Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Autor: Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Leo van Wissen, Fanny Janssen

Publikováno v: Genus, Vol 74, Iss 1, Pp 1-20 (2018)

Abstract Background Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, i.e. the rates in the

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/5537161271fd451bb178de34dc75de4c

150 Years of temperature-related excess mortality in the Netherlands

Autor: Peter Ekamper, Frans Van Poppel, Coen Van Duin, Joop Garssen

Publikováno v: Demographic Research, Vol 21, p 14 (2009)

Even in present-day high-income countries, there is a lot of evidence of a high degree of vulnerability of the population to both high and low outdoor temperatures. The magnitude of temperature-related mortality is strongly related to a wide variety

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/ad1441f13150436da37940c236d25f63

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Autor: Leo van Wissen, Lenny Stoeldraijer, Fanny Janssen, Coen van Duin

Publikováno v: Genus, 74(1):16
Genus, Vol 74, Iss 1, Pp 1-20 (2018)
Genus
GENUS-Journal of Population Sciences, 74(16). Springer

Background: Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, i.e. the rates in the last ye

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::437ea99adc72dc6d071f7cc2fbedfb12
https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/6fbae659-c80a-4640-a117-c80a9cbb93b5

The Netherlands: Childbearing within the context of a 'Poldermodel' society

Autor: Helga De Valk, Tineke Fokkema, Coen van Duin, Joop de Beer

Publikováno v: Demographic Research, 19:21, 743-794. Max-Planck Institute for Demographic Research/Max-Planck-institut fur Demografische Forschung
Demographic Research, 19(21), 743-794. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Demographic Research, Vol 19, p 21 (2008)

Just like all other European countries, the Netherlands has experienced a considerable decline in fertility. The decline, however, is not as sharp as in most other parts of Europe. While especially Southern and Central Eastern Europe is faced with a

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::a1312a5968722adbe062e1c9eb54111e
https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2008.19.21

150 Years of temperature-related excess mortality in the Netherlands

Autor: Joop Garssen, Frans van Poppel, Peter Ekamper, Coen van Duin

Publikováno v: Demographic Research, Vol 21, p 14 (2009)
Demographic Research, 21(14), 385-426. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

Even in present-day high-income countries, there is a lot of evidence of a high degree of vulnerability of the population to both high and low outdoor temperatures. The magnitude of temperature-related mortality is strongly related to a wide variety

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::22e0ce96acc16b7ac9c48e48eb0800be
http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/14/