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Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.

Autor: Cramer EY; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Ray EL; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Lopez VK; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Bracher J; Chair of Econometrics and Statistics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 76185 Karlsruhe, Germany.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, 69118 Heidelberg, Germany., Brennen A; IQT Labs, In-Q-Tel, Waltham, MA 02451., Castro Rivadeneira AJ; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gerding A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gneiting T; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, 69118 Heidelberg, Germany.; Institute of Stochastics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 69118 Karlsruhe, Germany., House KH; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Huang Y; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Jayawardena D; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Kanji AH; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Khandelwal A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Le K; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Mühlemann A; Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland., Niemi J; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Shah A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Stark A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Wang Y; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Wattanachit N; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Zorn MW; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gu Y; Unaffiliated, New York, NY 10016., Jain S; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Bannur N; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Deva A; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Kulkarni M; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Merugu S; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Raval A; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Shingi S; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Tiwari A; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., White J; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Abernethy NF; University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98109., Woody S; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Dahan M; Texas Advanced Computing Center, Austin, TX 78758., Fox S; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Gaither K; Texas Advanced Computing Center, Austin, TX 78758., Lachmann M; Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM 87501., Meyers LA; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Scott JG; Department of Information, Risk, and Operations Management, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Tec M; Department of Statistics and Data Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Srivastava A; Ming Hsieh Department of Computer and Electrical Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089., George GE; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Cegan JC; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742., Dettwiller ID; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., England WP; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Farthing MW; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Hunter RH; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Lafferty B; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Linkov I; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742., Mayo ML; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Parno MD; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Hanover, NH 03755., Rowland MA; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Trump BD; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742., Zhang-James Y; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Chen S; School of Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Faraone SV; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Hess J; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Morley CP; Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Salekin A; Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13207., Wang D; Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Corsetti SM; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Baer TM; Department of Physics, Trinity University, San Antonio, TX 78212., Eisenberg MC; Department of Complex Systems, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.; Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.; School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109., Falb K; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Huang Y; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Martin ET; School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109., McCauley E; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Myers RL; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Schwarz T; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Sheldon D; College of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gibson GC; School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Yu R; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093.; Khoury College of Computer Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Gao L; Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98185., Ma Y; Halıcıoğlu Data Science Institute, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093., Wu D; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093., Yan X; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106., Jin X; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106., Wang YX; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106., Chen Y; Mechatronics, Embedded Systems and Automation Lab, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA 95301., Guo L; Jilin University, Changchun City, Jilin Province, 130012, People's Republic of China., Zhao Y; University of Science and Technology of China, Heifei, Anhui, 230027, People's Republic of China., Gu Q; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Chen J; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Wang L; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Xu P; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Zhang W; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Zou D; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Biegel H; Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721., Lega J; Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721., McConnell S; Construx, Bellevue, WA 98004., Nagraj VP; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911., Guertin SL; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911., Hulme-Lowe C; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Austin, TX 78759., Turner SD; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911., Shi Y; Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12309., Ban X; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Walraven R; Unaffiliated, Davis, CA 95616., Hong QJ; School for Engineering of Matter, Transport and Energy, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.; School of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912., Kong S; Manhasset Secondary School, Manhasset, NY 11030., van de Walle A; School of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912., Turtle JA; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121., Ben-Nun M; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121., Riley S; Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College, W2 1PG London, United Kingdom., Riley P; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121., Koyluoglu U; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., DesRoches D; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, Boston, MA 02110., Forli P; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, Sao Paolo, Brazil 04711-904., Hamory B; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, Boston, MA 02110., Kyriakides C; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Leis H; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Milliken J; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Moloney M; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Morgan J; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Nirgudkar N; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Ozcan G; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Piwonka N; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Ravi M; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Schrader C; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Shakhnovich E; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Siegel D; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Spatz R; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Stiefeling C; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman Digital, Toronto, ON, Canada M5J 0A1., Wilkinson B; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, London, UK W1U 8EW., Wong A; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Cavany S; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., España G; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Moore S; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Oidtman R; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.; Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637., Perkins A; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Kraus D; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic., Kraus A; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic., Gao Z; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Bian J; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Cao W; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Lavista Ferres J; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Li C; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Liu TY; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Xie X; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Zhang S; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Zheng S; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Vespignani A; Institute for Scientific Interchange Foundation, Turin, 10133, Italy.; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Chinazzi M; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Davis JT; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Mu K; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Pastore Y Piontti A; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Xiong X; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Zheng A; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Baek J; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Farias V; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Georgescu A; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Levi R; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Sinha D; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Wilde J; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Perakis G; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Bennouna MA; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Nze-Ndong D; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Singhvi D; Technology, Operations and Statistics (TOPS) group, Stern School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012., Spantidakis I; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Thayaparan L; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Tsiourvas A; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Sarker A; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Jadbabaie A; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Shah D; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Della Penna N; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Celi LA; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Sundar S; River Hill High School, Clarksville, MD 21029., Wolfinger R; JMP Life Sciences, SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC 27513., Osthus D; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Castro L; Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Fairchild G; Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Michaud I; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Karlen D; Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada.; Physical Sciences Division, TRIUMF, Vancouver, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada., Kinsey M; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Mullany LC; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Rainwater-Lovett K; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Shin L; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Tallaksen K; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Wilson S; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Lee EC; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Dent J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Grantz KH; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Hill AL; Institute for Computational Medicine, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21218., Kaminsky J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Kaminsky K; Unaffiliated, Baltimore, MD 21205., Keegan LT; Division of Epidemiology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84108., Lauer SA; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Lemaitre JC; Laboratory of Ecohydrology, School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland., Lessler J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Meredith HR; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Perez-Saez J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Shah S; Unaffiliated, San Francisco, CA 94122., Smith CP; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Truelove SA; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215.; International Vaccine Access Center, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21231.; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21231., Wills J; Unaffiliated, San Francisco, CA 94122., Marshall M; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218., Gardner L; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218., Nixon K; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218., Burant JC; Unaffiliated, Amsterdam, The Netherlands., Wang L; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Gao L; Department of Finance, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Gu Z; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Kim M; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Li X; School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634., Wang G; Department of Mathematics, College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, VA 23187., Wang Y; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Yu S; Department of Statistics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904., Reiner RC; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Barber R; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Gakidou E; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Hay SI; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Lim S; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Murray C; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Pigott D; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Gurung HL; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Bel Air, MD 21015., Baccam P; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Bel Air, MD 21015., Stage SA; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Baton Rouge, LA 70809., Suchoski BT; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Bel Air, MD 21015., Prakash BA; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Adhikari B; Department of Computer Science, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242., Cui J; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Rodríguez A; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Tabassum A; Department of Computer Science, Virginia Tech, Falls Church, VA 22043., Xie J; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Keskinocak P; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Asplund J; Advanced Data Analytics, Metron, Inc., Reston, VA 20190., Baxter A; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Oruc BE; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Serban N; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Arik SO; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Dusenberry M; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Epshteyn A; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Kanal E; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Le LT; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Li CL; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Pfister T; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Sava D; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Sinha R; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Tsai T; Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138., Yoder N; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Yoon J; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Zhang L; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Abbott S; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Bosse NI; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Funk S; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Hellewell J; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Meakin SR; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Sherratt K; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Zhou M; McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Kalantari R; Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Yamana TK; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Pei S; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Shaman J; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Li ML; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Bertsimas D; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Skali Lami O; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Soni S; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Tazi Bouardi H; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Ayer T; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.; Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University Medical School, Atlanta, GA 30322., Adee M; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Chhatwal J; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Dalgic OO; Health Economic Modeling, Value Analytics Labs, 34776 İstanbul, Turkey., Ladd MA; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Linas BP; Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA 02118., Mueller P; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Xiao J; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Wang Y; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.; Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Wang Q; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Xie S; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Zeng D; Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599., Green A; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Bien J; Marshall School of Business, Department of Data Sciences and Operations (DSO), University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089., Brooks L; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Hu AJ; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Jahja M; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., McDonald D; Department of Statistics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada., Narasimhan B; Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Politsch C; Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Rajanala S; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Rumack A; Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Simon N; Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Tibshirani RJ; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Tibshirani R; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Ventura V; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Wasserman L; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., O'Dea EB; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602., Drake JM; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602., Pagano R; Unaffiliated, Tucson, AZ 85704., Tran QT; Catalog Data Science, Walmart Inc., Sunnyvale, CA 94085., Ho LST; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, B3H 4R2, Canada., Huynh H; Virtual Power System Inc, Milpitas, CA 95035., Walker JW; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Slayton RB; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Johansson MA; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Biggerstaff M; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Reich NG; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.

Publikováno v: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2022 Apr 12; Vol. 119 (15), pp. e2113561119. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Apr 08.