Survey Research Division, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709., McKay S; School of Social and Political Sciences, University of Lincoln, Brayford Pool, Lincoln LN6 7TS, United Kingdom., Morgan AC; Department of Computer Science, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309., Pentland A; Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Polimis K; Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105., Raes L; Department of Economics, Tilburg School of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, 5037 AB Tilburg, The Netherlands., Rigobon DE; Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Roberts CV; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Stanescu DM; Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544., Suhara Y; Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Usmani A; Department of Sociology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138., Wang EH; Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544., Adem M; Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405., Alhajri A; Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., AlShebli B; Computational Social Science Lab, Social Science Division, New York University Abu Dhabi, 129188 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates., Amin R; Bendheim Center for Finance, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Amos RB; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Argyle LP; Department of Political Science, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602., Baer-Bositis L; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Büchi M; Department of Communication and Media Research, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, ZH-8050., Chung BR; Center for Statistics & Machine Learning, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Eggert W; Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Faletto G; Statistics Group, Department of Data Sciences and Operations, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089., Fan Z; Department of Statistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027., Freese J; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Gadgil T; Center for Data Science, New York University, New York, NY 10011., Gagné J; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Gao Y; Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027., Halpern-Manners A; Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405., Hashim SP; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Hausen S; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., He G; Department of Molecular Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Higuera K; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Hogan B; Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3JS, United Kingdom., Horwitz IM; Graduate School of Education, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305., Hummel LM; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Jain N; Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Jin K; Department of Computer Science, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210., Jurgens D; School of Information, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48104., Kaminski P; Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405.; Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405., Karapetyan A; Department of Computer Science, Masdar Institute, Khalifa University, 127788 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.; Research Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan., Kim EH; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Leizman B; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Liu N; Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544., Möser M; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Mack AE; Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544., Mahajan M; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Mandell N; Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Marahrens H; Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405., Mercado-Garcia D; Graduate School of Education, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305., Mocz V; Department of Neuroscience, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Mueller-Gastell K; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Musse A; Department of Electrical Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, 08544., Niu Q; Bendheim Center for Finance, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Nowak W; Dataiku, New York, NY 10010., Omidvar H; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Or A; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Ouyang K; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Pinto KM; Department of Sociology, California State University, Dominguez Hills, Carson, CA 90747., Porter E; School of Media and Public Affairs, George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052., Porter KE; Center for Data Insights, MDRC, Oakland, CA 94612., Qian C; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Rauf T; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Sargsyan A; Social Science Division, New York University Abu Dhabi, 129188 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates., Schaffner T; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Schnabel L; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Schonfeld B; Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544., Sender B; Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Tang JD; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Tsurkov E; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., van Loon A; Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Varol O; Center for Complex Network Research, Northeastern University Networks Science Institute, Boston, MA 02115.; Luddy School of Informatics, Computing, & Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47408., Wang X; School of Social Work, David B. Falk College of Sport and Human Dynamics, Syracuse University, NY 13244., Wang Z; Luddy School of Informatics, Computing, & Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47408.; School of Public Health, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47408., Wang J; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Wang F; Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Weissman S; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Whitaker K; The Alan Turing Institute, London NW1 2DB, United Kingdom.; Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0SZ, United Kingdom., Wolters MK; School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AB, United Kingdom., Woon WL; Department of Marketplaces & Yield Data Science, Expedia Group, Seattle, WA 98119., Wu J; Department of the Applied Statistics, Social Science, and Humanities, New York University, New York, NY 10003., Wu C; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Yang K; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Yin J; Department of Statistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027., Zhao B; Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom., Zhu C; Department of Statistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027., Brooks-Gunn J; Department of Human Development, Teachers College, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027.; Department of Pediatrics, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Engelhardt BE; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544.; Center for Statistics & Machine Learning, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Hardt M; Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720., Knox D; Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544., Levy K; Department of Information Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853., Narayanan A; Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Stewart BM; Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544., Watts DJ; Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.; Annenberg School of Communication, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.; Operations, Information and Decisions Department, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104., McLanahan S; Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; mjs3@princeton.edu mclanaha@princeton.edu.

Publikováno v: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2020 Apr 14; Vol. 117 (15), pp. 8398-8403. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Mar 30.