Výsledky vyhledávání - "Clavería González, Óscar"

Dissertation/ Thesis

Cuantificación de las expectativas de precios a partir de la encuesta industrial de la UE

Publikováno v: TDX (Tesis Doctorals en Xarxa).

El presente trabajo se enmarca dentro de una corriente de la literatura centrada en la utilización de los datos cualitativos de las encuestas de opinión para la predicción a corto plazo. El objetivo es extraer el máximo provecho de la informació

Externí odkaz: http://hdl.handle.net/10803/1453

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The nexus between variable renewable energy, economy and climate: Evidence from European countries by means of exploratory graphical analysis

Autor: Carty, Christina, Clavería González, Óscar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

We propose a new approach for the visual inspection of interactions between several variables related to the wind and solar energy sector, and a set of socioeconomic variables and natural factors that may be affecting the sector. Focusing on fifteen

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::55019202e9011530cfc7f506603c979d
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/187035

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An application of deep learning for exchange rate forecasting

Autor: Clavería González, Óscar, Monte Moreno, Enric, Sorić, Petar, Torra Porras, Salvador

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

This paper examines the performance of several state-of-the-art deep learning techniques for exchange rate forecasting (deep feedforward network, convolutional network and a long short-term memory). On the one hand, the configuration of the different

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::0fc61fb5911bcd155990fa5f081d5ddb
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/182601

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Modelling the dynamic interaction between economic uncertainty, growth, unemployment and suicide

Autor: Clavería González, Óscar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

Economic uncertainty is a driver of the business cycle. In a recent study, Claveria (2022) used a fixed-effects model to assess the impact of uncertainty on suicide rates worldwide. Using that same panel, in which global economic uncertainty is linke

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::c78c4ef32153ecc0eca9121191fd1a87
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/187037

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Density forecasts of inflation using Gaussian process regression models

Autor: Sorić, Petar, Monte Moreno, Enric, Torra Porras, Salvador, Clavería González, Óscar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

The present study uses Gaussian Process regression models for generating density forecasts of inflation within the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) framework. The NKPC is a structural model of inflation dynamics in which we include the output gap,

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::42245240f907d80a637e6dc50eb78753
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/187600

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Nowcasting and forecasting GDP growth with machine-learning sentiment indicators

Autor: Clavería González, Óscar, Monte Moreno, Enric, Torra Porras, Salvador

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

We apply the two-step machine-learning method proposed by Claveria et al. (2021) to generate country-specific sentiment indicators that provide estimates of year-on-year GDP growth rates. In the first step, by means of genetic programming, business a

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::35cc5c018468b35a21ad246e0df138a4
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/175054

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Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic

Autor: Sorić, Petar, Clavería González, Óscar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

This paper examines the evolution of consumer uncertainty about unemployment one year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic in European countries. Since uncertainty is not directly observable, we use two alternative methods to directly approxi

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::528d40a94d2a617e3348ac9a8ad67da4
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/178898

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Evolution of business and consumer uncertainty in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. A sector analysis in 32 European countries

Autor: Clavería González, Óscar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

This paper examines the evolution of business and consumer uncertainty amid the Coronavirus pandemic in 32 European countries and the European Union (EU). Since uncertainty is not directly observable, we approximate it using the geomètric discrepanc

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::af905c94058831d41c9ee5e04178832d
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/171216

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Economic determinants of employment sentiment: A socio-demographic analysis for the euro area

Autor: Clavería González, Óscar, Lolic, Ivana, Monte Moreno, Enric, Torra Porras, Salvador, Sorić, Petar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

In this study we construct quarterly consumer confidence indicators of unemployment for the euro area using as input the consumer expectations for sixteen socio-demographic groups elicited from the Joint Harmonised EU Consumer Survey. First, we use s

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::ae20741c00dd040b1bda917c4c063666
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/150537

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Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty

Autor: Clavería González, Óscar

Publikováno v: Dipòsit Digital de la UB
Universidad de Barcelona

This paper evaluates the dynamic response of economic activity to shocks in agents’ perception of uncertainty. The study focuses on the comparison between manufacturers 'and consumers' perception of economic uncertainty. Since uncertainty is not di

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::627ef62490c233605c43356890419494
http://hdl.handle.net/2445/169495

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