Zobrazeno 1 - 8
of 8
pro vyhledávání: '"Dario Lucente"'
Publikováno v:
Environmental Data Science, Vol 3 (2024)
We present a data-driven emulator, a stochastic weather generator (SWG), suitable for estimating probabilities of prolonged heat waves in France and Scandinavia. This emulator is based on the method of analogs of circulation to which we add temperatu
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/e937cb9e6b554b9e9b2217312c4a2711
Publikováno v:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2022, 79 (9), pp.2387-2400
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2022, 79 (9), pp.2387-2400
Many atmosphere and climate phenomena lie in the gray zone between weather and climate: they are not amenable to deterministic forecast, but they still depend on the initial condition. A natural example is medium-range forecasting, which is inherentl
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::4ae52e1b4c2586056163aa1109f65c8a
https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-22-0038.1
https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-22-0038.1
Sampling rare events such as extreme heatwaves whose return period is larger than the length of available observations requires developing and benchmarking new simulation methods. There is growing interest in applying deep learning alongside already
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::88dbc5543a8c6a9bfa5b9c57e4f68987
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6131
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6131
Publikováno v:
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2022, 2022, pp.083201
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2022, 2022, pp.083201
Rare events play a crucial role in many physics, chemistry, and biology phenomena, when they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when they have a huge impact. Rare event algorithms have been devised to s
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::39737978e7942c051886b559c8753ed6
https://hal.science/hal-03366908
https://hal.science/hal-03366908
Rare events, such as heat waves, floods, or hurricanes, play a crucial role in climate dynamics mainly due to the large impact they have. Predicting the occurrence of such events is thus a major challenge. In this talk, we introduce the relevant math
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::09eeba0d24c51dc5e0f2974dc16f28f4
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4021
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4021
Many phenomena in the climate system lie in the gray zone between weather and climate: they are not amenable to deterministic forecast, but they still depend on the initial condition. A natural example is medium-range forecasting, which is inherently
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::d6d3ecbb801d90f90e258a6f6742b945
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-14436
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-14436
One of the big challenges today is to appropriately describe heat waves, which are relevant due to their impact on human society. Common characteristics in mid-latitudes involve meanders of the westerly flow and concomitant large anticyclonic anomali
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::4cbd5f62431c0345b62f666931d79127
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-15642
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-15642
There is a growing interest in the climate community to improve the prediction of high impact climate events, for instance ENSO (El-Ni\~no--Southern Oscillation) or extreme events, using a combination of model and observation data. In this talk we pr
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::872611fd1337ff6d533c45d38be3efbb
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-21754
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-21754