Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 30
pro vyhledávání: '"Forrest D, Nelson"'
Autor:
Forrest D. Nelson
Publikováno v:
The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics ISBN: 9781349951215
Econometrics ISBN: 9780333495438
Econometrics ISBN: 9780333495438
Two convenient classifications for variables which are not amenable to treatment by the principal tool of econometrics, regression analysis, are quantal responses and limited responses. In the quantal response (all or nothing) category are dichotomou
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::3cce8a012e1bd9277d8e659b1a1531c4
https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_1230
https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_1230
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Forecasting. 24:285-300
“Prediction markets” are designed specifically to forecast events such as elections. Though election prediction markets have been being conducted for almost twenty years, to date nearly all of the evidence on efficiency compares election eve fore
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::cced0ef470cf1d217323cd6b8f14853a
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.03.007
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.03.007
Publikováno v:
Microbe Magazine. 1:459-465
Public health agencies conduct surveillance for a number of infectious diseases and related phenomena. Typically, the collected information is used to help public health officials, researchers, and health care professionals cope with and plan for fut
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::7ecef9a6cac04c1891dfa7c5b0d40fc5
https://doi.org/10.1128/microbe.1.459.1
https://doi.org/10.1128/microbe.1.459.1
Autor:
Forrest D. Nelson, Philip M. Polgreen
Publikováno v:
Biosurveillance: Methods and Case Studies
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::9267c0642c05bc28fb88b34ce9bc7f04
https://doi.org/10.1201/b10315-9
https://doi.org/10.1201/b10315-9
How do decision makers weight private and official information sources which are correlated and differ in accuracy and bias? This paper studies how traders update subjective risk perceptions after receiving expert opinions, using a unique data set fr
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::d8f56a75c0aadd20a092017806bdd3ca
http://www.bus.miami.edu/_assets/files/faculty-and-research/academic-departments/eco/eco-working-papers/wp2009-05-kelly-hfm3_1_09.pdf
http://www.bus.miami.edu/_assets/files/faculty-and-research/academic-departments/eco/eco-working-papers/wp2009-05-kelly-hfm3_1_09.pdf
Publikováno v:
Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. 47(11)
The Internet is an important source of health information. Thus, the frequency of Internet searches may provide information regarding infectious disease activity. As an example, we examined the relationship between searches for influenza and actual i
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::0f150c342109c217f5ba9fc4430ff01d
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18954267
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18954267
Autor:
Kenneth J, Arrow, Robert, Forsythe, Michael, Gorham, Robert, Hahn, Robin, Hanson, John O, Ledyard, Saul, Levmore, Robert, Litan, Paul, Milgrom, Forrest D, Nelson, George R, Neumann, Marco, Ottaviani, Thomas C, Schelling, Robert J, Shiller, Vernon L, Smith, Erik, Snowberg, Cass R, Sunstein, Paul C, Tetlock, Philip E, Tetlock, Hal R, Varian, Justin, Wolfers, Eric, Zitzewitz
Publikováno v:
Science (New York, N.Y.). 320(5878)
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=pmid________::d9fd4e6e90d2607dea367b746801a8cd
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18487176
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18487176
Publisher Summary Each market is related to a specific future event, for instance a presidential election, and contains a set of contracts with liquidation values pegged to the outcome of the future event. Contracts enter into circulation by the volu
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::02f0359d1dda10500a772b35f415eefb
https://doi.org/10.1016/s1574-0722(07)00080-7
https://doi.org/10.1016/s1574-0722(07)00080-7
Autor:
Kenneth J. Arrow, Thomas C. Schelling, Robin Hanson, Cass R. Sunstein, Hal R. Varian, Erik Snowberg, Robert E. Litan, Michael Gorham, John O. Ledyard, Forrest D. Nelson, Philip E. Tetlock, Vernon L. Smith, Robert J. Shiller, Marco Ottaviani, Robert Forsythe, Paul Milgrom, Paul C. Tetlock, Eric Zitzewitz, Justin Wolfers, Robert W. Hahn, George R. Neumann, Saul Levmore
The ability of groups of people to make predictions is a potent research tool that should be freed of unnecessary government restrictions.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::cedfddc655044615e94887ccc4344979
http://hdl.handle.net/11565/3734859
http://hdl.handle.net/11565/3734859
Autor:
Hal R. Varian, Shyam Sunder, Thomas C. Schelling, John O. Ledyard, Michael Gorham, Forrest D. Nelson, Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Saul Levmore, Philip E. Tetlock, Charles R. Plott, Paul C. Tetlock, Robert E. Litan, Vernon L. Smith, Robert J. Shiller, Erik Snowberg, Eric Zitzewitz, Marco Ottaviani, Justin Wolfers, George R. Neumann, Robin Hanson, Cass R. Sunstein, Paul Milgrom, Robert W. Hahn, Daniel Kahneman
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Prediction markets are markets for contracts that yield payments based on the outcome of an uncertain future event, such as a presidential election. Using these markets as forecasting tools could substantially improve decision making in the private a
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::135be9249be093cf96883f0d1cd38967
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.984584
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.984584