Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 1 184
pro vyhledávání: '"Dijkstra, Henk A"'
Autor:
Terpstra, Sjoerd, Falkena, Swinda K. J., Bastiaansen, Robbin, Bathiany, Sebastian, Dijkstra, Henk A., von der Heydt, Anna S.
Research over the past decade has shown that multiple elements of the climate system, such as the Arctic Winter sea ice or the Amazon rainforest, could undergo abrupt shifts, but there are large uncertainties regarding their timing and spatial extent
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19498
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is recognized as a tipping element within the global climate system. Central to its tipping behavior is the salt-advection feedback mechanism, which has been extensively studied in box models and
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2410.03236
There is a reasonable possibility that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is in a bi-stable regime and hence it is relevant to compute probabilities and pathways of noise-induced transitions between the stable equilibrium sta
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.14235
Autor:
Bracco, Annalisa, Brajard, Julien, Dijkstra, Henk A., Hassanzadeh, Pedram, Lessig, Christian, Monteleoni, Claire
An exponential growth in computing power, which has brought more sophisticated and higher resolution simulations of the climate system, and an exponential increase in observations since the first weather satellite was put in orbit, are revolutionizin
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.09627
To understand mechanisms of salt intrusion in estuaries, we develop a semi-analytical model, that explicitly accounts for salt transport by both exchange flow and tidal flow. This model, after calibration, successfully hindcasts hydrodynamics and sal
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.06378
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to collapse.
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.19909
We address the issue of resilience of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) given the many indications that this dynamical system is in a multi-stable regime. A novel approach to resilience based on rare event techniques is presented
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.04740
There is increasing concern that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may collapse this century with a disrupting societal impact on large parts of the world. Preliminary estimates of the probability of such an AMOC collapse have so
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.11738
The variability of the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is influenced substantially by the formation of deep water in the North Atlantic. In many ocean models, so-called deep-decoupling oscillations have been found, whose t
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.00646
In this paper, we construct and discuss early-warning signs of the approach of a parameter to a deterministic bifurcation on a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) model with Gaussian white-noise on the boundary. We specifically focus on t
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2405.13550