Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 34
pro vyhledávání: '"Erik Løhre"'
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 13, Pp 309-321 (2018)
Predictions of magnitudes (costs, durations, environmental events) are often given as uncertainty intervals (ranges). When are such forecasts judged to be correct? We report results of four experiments showing that forecasted ranges of expected natur
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8161969c62c040a6b92f4d11eb9aee8e
Autor:
Grimsmo, Erik Løhre, Dæhli, Lars Edvard Bryhni, Hopperstad, Odd Sture, Aalberg, Arne, Langseth, Magnus, Clausen, Arild Holm
Publikováno v:
In International Journal of Mechanical Sciences October 2017 131-132:1092-1105
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 36
Recent research has shown that when people combine verbal probabilistic forecasts from two sources, they are not simply averaged but can reinforce each other; so when two advisors both said an event was “rather likely,” some listeners concluded t
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::7bd28505273dd86a9397b5665e2a9352
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2298
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2298
Autor:
Lewend Mayiwar, Erik Løhre
Publikováno v:
Collabra: Psychology
People’s decisions depend on how situations are described or framed to them. But how do speakers frame outcomes to others? What factors predict whether a speaker chooses to frame an investment opportunity in terms of its chances of failure or succe
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::530605c13f5b068a2577b47237fcaabc
https://doi.org/10.1525/collabra.57704
https://doi.org/10.1525/collabra.57704
Publikováno v:
Weather, Climate, and Society
The use of interval forecasts allows climate scientists to issue predictions with high levels of certainty even for areas fraught with uncertainty, since wide intervals are objectively more likely to capture the truth than narrow intervals. However,
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::94417bbc96655282cd7d1517ae23143d
https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-18-0136.1
https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-18-0136.1
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 32:564-578
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::0104f3336b2ad03e61047058f67c4636
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2132
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2132
Autor:
Erik Løhre
Publikováno v:
Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology. 71:2531-2547
What do lay people think about revised forecasts of future outcomes? A series of experiments show that when climate change forecasts are revised in an upward direction (e.g., a higher sea level rise is predicted in light of new information), the fore
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::908275a199ed5a8b0036a0f7180aa684
https://doi.org/10.1177/1747021817746062
https://doi.org/10.1177/1747021817746062
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Impact Engineering. 108:101-113
Virtually no studies in the open literature are concerned with the behaviour of fillet welds under impulsive loading, which may occur due to actions such as explosions and impact. We therefore developed a novel test setup allowing for measurements of
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::da16f70a2239dee49e5234df425e8c34
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijimpeng.2017.02.023
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijimpeng.2017.02.023
Autor:
Karl Halvor Teigen, Erik Løhre
Publikováno v:
Thinking & Reasoning. 23:492-496
The ways people estimate and express degrees of uncertainty and probability have fascinated philosophers, statisticians, cognitive psychologists and domain experts (for instance in medicine, milita...
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::b642a786bcc8faf8b8a6f6f92d911a6d
https://doi.org/10.1080/13546783.2017.1314965
https://doi.org/10.1080/13546783.2017.1314965