Výsledky vyhledávání - "François Bouttier"

Akademický článek

Probabilistic thunderstorm forecasting by blending multiple ensembles

Publikováno v: Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol 72, Iss 1, Pp 1-19 (2020)

In numerical weather prediction models, point thunderstorm forecasts tend to have little predictive value beyond a few hours. Thunderstorms are difficult to predict due largely to their typically small size and correspondingly limited intrinsic predi

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/8239ec1a31064b05a4d5832d5f48f311

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Akademický článek

The use of profiler data at ECMWF

Autor: François Bouttier

Publikováno v: Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 10, Iss 6, Pp 497-510 (2001)

The current status of the use of wind profiler data at ECMWF is documented. The operational global four-dimensional variational data assimilation system of the atmosphere uses hourly profiles of horizontal wind in real time from the US profiler netwo

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/17d39dbd3b4344b69f03cbd28132c688

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A methodological framework for the evaluation of short-range flash-flood hydrometeorological forecasts at the event scale

Autor: Maryse Charpentier-Noyer, Daniela Peredo, Axelle Fleury, Hugo Marchal, François Bouttier, Eric Gaume, Pierre Nicolle, Olivier Payrastre, Maria-Helena Ramos

Publikováno v: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2023, 23 (6), pp.2001-2029. ⟨10.5194/nhess-23-2001-2023⟩

A new methodological framework for the event-based evaluation of high resolution short-range hydro-meteorological ensemble forecasts is presented. It is specifically designed to address the questions of spatial and temporal scales at which ensemble f

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::b9da5ed837a7c1cda3aba6e97a08ab4c
https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/23/2001/2023/

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Assessing the ability of a seamless short-range ensemble rainfall product to detect flash floods on the French Mediterranean area

Autor: Juliette Godet, François Bouttier, Pierre Javelle, Olivier Payrastre

Flash floods have dramatic economic, natural and social consequences, and efficient adaptation policies are required to reduce these impacts, especially in a context of global warming. This is why it remains essential to develop more efficient flash

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::661654aabde455a01f87032ec8e3b404
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7151

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Relevance of using ensemble forecasts of flash-flood impacts for an emergency service: an evaluation for the October 2018 flood event in the Aude river basin, France

Autor: Maryse Charpentier-Noyer, Pierre Nicolle, Olivier Payrastre, Eric Gaume, François Bouttier, Hugo Marchal

Flash floods (FF) represent an important part of the flood damages and fatalities in the world. Today, operational FF nowcasting and warning systems are often based on the use of precipitation weather radars, and therefore still offer limited anticip

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::88415116366ace6d3fca3a9623743b31
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11757

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Assessing the ability of a new seamless short-range ensemble rainfall product to anticipate flash floods in the French Mediterranean area

Autor: Juliette Godet, Olivier Payrastre, Pierre Javelle, François Bouttier

Publikováno v: eISSN

Flash floods have dramatic economic and social consequences, and efficient adaptation policies are required to reduce their impacts, especially in a context of global change. Developing more efficient flash flood forecasting systems can largely contr

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::f36222d50f8ab96bd4e882577ae1cafa
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-907

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Statistical comparisons between observed and simulated ZDR columns using AROME model with different microphysics schemes

Autor: Cloé David, Clotilde Augros, Benoît Vié, François Bouttier

Thunderstorms are among the most devastating weather phenomena, mostly because of hail, heavy rainfall and strong winds. Although significant progress in convective scale numerical weather prediction models have been done these last years, the foreca

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::7d7d1db5a4c54d161abb19859664df1a
https://doi.org/10.5194/ecss2023-142

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Etude de sensibilité globale comparée des modèles hydrologiques GRP et MORDOR-TS

Autor: Anne-Laure Tiberi-Wadier, Nicole Goutal, Sophie Ricci, Philippe Sergent, Julie Viatgé, Céline Monteil, François Bouttier

Publikováno v: LHB Hydroscience Journal
LHB Hydroscience Journal, 2021, 107 (1), pp.1-11. ⟨10.1080/27678490.2021.1977014⟩

International audience

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::1d3ce5c22010778d81cc9eb2bdedbc4f
https://doi.org/10.1080/27678490.2021.1977014

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Process‐oriented stochastic perturbations applied to the parametrization of turbulence and shallow convection for ensemble prediction

Autor: Axelle Fleury, François Bouttier, Fleur Couvreux

Publikováno v: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, In press, ⟨10.1002/qj.4242⟩

International audience; Weather forecasting nowadays often requires some estimation of uncertainties associated with the output of meteorological models, in order to better inform decision making, especially in the context of intense weather events.

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::f141c9639834b7aae97fed1f293172ae
https://hal.science/hal-03558571/document

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