Applying optimal control theory to complex epidemiological models to inform real-world disease management

Autor: Bussell, E. H., Dangerfield, C. E., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J.

Publikováno v: Philosophical Transactions: Biological Sciences, 2019 Jul 01. 374(1776), 1-7.

Externí odkaz: https://www.jstor.org/stable/26675046

Text S1 from Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic

Autor: Thompson, R. N., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J.

Derivation of the branching process estimate for the probability of a major epidemic (for the stochastic SIS/SIR models).

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Supplementary Tables from Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic

Autor: Thompson, R. N., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J.

The supplementary tables (Tables S1-S5) that are referenced in the main text and supplementary texts.

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Early detection surveillance for Huanglongbing in a plantation; from theory to practice

Autor: Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Cunniffe, N. J., van den Bosch, F.

Publikováno v: Parnell, S.; Gottwald, T. R.; Cunniffe, N. J.; & van den Bosch, F.(2014). Early detection surveillance for Huanglongbing in a plantation; from theory to practice. Journal of Citrus Pathology, 1(1). Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/68g7k5sk

The detection of a new HLB epidemic in a planting often occurs when the disease has already reached high incidence. This is problematic and once the epidemic has become established it is difficult to recover the economic productivity of the grove. Ho

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