Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 10
pro vyhledávání: '"Emile Servan-Schreiber"'
Autor:
Tara Kirk Sell, Kelsey Lane Warmbrod, Crystal Watson, Marc Trotochaud, Elena Martin, Sanjana J. Ravi, Maurice Balick, Emile Servan-Schreiber
Publikováno v:
BMC Public Health, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
Abstract Background The global spread of COVID-19 has shown that reliable forecasting of public health related outcomes is important but lacking. Methods We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term experiment in crowd-forecasting of inf
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/06ef8ed3eaae479c8437604776dff12c
Autor:
Crystal Watson, Maurice Balick, Marc Trotochaud, Sanjana J. Ravi, Elena K. Martin, Tara Kirk Sell, Kelsey Lane Warmbrod, Emile Servan-Schreiber
Publikováno v:
BMC Public Health
BMC Public Health, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
BMC Public Health, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
Background The global spread of COVID-19 has shown that reliable forecasting of public health related outcomes is important but lacking. Methods We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term experiment in crowd-forecasting of infectious-d
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::609a933dff636e0aaa01bbb542c7c872
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34801014
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34801014
Autor:
Emile Servan-Schreiber, Colin L. Widmer, Ralph Weischedel, Othalia Larue, Ion Juvina, Srikanth Nadella, Maurice Balick, Brandon S. Minnery, Subhashini Ganapathy, Lance Ramshaw
Publikováno v:
Human–Computer Interaction Series ISBN: 9783030388249
Geopolitical forecasting is the process of generating judgments of probability for a wide variety of future geopolitical events, such as political elections, international conflict, disease outbreaks, and macro-economic indicators. Governmental polic
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::40529b436bd0d844a78f4efa6966074b
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-38825-6_12
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-38825-6_12
Autor:
Philip E. Tetlock, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Samuel A. Swift, Eric R. Stone, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Phillip Rescober, Pavel Atanasov
Publikováno v:
Management Science. 63:691-706
We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term, experimental test between two crowdsourcing methods: prediction markets and prediction polls. More than 2,400 participants made forecasts on 261 events over two seasons of a geopolitical pred
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::ee1a7cdca6611904dc89b0fd4a9ba85c
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2374
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2374
Publikováno v:
Electronic Markets. 14:243-251
The accuracy of prediction markets has been documented for both markets based on real money and those based on play money. To test how much extra accuracy can be obtained by using real money versus play money, we set up a real-world on-line experimen
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::a4d7c46d3034ca117a098a1e4e9e7bae
https://doi.org/10.1080/1019678042000245254
https://doi.org/10.1080/1019678042000245254
Autor:
Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Phillip Rescober, Pavel Atanasov, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Eric Stone
Publikováno v:
Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction ISBN: 9783642372094
SBP
SBP
We describe a hybrid forecasting method called marketcast. Marketcasts are based on bid and ask orders from prediction markets, aggregated using techniques associated with survey methods, rather than market matching algorithms. We discuss the process
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::0266ff6015a4c1ce92b5dc5e55a72f56
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37210-0_4
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37210-0_4
Publikováno v:
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition. 16:592-608
When exposed to a regular stimulus field, for instance generated by an artificial grammar, subjects unintentionally learn to respond efficiently to the underlying structure: Miller (1958) reports that subjects memorize letter strings generated by an
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::1010021af1e7f68df380b8d5109cc31a
https://doi.org/10.1037/0278-7393.16.4.592
https://doi.org/10.1037/0278-7393.16.4.592
Autor:
Phillip Rescober, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Pavel Atanasov, Eric Stone, Philip E. Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Samuel A. Swift, Barbara A. Mellers
Publikováno v:
Academy of Management Proceedings. 2015:15192
Crowd prediction methods offer the promised to collect valuable, widely dispersed information in organizations. To the extent that information is a source of power, crowdsourcing democratizes organ...
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::baf36db06bc75a4f6c324d784f449419
https://doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2015.15192abstract
https://doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2015.15192abstract
Conference
Tento výsledek nelze pro nepřihlášené uživatele zobrazit.
K zobrazení výsledku je třeba se přihlásit.
K zobrazení výsledku je třeba se přihlásit.