Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 38
pro vyhledávání: '"Craig MacLachlan"'
Autor:
Adam A. Scaife, Joanne Camp, Ruth Comer, Philip Davis, Nick Dunstone, Margaret Gordon, Craig MacLachlan, Nicola Martin, Yu Nie, Hong‐Li Ren, Malcolm Roberts, Walter Robinson, Doug Smith, Pier Luigi Vidale
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 20, Iss 8, Pp n/a-n/a (2019)
Abstract We assess the impact of atmospheric horizontal resolution on the prediction skill and fidelity of seasonal forecasts. We show the response to an increase of atmospheric resolution from 0.8 to 0.3° horizontal grid spacing in parallel ensembl
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/72f9caefa4d148f2a90b61e83e4a4cf4
Autor:
Chaofan Li, Adam A Scaife, Riyu Lu, Alberto Arribas, Anca Brookshaw, Ruth E Comer, Jianglong Li, Craig MacLachlan, Peili Wu
Publikováno v:
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 11, Iss 9, p 094002 (2016)
China suffers from frequent summer floods and droughts, but seasonal forecast skill of corresponding summer rainfall remains a key challenge. In this study, we demonstrate useful levels of prediction skill over the Yangtze river valley for summer rai
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8a4f68eb7c8643d999405579e0bd09e0
Publikováno v:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 145:1089-1101
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::e68b79713afd2527aa69cb8105aff0c1
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3478
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3478
Autor:
Andrew B. Watkins, Craig MacLachlan, Andrew G. Marshall, Kevin J. Tory, Harry H. Hendon, Joanne Camp, Matthew C. Wheeler, Paul Gregory, Yuriy Kuleshov
Publikováno v:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 144:1337-1351
The skill of predicting the weekly occurrence of tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the Southern Hemisphere is investigated in the Australian Bureau of Meteorology seasonal forecasting system (ACCESS‐S1). On multiweek time‐scales, the MaddenJulian
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::c6afb52142474eaf8019837a12f08840
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3260
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3260
Autor:
Jee-Hoon Jeong, Hyun-Suk Kang, Hyun Kyung Kim, Daehyun Kim, Hye-Mi Kim, Eunkyo Seo, Siegfried D. Schubert, Adam A. Scaife, Myong-In Lee, Randal D. Koster, Craig MacLachlan
Publikováno v:
Climate Dynamics. 52:1695-1709
This study uses a global land–atmosphere coupled model, the land–atmosphere component of the Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5, to quantify the degree to which soil moisture initialization could potentially enhance boreal summer surface a
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::3631dd01c34bc49e9ed93ea303fac235
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4221-4
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4221-4
Autor:
Margaret Gordon, Hong-Li Ren, Craig MacLachlan, Rosie Eade, Jie Wu, Bo Lu, Nick Dunstone, Jianghua Wan, Adam A. Scaife, Doug Smith
Publikováno v:
Climate Dynamics. 51:89-100
During 2016 boreal summer and fall, a strong negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event occurred, which led to large climate impacts such as the drought over East Africa. In this study, efforts are made to understand the dynamics of this IOD event and
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::099954d7a078f475817de21f86fc8360
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3908-2
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3908-2
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Climatology. 37:398-411
This study investigates the feasibility and presents an assessment of probabilistic rainy season onset forecasts for Sao Paulo, Brazil, located in a region with a well-defined wet season from mid-austral spring (October) to austral autumn (March/Apri
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::9c8e75a8929a43db7dade27a6a2bd797
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5010
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5010
Autor:
Craig MacLachlan, Silvio Gualdi, Adam A. Scaife, Antonella Sanna, Stefano Materia, Leon Hermanson, Panos Athanasiadis, Andrea Borrelli, Alessio Bellucci
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate. 30:1461-1475
Significant predictive skill for the mean winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been recently reported for a number of different seasonal forecasting systems. These findings are important in exploring the predictabil
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::358dde7cb18a94a1d30abbb8d56e225a
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0153.1
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0153.1
Autor:
D. Fereday, Nick Dunstone, Alexey Yu. Karpechko, Chris K. Folland, Brent Walker, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth Good, Craig MacLachlan, Julia Slingo, Doug Smith, Ruth E. Comer, Margaret Gordon, Jeff Knight, K. Andrew Peterson, Leon Hermanson, A. Maidens, Sarah Ineson
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters. 18:38-44
We present a case study of long range forecasts for Northern Hemisphere winter 2015/2016. This winter produced the strongest El Nino event since 1997/1998 and equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies exceeded 3 °C. Other factors relevant
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::e0ae26faedf5035cc5adb39a0c8f6375
https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.721
https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.721
Autor:
Patrick Hyder, Christopher D. Roberts, Simon A. Josey, Adrian L. New, Craig MacLachlan, Helene T. Hewitt, Aurelie Duchez, Adam A. Scaife, Adam T. Blaker, Jeremy P. Grist, Bablu Sinha, Joël J.-M. Hirschi
A high-resolution coupled ocean atmosphere model is used to study the effects of seasonal re-emergence of North Atlantic subsurface ocean temperature anomalies on northern hemisphere winter climate. A 50-member control ensemble is integrated from 1 S
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::99ecf4c99587a43178106e188aff554c
