Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 10
pro vyhledávání: '"David Budescu"'
Autor:
Ying Han, David Budescu
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 14, Pp 395-411 (2019)
We propose a new method to facilitate comparison of aggregated forecasts based on different aggregation, elicitation and calibration methods. Aggregates are evaluated by their relative position on the cumulative distribution of the corresponding indi
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1a30f59ea89942d4a69a103477f35b7e
Autor:
David Budescu, Ying Han
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making. 17:91-123
The accuracy of human forecasters is often reduced because of incomplete information and cognitive biases that affect the judges. One approach to improve the accuracy of the forecasts is to recalibrate them by means of non-linear transformations that
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::dbc4534d17ca0e36db0035d154d938c1
https://doi.org/10.1017/s1930297500009049
https://doi.org/10.1017/s1930297500009049
This is a pre-print of a chapter intended for publication in the book "JUDGMENT IN PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS" (Ed. Matthias Seifert, Ph.D.). The chapter represents a primer and review of various performance-weighted aggregation techniques, including: hist
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::de8cfe39795438500a20425f6a55ab03
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/4dp65
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/4dp65
In most forecasting contexts, each target event has a resolution time point at which the “ground truth” is revealed or determined. It is reasonable to expect that as time passes, and information relevant to the event resolution accrues, the accur
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::2f53603177b8bb1b0ab83db4f5647505
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/3v45a
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/3v45a
Publikováno v:
Experimental Economics. 26:251-252
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::32c0f64e093296695ee59e428ba9530d
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-023-09794-x
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-023-09794-x
Autor:
David Budescu, Mark Himmelstein
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 36
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::815071ac41b5cd02094ffbc6d697aa5f
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2285
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2285
In a recent issue of Earth’s Future [vol. 7, pp. 1020-1026], S. C. Lewis et al. recommended a numerically bounded linguistic probability (NBLP) scheme for communicating probabilistic information in extreme event attribution studies. We provide a cr
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::1f13dbfd68b532a56e13f4f610f98e1b
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/9f6ev
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/9f6ev
Autor:
David Budescu
Publikováno v:
Decision. 8:1-1
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::fbfa0123dd6efd0309ad2d1e9599abba
https://doi.org/10.1037/dec0000146
https://doi.org/10.1037/dec0000146
Autor:
L. Robin Keller, Ali Abbas, Manel Baucells, Vicki M. Bier, David Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo, George Wu
Publikováno v:
DECISION ANALYSIS. 7(4):327-330
This issue's "From the Editors" column is coauthored with all the associate editors, to emphasize their major role in the leadership of the journal. Our first article is by Samuel E. Bodily and Phillip E. Pfeifer, on “Darden's Luckiest Student: Les
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::3287d2dfae609b3f71a38e4505be5b72
https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.1100.0195
https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.1100.0195