Intrinsische Unsicherheiten in der Erdsystem Modellierung

Autor: Knopf, Brigitte

Uncertainties are pervasive in the Earth System modelling. This is not just due to a lack of knowledge about physical processes but has its seeds in intrinsic, i.e. inevitable and irreducible, uncertainties concerning the process of modelling as well

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=od_______266::1e841d1a092fb1b34c04da1636b471f3
https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1044

Overestimated acceleration of the advective Brewer–Dobson circulation due to stratospheric cooling

Autor: Petr Šácha, Roland Eichinger

Publikováno v: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 146:3850-3864

Tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling influence the vertical structure of the atmosphere. Numerous studies have analysed the thermal expansion of the troposphere, however, stratospheric cooling reverses the sign of this shift in the middle s

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::9a9fe897447a6e131859716404946d0a
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3876

Enhanced extended‐range predictability of the 2018 late‐winter Eurasian cold spell due to the stratosphere

Autor: Hella Garny, Lisa-Ann Kautz, Inna Polichtchouk, Joaquim G. Pinto, Thomas Birner

Publikováno v: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 146:1040-1055

A severe cold spell with surface temperatures reaching 10 K below its climatology hit Eurasia during late February/early March 2018. This cold spell was associated with a Scandinavian blocking pattern followed by an extreme negative North Atlantic Os

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::6b0fe578a8945530b60307913d5f5fd0
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3724

The effect of atmospheric nudging on the stratospheric residual circulation in chemistry–climate models

Autor: A. Chrysanthou, A. C. Maycock, M. P. Chipperfield, S. Dhomse, H. Garny, D. Kinnison, H. Akiyoshi, M. Deushi, R. R. Garcia, P. Jöckel, O. Kirner, G. Pitari, D. A. Plummer, L. Revell, E. Rozanov, A. Stenke, T. Y. Tanaka, D. Visioni, Y. Yamashita

Publikováno v: Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 19 (17), 11559–11586
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19 (17)
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol 19, Pp 11559-11586 (2019)

We perform the first multi-model intercomparison of the impact of nudged meteorology on the stratospheric residual circulation using hindcast simulations from the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI). We examine simulations over the period 198

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::59fa6f8f00f01f487df1403880b51490
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-11559-2019

ESD Reviews: Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation

Autor: C. Heinze, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, C. Jones, Y. Balkanski, W. Collins, T. Fichefet, S. Gao, A. Hall, D. Ivanova, W. Knorr, R. Knutti, A. Löw, M. Ponater, M. G. Schultz, M. Schulz, P. Siebesma, J. Teixeira, G. Tselioudis, M. Vancoppenolle

Publikováno v: Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics, European Geosciences Union, 2019, 10 (3), pp.379-452. ⟨10.5194/esd-10-379-2019⟩
Earth System Dynamics, Vol 10, Pp 379-452 (2019)
Earth System Dynamics 10(3), 379-452 (2019). doi:10.5194/esd-10-379-2019
Earth System Dynamics, 2019, 10 (3), pp.379-452. ⟨10.5194/esd-10-379-2019⟩
Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 10, no.3, p. 379-452 (2019)
Earth System Dynamics, 10 (3)

Earth system models (ESMs) are key tools for providing climate projections under different scenarios of human-induced forcing. ESMs include a large number of additional processes and feedbacks such as biogeochemical cycles that traditional physical c

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::04acf934fea08f1ea1715d48ffb1cb5a
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-379-2019