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Akademický článek
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Autor:
CARR, W.
Publikováno v:
History, 1976 Jan 01. 61(202), 322-323.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/24409825
Publikováno v:
Présence Africaine, 1977 Mar 01(101/102), 280-282.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/24350286
Autor:
Trell, Bluma L.
Publikováno v:
Archaeology, 1982 Jul 01. 35(4), 76-76.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/41727433
Publikováno v:
Il Politico, 1967 Jun 01. 32(2), 414-415.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/43209486
Autor:
Martin, T. D.
Publikováno v:
The Phi Delta Kappan, 1931 Apr 01. 13(6), 179-180.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/20257979
Autor:
Day, Martin A.1,2 (AUTHOR), Christofferson, Andrew J.3 (AUTHOR) andrew.christofferson@rmit.edu.au, Anderson, J. L. Ross4 (AUTHOR), Vass, Simon O.2 (AUTHOR), Evans, Adam1 (AUTHOR), Searle, Peter F.2 (AUTHOR), White, Scott A.1 (AUTHOR), Hyde, Eva I.1 (AUTHOR) andrew.christofferson@rmit.edu.au
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Molecular Sciences. Mar2023, Vol. 24 Issue 6, p5987. 21p.
Akademický článek
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Publikováno v:
Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2018 Jun . 66(12), 1976-1977.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/26526337
Autor:
Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Hutcherson, Cendri A., Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W., Achter, Sebastian, Dhami, Mandeep K., Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R., Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Arriaga, Patrícia, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Białek, Michał, Børsting, Caroline K., Browne, Dillon T., Caruso, Eugene M., Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J., Collins, Robert N., Cong, Chin Wen, Conway, Lucian G., Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V., Dhaliwal, Nathan A., Durham, Justin D., Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T., Shuman, Eric, Fabrykant, Marharyta, Firat, Mustafa, Fong, Geoffrey T., Frimer, Jeremy A., Gallegos, Jonathan M., Goldberg, Simon B., Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D., Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J., Hornsey, Matthew J., Howe, Piers D. L., Izadi, Anoosha, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Kim, Yeun Joon, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G., Lin, Hung-Wen, Lou, Nigel Mantou, Lua, Verity Y. Q., Lukaszewski, Aaron W., Ly, Albert L., Madan, Christopher R., Maier, Maximilian, Majeed, Nadyanna M., March, David S., Marsh, Abigail A., Misiak, Michal, Myrseth, Kristian Ove R., Napan, Jaime M., Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola, Pauer, Shiva, Protzko, John, Raffaelli, Quentin, Ropovik, Ivan, Ross, Robert M., Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Sevincer, A. T., Sherman, Garrick T., Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A., Tetlock, Philip E., Thomakos, Dimitrios, Tse, Dwight C. K., Twardus, Oliver J., Tybur, Joshua M., Ungar, Lyle, Vandermeulen, Daan, Vaughan Williams, Leighton, Vosgerichian, Hrag A., Wang, Qi, Wang, Ke, Whiting, Mark E., Wollbrant, Conny E., Yang, Tao, Yogeeswaran, Kumar, Yoon, Sangsuk, Alves, Ventura R., Andrews-Hanna, Jessica R., Bloom, Paul A., Boyles, Anthony, Charis, Loo, Choi, Mingyeong, Darling-Hammond, Sean, Ferguson, Z. E., Kaiser, Cheryl R., Karg, Simon T., Ortega, Alberto López, Mahoney, Lori, Marsh, Melvin S., Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C., Michaels, Eli K., Millroth, Philip, Naqvi, Jeanean B., Ng, Weiting, Rutledge, Robb B., Slattery, Peter, Smiley, Adam H., Strijbis, Oliver, Sznycer, Daniel, Tsukayama, Eli, van Loon, Austin, Voelkel, Jan G., Wienk, Margaux N. A., Wilkening, Tom, Collaborative, The Forecasting
Publikováno v:
Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Springer Nature
Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Nature Publishing Group
The Forecasting Collaborative 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 484-501 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 4, pp. 484-501
Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 484-501
Grossmann, I, Rotella, A, Hutcherson, C A, Sharpinskyi, K, Varnum, M E W, Achter, S, Dhami, M K, Guo, X E, Kara-Yakoubian, M, Mandel, D R, Raes, L, Tay, L, Vie, A, Wagner, L, Adamkovic, M, Arami, A, Arriaga, P, Bandara, K, Baník, G, Bartoš, F, Baskin, E, Bergmeir, C, Białek, M, Børsting, C K, Browne, D T, Caruso, E M, Chen, R, Chie, B-T, Chopik, W J, Collins, R N, Cong, C W, Conway, L G, Davis, M, Day, M V, Dhaliwal, N A, Durham, J D, Dziekan, M, Elbaek, C T, Shuman, E, Fabrykant, M, Firat, M, Fong, G T, Frimer, J A, Gallegos, J M, Goldberg, S B, Gollwitzer, A, Goyal, J, Graf-Vlachy, L, Gronlund, S D, Hafenbrädl, S, Hartanto, A, Hirshberg, M J, Hornsey, M J, Howe, P D L, Izadi, A, Jaeger, B, Kačmár, P, Kim, Y J, Krenzler, R, Lannin, D G, Lin, H-W, Lou, N M, Lua, V Y Q, Lukaszewski, A W, Ly, A L, Madan, C R, Maier, M, Majeed, N M, March, D S, Marsh, A A, Misiak, M, Myrseth, K O R, Napan, J M, Nicholas, J, Nikolopoulos, K, O, J, Otterbring, T, Paruzel-Czachura, M, Pauer, S, Protzko, J, Raffaelli, Q, Ropovik, I, Ross, R M, Roth, Y, Røysamb, E, Schnabel, L, Schütz, A, Seifert, M, Sevincer, A T, Sherman, G T, Simonsson, O, Sung, M-C, Tai, C-C, Talhelm, T, Teachman, B A, Tetlock, P E, Thomakos, D, Tse, D C K, Twardus, O J, Tybur, J M, Ungar, L, Vandermeulen, D, Vaughan Williams, L, Vosgerichian, H A, Wang, Q, Wang, K, Whiting, M E, Wollbrant, C E, Yang, T, Yogeeswaran, K, Yoon, S, Alves, V R, Andrews-Hanna, J R, Bloom, P A, Boyles, A, Charis, L, Choi, M, Darling-Hammond, S, Ferguson, Z E, Kaiser, C R, Karg, S T, Ortega, A L, Mahoney, L, Marsh, M S, Martinie, M F R C, Michaels, E K, Millroth, P, Naqvi, J B, Ng, W, Rutledge, R B, Slattery, P, Smiley, A H, Strijbis, O, Sznycer, D, Tsukayama, E, van Loon, A, Voelkel, J G, Wienk, M N A, Wilkening, T & Collaborative, T F 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Nature Human Behaviour
Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Nature Publishing Group
The Forecasting Collaborative 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 484-501 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 4, pp. 484-501
Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 484-501
Grossmann, I, Rotella, A, Hutcherson, C A, Sharpinskyi, K, Varnum, M E W, Achter, S, Dhami, M K, Guo, X E, Kara-Yakoubian, M, Mandel, D R, Raes, L, Tay, L, Vie, A, Wagner, L, Adamkovic, M, Arami, A, Arriaga, P, Bandara, K, Baník, G, Bartoš, F, Baskin, E, Bergmeir, C, Białek, M, Børsting, C K, Browne, D T, Caruso, E M, Chen, R, Chie, B-T, Chopik, W J, Collins, R N, Cong, C W, Conway, L G, Davis, M, Day, M V, Dhaliwal, N A, Durham, J D, Dziekan, M, Elbaek, C T, Shuman, E, Fabrykant, M, Firat, M, Fong, G T, Frimer, J A, Gallegos, J M, Goldberg, S B, Gollwitzer, A, Goyal, J, Graf-Vlachy, L, Gronlund, S D, Hafenbrädl, S, Hartanto, A, Hirshberg, M J, Hornsey, M J, Howe, P D L, Izadi, A, Jaeger, B, Kačmár, P, Kim, Y J, Krenzler, R, Lannin, D G, Lin, H-W, Lou, N M, Lua, V Y Q, Lukaszewski, A W, Ly, A L, Madan, C R, Maier, M, Majeed, N M, March, D S, Marsh, A A, Misiak, M, Myrseth, K O R, Napan, J M, Nicholas, J, Nikolopoulos, K, O, J, Otterbring, T, Paruzel-Czachura, M, Pauer, S, Protzko, J, Raffaelli, Q, Ropovik, I, Ross, R M, Roth, Y, Røysamb, E, Schnabel, L, Schütz, A, Seifert, M, Sevincer, A T, Sherman, G T, Simonsson, O, Sung, M-C, Tai, C-C, Talhelm, T, Teachman, B A, Tetlock, P E, Thomakos, D, Tse, D C K, Twardus, O J, Tybur, J M, Ungar, L, Vandermeulen, D, Vaughan Williams, L, Vosgerichian, H A, Wang, Q, Wang, K, Whiting, M E, Wollbrant, C E, Yang, T, Yogeeswaran, K, Yoon, S, Alves, V R, Andrews-Hanna, J R, Bloom, P A, Boyles, A, Charis, L, Choi, M, Darling-Hammond, S, Ferguson, Z E, Kaiser, C R, Karg, S T, Ortega, A L, Mahoney, L, Marsh, M S, Martinie, M F R C, Michaels, E K, Millroth, P, Naqvi, J B, Ng, W, Rutledge, R B, Slattery, P, Smiley, A H, Strijbis, O, Sznycer, D, Tsukayama, E, van Loon, A, Voelkel, J G, Wienk, M N A, Wilkening, T & Collaborative, T F 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Nature Human Behaviour
Item does not contain fulltext How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing the accuracy of predictions of societal change