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How time and pollster history affect U.S. election forecasts under a compartmental modeling approach
Autor:
Branstetter, Ryan, Chian, Samuel, Cromp, Joseph, He, William L, Lee, Christopher M, Liu, Mengqi, Mansell, Emma, Paranjape, Manas, Pattanashetty, Thanmaya, Rodrigues, Alexia, Volkening, Alexandria
In the months leading up to political elections in the United States, forecasts are widespread and take on multiple forms, including projections of what party will win the popular vote, state ratings, and predictions of vote margins at the state leve
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2411.01730
